Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$438

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 06-12 06:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

40% 33% $-1

Politics

35% 100% +$2

Sports

22% 100% +$4

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	9	$62	37	30	+7	open	—	02-15 12:15
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	5	$35	28	19	+9	open	—	02-16 01:56
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$14	32	0	+32	open	—	02-15 15:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$14	28	0	+28	Yes	+$2	02-09 13:21
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	02-13 20:28
will iran strike cyprus in march	1	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	03-04 20:51
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	1	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	05-15 18:31
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	1	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	05-23 08:24
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	1	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	03-16 14:49
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 23:47
will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 716	1	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	03-03 09:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	03-03 17:47
amzn up or down on april 20 2026	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	04-20 07:57
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$7	50	0	+50	open	—	02-19 13:26
fis quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 1pt69	1	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	02-12 07:41
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	02-07 05:18
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	1	$7	11	0	+11	open	—	03-03 14:15
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	1	$7	11	0	+11	open	—	03-02 08:07
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	02-28 15:38
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	1	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	02-28 07:36
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the february meeting	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	02-13 09:48
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	03-08 12:46
will matt goodwin reform win the gorton and denton by election	1	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	02-14 17:54
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$7	17	0	+17	open	—	02-28 23:38
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	02-06 19:46
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$7	19	0	+19	open	—	02-28 11:58
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1m 791 144 948	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	02-14 09:54
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	02-16 11:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	02-13 07:19
nflx above 80 on february 27 2026	1	$7	32	0	+32	open	—	02-13 01:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 06:40:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	Yes	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xa17fc1…
05-28 16:37:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xb5d92f…
05-23 16:25:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xf6f098…
05-23 08:24:14	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xff4a3d…
05-22 16:08:06	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $22.5B?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xca046e…
05-22 01:03:02	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.3B?	No	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x327d3f…
05-21 00:38:42	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x814153…
05-15 18:31:49	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x9bc9e0…
05-13 03:01:11	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x16b484…
05-12 02:57:44	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x50b281…
05-11 10:56:46	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x11445c…
05-11 02:54:20	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xfb10ba…
05-10 10:30:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xfe37a8…
04-26 14:52:16	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4a2282…
04-23 15:40:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on April 24?	No	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0xf58661…
04-23 07:40:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x8832bf…
04-21 18:06:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x741ae9…
04-21 09:06:50	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xe9d340…
04-20 07:57:22	amzn up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x5f1400…
04-08 07:53:45	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa3d42c…
04-07 23:47:23	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x78daef…
04-07 15:40:35	Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $45M and $50M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x13a470…
04-07 07:35:09	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x99263a…
03-16 14:49:15	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xfe8725…
03-11 08:21:47	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x29d5bf…
03-08 12:46:05	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x0578a9…
03-04 20:51:29	will iran strike cyprus in march	No	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xcdf421…
03-04 12:50:55	will trump say job 10 times during tech signing event on wednesday	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x96efcf…
03-04 01:49:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0x9a1899…
03-03 17:47:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x38ef7f…
03-03 14:15:19	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xfe5970…
03-03 09:45:07	will israel or the us target an iranian oil or gas facility 716	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xa3a585…
03-02 14:30:43	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x1d236f…
03-02 08:07:49	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x6ac46e…
03-01 23:45:23	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x81c119…
03-01 15:44:45	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xd6cb16…
03-01 07:38:33	will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	No	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0xcd0204…
02-28 23:38:27	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xc47344…
02-28 15:38:19	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xb33c48…
02-28 11:58:13	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x7d6599…
02-28 07:36:59	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x3c1f88…
02-19 13:26:18	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x0ea112…
02-16 11:49:17	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xbe2966…
02-16 01:56:27	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xd356dc…
02-15 15:26:51	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0xd56b2f…
02-15 12:15:21	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xc2d17b…
02-15 08:48:45	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x9de69e…
02-15 05:35:45	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x7ce854…
02-15 02:22:25	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x67d60a…
02-15 01:56:31	will tsla dip to 383 in february	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xb411f2…
02-14 17:54:53	will matt goodwin reform win the gorton and denton by election	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x96cdf5…
02-14 14:22:47	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xecd9e6…
02-14 13:30:59	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x2f579b…
02-14 12:33:57	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xe0fb0d…
02-14 09:54:49	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1m 791 144 948	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x49d17e…
02-14 06:11:29	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x64e380…
02-14 01:54:29	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xe8503c…
02-13 20:28:57	will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xbd6e65…
02-13 17:51:17	will msft dip to 390 in february	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x4c5550…
02-13 15:45:35	will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x889e8c…
02-13 15:45:07	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xb7aaaf…
02-13 09:48:37	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x4ef798…
02-13 07:19:39	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x3a5d15…
02-13 01:47:27	nflx above 80 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0xfe932d…
02-12 07:41:47	fis quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 1pt69	Yes	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x548416…
02-10 07:53:07	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x4f51da…
02-10 02:21:31	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xc046ba…
02-10 01:51:25	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x9fa6f2…
02-09 19:38:31	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xdbe3cc…
02-09 13:21:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x585682…
02-09 08:39:41	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x0d9851…
02-09 06:39:55	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x3e8a1b…
02-08 18:47:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x9a7ebb…
02-07 05:18:11	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xadc4d9…
02-06 19:46:35	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x92034e…