Realized P&L
+$807
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
52.8%
Resolved
655
Trades
977
lifetime
Volume
$28.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$336
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 10-27 10:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Crypto
89% 44% +$672
Other
9% 55% +$92
Politics
1% 45% +$53
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 0% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +224 $150 72¢ $160 +$10 10-25 10:07
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +75 $50 72¢ $53 +$3 10-25 10:24
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +48 $20 61¢ $29 +$9 10-27 10:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +49 $30 53¢ $26 -$4 10-25 10:28
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +71 $40 33¢ $23 -$17 10-27 10:27
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +31 $20 52¢ $16 -$4 10-25 10:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +25 $10 24¢ $6 -$4 10-25 10:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +24 $5 24¢ $6 +$1 10-25 10:28
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +48 $10 11¢ $5 -$5 10-25 10:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +25 $5 18¢ $4 -$1 10-25 10:13
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $2 28¢ $2 $0 10-27 10:46
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $2 8¢ $2 $0 10-27 10:29
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? Yes +59 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-27 10:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? Yes +9 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 10-27 10:45
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +36 $10 1¢ $0 -$10 10-25 10:23