(anonymous) 0x71ac8b…9fe8e5
7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$620
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
39.5%
Resolved
45
Trades
265
lifetime
Volume
$16.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$2.11K
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 10-29 23:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
78% 56% +$119
Politics
12% 0% -$692
Crypto
10% 40% -$47
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,500 $1,440 98¢ $1.5K +$24 10-27 03:38
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +10,450 $303 3¢ $287 -$16 10-10 17:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +200 $148 66¢ $131 -$17 10-29 23:43
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $40 39¢ $39 -$1 10-28 13:14
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $38 37¢ $37 -$1 10-28 01:15
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $26 23¢ $23 -$3 10-28 13:14
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +1,500 $21 1¢ $22 +$0 10-27 03:38
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +50 $26 42¢ $21 -$5 10-25 10:07
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +100 $18 18¢ $18 +$1 10-28 01:15
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +50 $11 29¢ $14 +$3 10-25 10:22
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $12 12¢ $12 +$0 10-28 13:14
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $10 11¢ $11 +$2 10-28 13:14
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,500 $3 0¢ $7 +$4 10-27 03:38
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +50 $5 13¢ $6 +$1 10-25 10:07
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $0 10-29 03:52
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-29 03:52
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $3 3¢ $3 $0 10-28 13:14
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,500 $4 0¢ $2 -$2 10-27 03:38
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,500 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 10-27 03:38
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 96¢ $0 $0 06-13 07:50