Frightened-Pear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$184

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

582

Trades

1,669

lifetime

Volume

$2.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

7 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 11-13 23:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 33% -$141

Other

44% 26% -$6

Sports

3% 12% -$14

Politics

2% 10% -$23

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 262 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Josh Hokit	+9	$3	34¢	$3	$0	11-13 22:19
GTA VI released by November 30?	No	+109	$1	1¢	$1	$0	11-13 23:22
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 15, 12:00 AM ET?	No	+11	$0	7¢	$1	+$1	11-13 23:20
FAA outage attributed to Iran?	Yes	+22	$1	3¢	$1	$0	11-13 22:34
FAA outage attributed to a foreign actor?	Yes	+8	$1	4¢	$0	$0	11-13 23:21
Counter-Strike: Team PCH3LK1N vs Team Recrent (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B	Team Recrent	+17	$4	2¢	$0	-$4	11-13 21:58
Will Madison Huang be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Yes	+5	$0	0¢	$0	$0	11-13 22:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	19	$133	474	463	+11	Froglings	+$59	11-13 22:23
Counter-Strike: WorldEdit Club vs Team NS (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	13	$89	208	108	+100	WorldEdit Club	-$3	11-13 20:16
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs	9	$47	159	159	+0	Omega	-$3	11-13 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	9	$29	44	44	+0	Down	+$9	10-27 06:44
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-08-01?	3	$28	33	33	+0	Yes	+$26	08-01 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	16	$28	35	35	+0	Down	+$14	11-13 15:29
Counter-Strike: Revise vs eSuba (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group A	9	$26	81	66	+16	eSuba	+$6	11-13 17:24
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs	7	$26	48	48	+0	Galorys	+$12	11-13 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	6	$26	23	23	+0	Down	+$16	10-23 16:48
Gold Up or Down - November 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	17	$25	52	23	+29	Down	+$5	11-03 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	9	$24	26	26	+0	Down	+$10	10-23 18:08
Counter-Strike: Four Magic vs Alliance (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #12 Group A	8	$23	125	71	+54	Alliance	+$0	11-13 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	5	$23	32	32	+0	Up	+$17	10-24 19:04
Gold Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	12	$22	27	22	+5	Up	+$8	11-03 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	7	$20	70	69	+1	Up	+$2	10-27 07:53
Counter-Strike: Revise vs eSuba - Map 1 Winner	6	$19	19	19	+0	open	—	11-13 18:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 09:05 UTC	5	$19	22	22	+0	Down	+$13	08-29 09:06
Gold Up or Down - November 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	13	$19	34	27	+6	Down	+$5	11-13 15:44
Counter-Strike: LUNTIKI vs 33 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca: Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	7	$18	54	49	+5	33	+$6	11-13 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	6	$17	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	10-23 17:19
Gold Up or Down - November 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	16	$16	50	0	+50	Down	-$16	11-03 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	9	$15	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	11-13 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	6	$15	50	50	+0	Up	+$13	05-06 14:10
Gold Up or Down - November 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	9	$14	22	10	+12	Up	+$2	11-03 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	7	$13	22	22	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	8	$13	30	23	+8	Up	+$1	10-24 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	7	$13	17	17	+0	Up	+$5	10-27 06:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 12:05 UTC	4	$13	13	13	+0	Down	+$9	08-29 12:08
Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Regnum4Games (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	4	$12	28	25	+4	Vitality Academy	+$0	11-13 17:55
Gold Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	10	$12	18	18	+0	Up	+$4	11-02 13:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 23:22:30	GTA VI released by November 30?	No	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0x68bd04…
11-13 23:21:04	FAA outage attributed to a foreign actor?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x0fd30a…
11-13 23:20:33	Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 15, 12:00 AM ET?	No	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xae9e1d…
11-13 23:10:06	Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 15, 12:00 AM ET?	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xfae53a…
11-13 23:08:51	FAA outage attributed to a foreign actor?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfebd64…
11-13 22:58:54	Will Madison Huang be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9feb97…
11-13 22:54:58	Counter-Strike: BARCA vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs	BORRACHEIROS	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x981609…
11-13 22:34:46	FAA outage attributed to Iran?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xf3e4d4…
11-13 22:26:28	Counter-Strike: BARCA vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs	BORRACHEIROS	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6785ef…
11-13 22:23:22	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Team Spirit	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xb81a91…
11-13 22:22:36	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Team Spirit	SELL	28	13¢	$4	0x78cca4…
11-13 22:19:22	UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Josh Hokit	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x8f6781…
11-13 22:08:19	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Team Spirit	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x4dcd3d…
11-13 22:03:10	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Team Spirit	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x84ccbb…
11-13 22:00:51	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Froglings	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x2642cb…
11-13 22:00:34	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Froglings	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0xf0cbf7…
11-13 21:58:57	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Froglings	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x777bf6…
