Fluffy-Detention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.95K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved

615

Trades

1,818

lifetime

Volume

$28.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 09-18 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Other

66% 37% -$1,050

Sports

27% 41% -$681

Crypto

7% 53% -$215

Politics

0% 33% -$5

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+10	$3	44¢	$4	+$1	09-14 06:32
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+5	$1	42¢	$2	+$2	09-18 21:56
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+500	$1	0¢	$1	$0	09-02 19:34
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+143	$1	0¢	$1	$0	09-02 20:47
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+125	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	09-02 20:47
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+11	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	09-02 20:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spy up or down on june 25 2026	17	$730	1,219	617	+602	Down	-$323	06-25 16:32
spx opens up or down on july 10 2026	23	$543	709	0	+709	Up	-$543	07-10 11:16
ufc jan nav 2026 08 01	2	$500	676	0	+676	Navajo Stirling	+$176	08-01 03:07
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	3	$500	715	0	+715	Yes	+$215	06-09 13:19
spx up or down on june 25 2026	9	$485	977	773	+204	Down	+$4	06-25 19:30
spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	18	$480	1,077	0	+1,077	Up	+$460	06-30 12:35
France vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?	9	$478	2,778	1,418	+1,359	No	-$22	07-09 21:17
spx opens up or down on july 7 2026	16	$467	809	155	+654	Down	+$32	07-07 12:10
bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 10am et	13	$453	526	0	+526	Up	-$53	07-03 14:55
xauusd up or down on june 11 2026	14	$445	400	400	+0	Up	+$37	06-11 15:12
ufc tre9 drodri 2026 08 18	2	$435	566	0	+566	Trent Miller	-$435	08-18 19:14
xagusd up or down on june 17 2026	11	$380	662	0	+662	Down	-$380	06-17 18:03
wti up or down on july 10 2026	9	$362	469	284	+185	Down	-$83	07-10 18:09
ufc kai4 nfazil 2026 08 18	1	$345	548	0	+548	Kaik Brito	-$345	08-18 18:33
xagusd up or down on june 11 2026	18	$338	370	320	+50	Up	+$33	06-11 17:30
aapl up or down on june 15 2026	5	$325	330	190	+140	Up	-$21	06-15 13:37
djia up or down on june 23 2026	5	$310	452	0	+452	Down	+$91	06-23 19:42
xagusd up or down on june 24 2026	6	$289	558	0	+558	Down	+$269	06-24 11:11
ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	4	$289	238	127	+112	Ty Miller	+$23	08-08 23:17
ng up or down on june 15 2026	10	$279	400	6	+394	Up	-$274	06-15 17:35
xauusd up or down on june 17 2026	7	$269	430	0	+430	Down	+$92	06-17 18:01
xagusd up or down on june 25 2026	4	$256	500	0	+500	Up	-$256	06-25 10:52
ufc ali8 mah4 2026 08 18	1	$241	321	0	+321	Alik Lorenz	-$241	08-18 18:38
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	4	$240	381	0	+381	Yes	-$240	06-14 00:00
xagusd up or down on july 8 2026	5	$240	226	212	+14	Down	+$134	07-08 10:52
spx up or down on june 29 2026	7	$235	431	0	+431	Up	+$92	06-29 14:15
spx opens up or down on july 9 2026	14	$235	292	0	+292	Up	+$57	07-09 11:34
wti up or down on july 9 2026	15	$233	298	62	+235	Down	+$44	07-09 14:05
ng up or down on july 9 2026	13	$215	365	0	+365	Down	-$102	07-09 13:22
ng up or down on july 14 2026	9	$211	293	116	+177	Up	-$165	07-14 13:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 21:56:28	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x46fb7c…
09-18 14:34:57	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x0d1cc8…
09-17 22:18:10	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4eb1c2…
09-17 22:16:48	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x0cbc0d…
09-14 06:32:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x1be9f4…
09-13 18:59:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5d9e6f…
09-13 18:57:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x50fdc0…
09-12 10:00:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0209c7…
09-12 09:57:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x60b259…
09-10 15:04:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1fb7ce…
09-10 14:55:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x75ef81…
09-08 17:58:34	Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	No	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0x133deb…
09-08 17:58:01	Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6a86f4…
09-08 17:56:58	Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x349a9d…
09-07 19:52:46	Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x587a61…
09-07 19:52:10	Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$0	0xb22f5b…
09-07 19:51:46	Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x998984…
09-07 19:50:25	Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	No	SELL	29	12¢	$3	0xa8d828…
09-07 19:49:19	Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	38	6¢	$2	0x896680…
09-07 19:48:28	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x23943d…
09-04 04:44:19	Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	86	0¢	$0	0xeb43e7…
09-04 04:44:19	Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	155	0¢	$0	0xb19cdb…
09-04 04:44:19	Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x9f082a…
09-04 04:44:19	Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x7ba7a8…
09-04 04:44:19	Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	343	0¢	$1	0x300448…
09-03 12:39:19	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x9c092e…
09-03 12:38:40	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get at least 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x60ccd9…
09-03 12:38:24	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 38 and 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7d4a14…
09-03 12:38:07	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 36 and 38 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xac5bc2…
09-03 12:37:46	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 34 and 36 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1ebeed…
