Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
77.6%
Resolved
35
Trades
142
lifetime
Volume
$550
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$70
6 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 11-05 21:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
53% 76% +$38
Other
42% 77% -$31
Tech
5% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +43 $25 64¢ $27 +$2 11-04 16:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 10-29 01:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $13 76¢ $15 +$2 11-05 21:13
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-26 05:21
Ossoff ahead of Newsom on November 30? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 11-04 14:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +2 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-03 03:22