11-13 21:58:27	Counter-Strike: Team PCH3LK1N vs Team Recrent (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B	Team Recrent	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x990c63…
11-13 21:57:36	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Froglings	SELL	41	58¢	$24	0xda9cc8…
11-13 21:51:21	Counter-Strike: Team PCH3LK1N vs Team Recrent (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B	Team Recrent	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xb59227…
11-13 21:46:36	Counter-Strike: STATE vs 33 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca: Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	33	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x3d798e…
11-13 21:43:58	Counter-Strike: STATE vs 33 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca: Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	33	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x53bea9…
11-13 21:43:16	Counter-Strike: Team PCH3LK1N vs Team Recrent (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B	Team Recrent	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x4aa00b…
11-13 21:38:55	Counter-Strike: STATE vs 33 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca: Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	33	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfb5a4f…
11-13 21:34:58	Counter-Strike: STATE vs 33 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca: Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	33	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x252140…
11-13 21:27:36	Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x6f8669…
11-13 21:22:01	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Froglings	SELL	27	26¢	$7	0x8c7edf…
11-13 21:18:34	Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs maybe (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #12 Playoffs	KUUSAMO.gg	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x583ca8…
11-13 21:11:31	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Froglings	SELL	36	23¢	$8	0x8a554f…
11-13 21:09:00	Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs maybe (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #12 Playoffs	KUUSAMO.gg	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x3f5813…
11-13 21:03:52	Will Morocco vs. Niger end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x954f17…
11-13 21:03:45	Will Niger win on 2026-11-13?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0xddbf7a…
11-13 21:03:00	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Froglings	SELL	48	18¢	$9	0xba2642…
11-13 21:02:07	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Froglings	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xcd64ef…
11-13 20:47:31	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Froglings	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8b028a…
11-13 20:47:12	Counter-Strike: BARCA vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs	BORRACHEIROS	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x233a42…
11-13 20:39:22	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Froglings	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x3f330b…
11-13 20:39:06	Counter-Strike: Omega vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs	Inner Circle Academy	SELL	94	4¢	$4	0xc9527f…
11-13 20:36:13	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Froglings	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x3e5559…
11-13 20:35:51	Counter-Strike: Omega vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs	Inner Circle Academy	SELL	31	15¢	$5	0xab95f9…
11-13 20:34:34	Counter-Strike: Omega vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0x4c72f1…
11-13 20:26:49	Gold Up or Down - November 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2193dd…
11-13 20:25:54	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Froglings	SELL	237	5¢	$12	0x05a6a0…
11-13 20:16:07	Counter-Strike: WorldEdit Club vs Team NS (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	Team NS	BUY	84	23¢	$19	0xe1d4b5…
11-13 20:13:58	Counter-Strike: WorldEdit Club vs Team NS (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	Team NS	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x4c582b…
11-13 20:12:22	Counter-Strike: Omega vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0x1159ae…
11-13 20:08:54	Counter-Strike: WorldEdit Club vs Team NS (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	WorldEdit Club	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xd8431b…
11-13 20:05:01	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Froglings	BUY	183	6¢	$11	0xd07ddd…
11-13 20:04:33	Will Niger win on 2026-11-13?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x9b4f7f…
11-13 20:04:24	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-11-13?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x80cdfb…
11-13 20:03:39	Counter-Strike: WorldEdit Club vs Team NS (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	WorldEdit Club	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xdb5402…
11-13 19:59:18	Counter-Strike: WorldEdit Club vs Team NS (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	Team NS	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0xc6267c…
11-13 19:51:55	Counter-Strike: BARCA vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs	BORRACHEIROS	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbec4cd…
11-13 19:50:39	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Froglings	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf2669a…
11-13 19:50:13	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs	Xipto Esports	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xbe5974…
11-13 19:45:48	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C	Team Liquid	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x3e8164…
11-13 19:41:45	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C	Team Liquid	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x4c7f82…
11-13 19:41:03	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C	Team Liquid	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x72a067…
11-13 19:40:04	Counter-Strike: WorldEdit Club vs Team NS (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	Team NS	SELL	16	41¢	$7	0x45f458…
11-13 19:37:03	Counter-Strike: WorldEdit Club vs Team NS (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	Team NS	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x17d97d…
11-13 19:36:09	Counter-Strike: WorldEdit Club vs Team NS (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	Team NS	SELL	43	30¢	$13	0xdcf428…
