Annual-Swan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 09-17 13:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

55% 100% +$5

Crypto

31% 100% +$1

Tech

6% 100% +$4

Sports

6% 83% +$6

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		+16	$16	99¢	$16	+$0	05-21 12:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$104	106	+106	No	+$2	02-18 11:35
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$93	95	+95	No	+$2	08-20 15:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	1	$75	75	+75	No	+$0	04-10 14:10
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$67	68	+68	No	+$1	06-10 08:13
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	1	$45	45	+45	No	+$0	06-08 14:00
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$45	45	+45	No	+$0	05-21 12:32
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 240plus	1	$45	45	+45	No	+$0	04-10 14:09
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$42	42	+42	No	+$0	05-21 12:32
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$32	32	+32	No	+$0	08-21 12:52
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	01-11 14:07
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in september 2026	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	09-17 13:43
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 580plus	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	03-14 12:34
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-21 12:32
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$21	21	+21	No	+$0	07-25 09:15
nba okc den 2026 04 10	1	$20	24	+24	Nuggets	+$4	04-10 14:09
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	07-25 09:14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	05-21 12:31
nba dal sas 2026 04 10	1	$20	22	+22	Spurs	+$2	04-10 14:09
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 240plus	1	$17	17	+17	No	+$0	02-27 11:45
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 80 99	1	$16	16	+16	No	+$0	02-18 11:34
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$16	16	+16	open	—	05-21 12:31
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$16	16	+16	No	+$0	01-11 14:07
will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	1	$16	16	+16	No	+$0	08-21 12:51
will xrp reach 3 in march 2026	1	$16	16	+16	No	+$0	03-28 12:12
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	06-08 14:00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	05-21 12:31
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	02-18 11:34
will bitcoin reach 82k march 9 15	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	03-14 12:34
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 580plus	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	02-18 11:34
nba sas mil 2026 03 28	1	$11	12	+12	Spurs	+$1	03-28 12:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 13:43:09	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in september 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x18421e…
08-21 12:52:22	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xfcbeb9…
08-21 12:52:03	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe5a1bc…
08-21 12:51:43	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x91df8f…
08-20 15:51:49	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x8b493a…
07-25 09:15:00	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8dc2cf…
07-25 09:14:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb67291…
07-25 09:14:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x069cdb…
07-25 09:14:34	will solana reach 140 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc600be…
06-10 08:13:34	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0xd10e2d…
06-08 14:00:48	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x1cbc57…
06-08 14:00:40	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x89b464…
06-08 14:00:27	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xd1cb2e…
06-08 14:00:16	will bitcoin dip to 56k on june 8	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb83d1e…
05-21 12:33:32	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x36f19a…
05-21 12:32:40	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x600c6d…
05-21 12:32:19	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xb39c74…
05-21 12:32:00	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x12d08a…
05-21 12:31:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x08f8d4…
05-21 12:31:46	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6e2cf4…
05-21 12:31:26	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x5811cb…
04-10 14:10:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x750e87…
04-10 14:09:47	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 240plus	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xceb881…
04-10 14:09:21	nba dal sas 2026 04 10	Spurs	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x82ae7b…
04-10 14:09:15	nba okc den 2026 04 10	Nuggets	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x8c5946…
03-28 12:12:41	will xrp reach 3 in march 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xccd6b0…
03-28 12:12:31	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in march 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x902202…
03-28 12:12:07	nba sas mil 2026 03 28	Spurs	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x7fbb1f…
03-28 12:11:59	nba sac atl 2026 03 28	Hawks	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5ae641…
03-14 12:35:03	nba cha sas 2026 03 14	Spurs	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8a123a…
03-14 12:34:49	will bitcoin reach 82k march 9 15	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdc376e…
03-14 12:34:27	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 580plus	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8d12f1…
03-14 12:34:03	will zai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 189	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf0d40e…
02-27 11:45:53	elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 240plus	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfcc5f1…
02-27 11:45:45	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 0 39	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x177633…
02-27 11:45:35	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xecf487…
02-18 11:35:30	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xd4ca5e…
02-18 11:35:16	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 190 214	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x559a16…
02-18 11:34:58	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 80 99	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3ed0e2…
02-18 11:34:48	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 580plus	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x3badb9…
02-18 11:34:30	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbc6fb4…
01-11 14:08:14	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	78	98¢	$77	0x903f88…
01-11 14:07:48	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x102f42…
01-11 14:07:38	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7bea35…