Realized P&L (30d)
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
77.2%
Resolved (30d)
15
Trades (30d)
96
96 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$463
$463 lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$81
18 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 11-01 23:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
50% 73% -$34
Politics
44% 100% +$36
Tech
5% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 10-29 01:02
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +25 $25 100¢ $25 $0 11-01 16:43
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +6 $6 94¢ $6 +$0 10-26 05:01
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +7 $3 60¢ $4 +$1 10-26 03:54
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +14 $4 24¢ $3 -$1 11-01 23:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 10-30 12:30
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-05 18:43
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +3 $2 72¢ $2 +$0 11-01 17:30
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +3 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 10-30 12:28
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No -2 -$1 82¢ $-1 $0 10-29 17:52
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-26 05:25
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 10-26 05:00
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 10-26 05:21
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-26 05:25
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-30 10:01
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-26 00:17
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 82¢ $1 $0 10-30 14:59
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 88¢ $1 $0 10-13 18:55