Cavernous-Fill — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

45 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$57 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 07-22 17:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

74% 18% -$15

Other

26% 11% -$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+96	$8	3¢	$3	-$5	07-22 17:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+2	$1	38¢	$1	$0	04-30 16:47
iran coup attempt by december 31	Yes	+7	$1	8¢	$1	$0	07-22 17:13
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	+6	$1	9¢	$0	$0	05-05 18:32
US military draft authorized in 2026?	Yes	+10	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	04-30 16:45
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	Yes	+4	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	04-30 16:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 17:21:25	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6a6297…
07-22 17:15:55	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9a1941…
07-22 17:15:16	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xaecd5c…
07-22 17:15:04	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xa9795e…
07-22 17:13:21	iran coup attempt by december 31	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd8b463…
06-26 14:47:55	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc31933…
06-26 14:47:35	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xc71751…
06-26 14:47:05	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xcc96c5…
06-26 14:46:47	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x02f1f4…
06-26 14:46:32	Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa817e7…
06-26 14:46:08	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x7281f4…
06-08 08:39:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6008c1…
06-08 08:34:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbd14ee…
06-08 08:34:09	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x2f7a0b…
06-08 08:32:15	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x54d827…
05-05 18:32:12	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf513d7…
05-05 18:31:38	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x174a87…
05-05 18:31:24	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xead56e…
05-05 17:50:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x274f7f…
05-05 08:33:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x05614b…
05-05 08:30:50	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x257ec3…
05-05 08:30:00	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb2a5e0…
05-05 08:29:48	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8bd86c…
05-02 13:05:50	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xafa20b…
05-02 13:05:12	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x801384…
05-01 07:03:26	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0x604964…
05-01 07:00:36	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	Yes	SELL	124	5¢	$6	0x11293a…
04-30 17:01:56	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x050ae5…
04-30 17:00:48	Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x6fa778…
04-30 16:57:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe84be3…
04-30 16:54:54	Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x004682…
04-30 16:53:46	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xea4ba9…
04-30 16:52:30	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0b5efa…
04-30 16:51:52	Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf2c74a…
04-30 16:51:18	Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x7d4b82…
04-30 16:49:30	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xafd558…
04-30 16:48:58	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x10a410…
04-30 16:47:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x19448b…
04-30 16:45:56	US military draft authorized in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x814ceb…
04-25 08:25:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x039600…
04-25 08:11:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xf0e49a…
04-25 07:48:42	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x471735…
04-25 07:29:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x9dc9cc…
04-25 07:26:16	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe279f4…
04-25 07:25:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xcf98dc…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	2	$8	40	124	-84	No	+$4	05-02 13:05
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	3	$8	96	0	+96	open	—	07-22 17:15
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	3	$7	20	20	+0	No	-$7	06-26 14:46
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?	2	$3	10	0	+10	No	-$3	05-05 08:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$3	79	0	+79	No	-$3	04-25 08:11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	2	$2	16	0	+16	No	-$2	05-05 17:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	2	$2	14	0	+14	No	-$2	06-08 08:39
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$1	12	12	+0	No	-$1	06-26 14:46
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	2	$1	3	3	+0	No	-$1	06-26 14:47
US military draft authorized in 2026?	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	04-30 16:45
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	1	$1	65	0	+65	No	-$1	06-08 08:34
will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	1	$1	12	0	+12	No	-$1	07-22 17:15
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	05-05 08:29
will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	1	$1	51	0	+51	No	-$1	07-22 17:15
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	05-05 08:30
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	1	$1	61	0	+61	No	-$1	04-30 17:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	06-08 08:34
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	29	0	+29	No	-$1	04-25 07:48
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-30 16:53
iran coup attempt by december 31	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	07-22 17:13
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-30 16:52
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	05-05 18:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-30 16:47
Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?	1	$1	34	0	+34	No	-$1	04-30 16:51
will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	07-22 17:21
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	-$1	04-30 16:54
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	17	0	+17	No	-$1	04-25 07:26
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 18:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	05-05 08:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	04-30 16:57