11-13 19:34:00	Counter-Strike: WorldEdit Club vs Team NS (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	Team NS	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0x2cb8a4…
11-13 19:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x09f647…
11-13 19:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb3404a…
11-13 19:30:48	Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Alliance (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #12 Playoffs	Lavked	SELL	103	1¢	$1	0x1cadea…
11-13 19:28:36	Counter-Strike: Omega vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs	Omega	SELL	23	41¢	$9	0x84ce13…
11-13 19:22:31	Counter-Strike: WorldEdit Club vs Team NS (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	Team NS	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0xaba228…
11-13 19:11:48	Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Alliance (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #12 Playoffs	Lavked	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x484750…
11-13 19:11:25	Counter-Strike: Omega vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs	Omega	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb0e07c…
11-13 19:10:42	Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	ex-RUSTEC	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x6743ce…
11-13 19:08:09	Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Alliance (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #12 Playoffs	Lavked	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xdf98a3…
11-13 19:04:13	Counter-Strike: WorldEdit Club vs Team NS (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	Team NS	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xef7b0e…
11-13 19:01:01	Counter-Strike: Omega vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs	Omega	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x0b61f4…
11-13 18:59:52	Counter-Strike: WorldEdit Club vs Team NS (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	Team NS	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x8aee5a…
11-13 18:56:52	Counter-Strike: Galorys vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs	RED Canids Academy	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0xdb873c…
11-13 18:44:22	Counter-Strike: Galorys vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs	RED Canids Academy	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0xce63ce…
11-13 18:43:03	Counter-Strike: Omega vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs	Omega	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xaaf650…
11-13 18:41:30	Counter-Strike: Galorys vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs	RED Canids Academy	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xe8fb15…
11-13 18:41:10	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs	Xipto Esports	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9e8ff4…
11-13 18:40:37	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D	Froglings	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xbea973…
11-13 18:39:28	Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	ex-RUSTEC	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x5c1e21…
11-13 18:38:49	Counter-Strike: WorldEdit Club vs Team NS (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	Team NS	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb1d08e…
11-13 18:35:46	Counter-Strike: Omega vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs	Omega	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x922eec…
11-13 18:31:01	Counter-Strike: JUMBO TEAM vs Glitchtech Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	Glitchtech Esports	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x457fa4…
11-13 18:29:04	Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Alliance (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #12 Playoffs	Lavked	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xdd6c0d…
11-13 18:28:07	Counter-Strike: Revise vs eSuba - Map 1 Winner	eSuba	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x207511…
11-13 18:26:28	Counter-Strike: underw0rld vs Mira (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A	underw0rld	SELL	9	39¢	$3	0x3831dc…
11-13 18:21:57	Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	ex-RUSTEC	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9b8a71…
11-13 18:13:13	Counter-Strike: Galorys vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs	RED Canids Academy	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x518a1f…
11-13 18:08:42	Counter-Strike: LUNTIKI vs 33 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca: Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	LUNTIKI	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x0b9d1c…
11-13 18:08:01	Counter-Strike: LUNTIKI vs 33 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca: Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	LUNTIKI	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0xde21e8…
11-13 18:06:16	Counter-Strike: LUNTIKI vs 33 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca: Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	LUNTIKI	SELL	21	18¢	$4	0xbe4cec…
11-13 18:01:46	Counter-Strike: LUNTIKI vs 33 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca: Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	LUNTIKI	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x1e795c…
11-13 17:58:42	Counter-Strike: underw0rld vs Mira (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A	underw0rld	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x4805aa…
11-13 17:57:22	Counter-Strike: LUNTIKI vs 33 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca: Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs	LUNTIKI	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdfe1a1…
11-13 17:55:28	Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Regnum4Games (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	Regnum4Games	SELL	11	32¢	$3	0xec24a1…
11-13 17:54:40	Counter-Strike: Revise vs eSuba - Map 1 Winner	eSuba	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x952afd…
11-13 17:54:28	Counter-Strike: Revise vs eSuba - Map 1 Winner	eSuba	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0xae1bf4…
11-13 17:53:54	Counter-Strike: Galorys vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs	RED Canids Academy	SELL	18	31¢	$5	0xac4786…
11-13 17:45:46	Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Regnum4Games (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	Regnum4Games	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x6e2c07…