Frightened-Pear — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$112

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.4%

Resolved (7d)

130

Trades (7d)

239

1,320 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$326

$1.66K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 10-31 20:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 32% -$137

Other

23% 22% -$41

Sports

4% 12% -$14

Politics

2% 10% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	9	$29	44	44	+0	Down	+$9	10-27 06:44
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-08-01?	3	$28	33	33	+0	Yes	+$26	08-01 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	6	$26	23	23	+0	Down	+$16	10-23 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	9	$24	26	26	+0	Down	+$10	10-23 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	5	$23	32	32	+0	Up	+$17	10-24 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	7	$20	70	69	+1	Up	+$2	10-27 07:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 09:05 UTC	5	$19	22	22	+0	Down	+$13	08-29 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	6	$17	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	10-23 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	6	$15	50	50	+0	Up	+$13	05-06 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	7	$13	22	22	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	8	$13	30	23	+8	Up	+$1	10-24 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	7	$13	17	17	+0	Up	+$5	10-27 06:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 12:05 UTC	4	$13	13	13	+0	Down	+$9	08-29 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	5	$11	11	11	+0	Down	+$3	10-27 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	5	$11	11	11	+0	Down	+$5	08-29 14:28
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$9	05-17 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	7	$11	52	11	+41	Up	-$1	10-24 16:39
Gold Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	8	$11	19	17	+2	Up	+$3	10-28 09:27
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$11	535	395	+140	No	+$1	05-18 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	10	$10	45	0	+45	Up	-$10	10-27 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	8	$9	11	11	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	6	$9	26	21	+6	Down	+$1	10-27 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	6	$9	62	31	+31	Down	-$1	10-27 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	7	$9	132	9	+123	Up	-$3	10-23 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	9	$9	256	0	+256	Up	-$9	10-24 16:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 13:00 UTC	3	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$5	08-29 13:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 13:15 UTC	8	$9	26	19	+8	Up	+$1	08-29 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$9	14	14	+0	Down	+$7	10-24 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$9	16	12	+4	Down	-$1	10-31 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	7	$9	119	9	+110	Up	+$1	10-24 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 20:04:43	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xbe0e14…
10-31 19:25:45	Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x97ce46…
10-31 19:23:16	Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0x3aa3ed…
10-31 19:22:58	Will AZ win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x9e8237…
10-31 19:21:21	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x0e4e2b…
10-31 19:17:27	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdd5b3b…
10-31 19:14:54	Will UC Sampdoria win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0xbd0559…
10-31 19:12:54	Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xd04921…
10-31 18:47:48	Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa0d612…
10-31 18:47:24	Will UC Sampdoria win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf7f444…
10-31 18:45:57	Will AZ win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xce5c37…
10-31 18:45:07	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x24c38e…
10-31 18:44:51	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdd8724…
10-31 18:44:22	Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6ab5cb…
10-31 18:44:03	Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x425ea7…
10-31 17:09:00	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6b4cc3…
10-31 17:03:57	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd387be…
10-31 16:58:37	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x243e52…
10-31 16:54:57	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x029d5b…
10-31 16:54:46	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x68f8da…
10-31 16:53:34	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x1520be…
10-31 14:09:06	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x896622…
10-31 13:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xf1e248…
10-31 13:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x592070…
10-31 13:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x3e7647…
10-31 13:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x540997…
10-31 13:48:31	Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xaecf51…
10-31 13:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5afe02…
10-31 13:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd30db3…
10-31 13:37:27	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x591fef…
10-31 13:37:18	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8c96fd…
10-31 13:37:09	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe4d12b…
10-31 13:36:07	Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Monza end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdbed00…
10-31 13:34:39	Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x462092…
10-31 13:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x81e3c2…
10-31 13:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x12c582…
10-28 13:05:34	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb93447…
10-28 12:18:38	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xdcf229…
10-28 12:18:37	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3cb810…
10-28 12:17:32	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe5dba7…
10-28 12:17:29	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x82084d…
10-28 12:17:20	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x47e653…
10-28 12:17:16	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6a9cc5…
10-28 11:19:49	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x579cde…
10-28 11:15:31	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4c636d…
10-28 11:08:19	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x982888…
10-28 10:47:37	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x64043b…
10-28 10:46:49	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf49015…
10-28 10:46:22	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x365278…
10-28 10:44:07	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0590c7…
10-28 10:41:52	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x096577…
10-28 10:39:50	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x76a95c…
10-28 10:38:41	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$0	0xd75a79…
10-28 10:35:01	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x63e718…
10-28 10:33:41	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x24b75d…
10-28 10:33:40	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf0dc9f…
10-28 10:22:07	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb4662c…
10-28 10:21:47	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x938ce2…
10-28 10:19:49	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdb5ac1…
10-28 10:07:20	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5e16c6…
10-28 10:00:31	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa05450…
10-28 09:59:08	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	12	46¢	$5	0xe50932…
10-28 09:53:59	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7837e4…
10-28 09:53:58	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x55ab2e…
10-28 09:39:35	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x304626…
10-28 09:34:37	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5b1b28…
10-28 09:33:13	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7876c7…
10-28 09:27:11	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x0a6b28…
10-28 09:26:49	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xfd7c1e…
10-28 09:25:53	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x24a54f…
10-28 09:25:52	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x1ac31b…
10-28 09:17:31	XAU Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd756a1…
10-28 09:17:29	XAU Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x987dcd…
10-28 09:17:01	XAU Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0a378f…
10-28 09:15:38	XAU Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe4c86f…
10-28 09:11:28	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfd50ce…
10-28 08:57:31	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xf3ae35…
10-28 08:52:31	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xc946b5…
10-28 08:47:34	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x920b11…
10-28 08:47:32	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xde3ae0…
10-28 08:44:40	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x2e1eb8…
10-28 08:42:14	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xb1b0f3…
10-28 08:39:52	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0x7159d5…
10-28 08:36:50	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1713c1…
10-28 08:36:47	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x577166…
10-28 08:16:52	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf535db…
10-28 08:16:14	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf8ef39…
10-28 08:16:13	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x48bc98…
10-28 08:15:53	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5bc029…
10-28 08:11:44	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x5b6436…
10-28 08:08:26	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe73ed0…
10-28 08:04:34	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x45f535…
10-28 08:04:29	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb5da93…
10-28 08:04:14	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xeed950…
10-28 07:56:47	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x431f1b…
10-28 07:55:17	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe32420…
10-28 07:55:08	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x064a59…
10-28 07:53:59	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x63951e…
10-28 07:53:29	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x5f0ff6…
10-28 07:48:16	Gold Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb56a29…