(anonymous) 0x71a24a…6b7c58
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$7
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
69.7%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
46
93 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$254
$433 lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$82
19 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-30 14:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
48% 78% -$34
Politics
46% 100% +$36
Tech
6% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 10-29 01:02
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 10-26 11:28
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +6 $6 93¢ $6 +$0 10-26 05:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +6 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-26 05:24
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +7 $3 60¢ $4 +$1 10-26 03:54
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 10-30 12:30
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 10-05 18:43
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No -2 -$1 82¢ $-1 $0 10-29 17:52
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +3 $1 50¢ $1 +$0 10-30 12:28
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-26 05:25
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 10-26 05:00
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 10-26 05:21
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +1 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-30 13:29
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-30 10:01
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 10-26 05:25
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $0 10-26 00:17
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 81¢ $1 $0 10-30 14:59
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 87¢ $1 $0 10-13 18:55
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes +2 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-10 13:21