09-03 12:37:27	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 32 and 34 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8570bc…
09-03 12:37:01	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 30 and 32 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdc4b3b…
09-03 12:36:43	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 28 and 30 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8fef25…
09-03 12:36:24	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 26 and 28 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x05c43a…
09-03 12:36:10	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xe6e515…
09-03 12:35:57	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe08435…
09-03 12:30:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xaa7597…
09-03 12:30:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x6a4f17…
09-03 12:29:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x006b42…
09-02 20:51:58	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2a5e83…
09-02 20:48:57	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1e8128…
09-02 20:47:57	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x7fddc1…
09-02 20:47:42	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xf145ef…
09-02 19:34:46	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x61c887…
09-02 19:34:25	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x6c4ca6…
09-02 19:33:36	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb2e8ee…
09-01 12:17:04	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4c29a0…
08-31 18:58:48	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x521fec…
08-30 19:32:22	Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x6baab4…
08-29 20:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x51b445…
08-29 20:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd48c0d…
08-29 20:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9ba297…
08-29 20:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x39b1f0…
08-29 20:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on August 31?	Yes	BUY	256	0¢	$1	0x009cc9…
08-29 20:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	210	0¢	$1	0x1de0ff…
08-29 20:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0x2deec6…
08-29 20:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C or higher on August 31?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x801eac…
08-29 20:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x605690…
08-29 20:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1d7762…
08-29 20:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x70775e…
08-29 20:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4188a9…
08-29 20:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0xb7d785…
08-28 17:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 29?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x60a84f…
08-28 17:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 29?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x42553a…
08-28 13:26:13	Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xee9867…
08-28 09:48:33	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xf45a8f…
08-28 09:47:46	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x3177f6…
08-28 09:36:03	Will Paul Lefebvre win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0f7418…
08-27 21:19:45	Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x45c636…
08-27 20:42:01	Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x7ad495…
08-27 20:41:04	Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xf31286…
08-27 20:39:43	Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x317f61…
08-27 20:38:48	Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	186	3¢	$5	0x427f2a…
08-27 20:38:37	Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	118	4¢	$5	0x9db737…
08-27 20:38:16	Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x82b0ff…
08-27 20:37:40	Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	SELL	43	24¢	$10	0xe25790…
08-27 20:37:10	Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	SELL	13	73¢	$10	0x151d82…
08-27 20:36:19	Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xc1fa1b…
08-27 20:36:07	Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x6d0bc6…
08-27 20:35:36	Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xa45064…
08-27 20:33:21	ng up or down on august 27 2026	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x4db2f4…
08-27 19:49:13	Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x67b6b4…
08-27 19:47:40	Will Hogan Gidley be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xe3ed57…
08-27 19:25:27	Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x5e6098…
08-27 19:23:33	Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfef6dc…
08-27 19:23:12	Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0xe04d1b…
08-27 19:22:33	Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0x499fae…
08-27 17:00:34	Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x1c4417…
08-27 16:58:01	Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x1e03b3…
08-27 16:55:57	Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0x262269…
08-27 16:55:25	Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	199	1¢	$1	0xbcc026…
08-27 16:54:45	Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	387	0¢	$1	0xc541de…
08-27 16:07:24	Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0x463118…
08-27 16:06:33	Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x0629e7…
08-27 16:05:27	Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1ef4ff…
08-27 16:05:04	Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0de025…
08-27 16:04:18	Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x54c79b…
08-27 15:38:24	xagusd up or down on august 27 2026	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x026c8c…
08-27 15:37:37	ng up or down on august 27 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x285fcd…
08-27 15:24:58	djia up or down on august 27 2026	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x558117…