Watery-Nothing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$820

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.2%

Resolved

14,624

Trades

19,737

lifetime

Volume

$64.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-28 06:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 273 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 73% -$805

Other

0% 26% -$14

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 266 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 01:30 UTC	8	$76	162	61	+101	Up	+$22	02-19 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$70	77	0	+77	Down	+$7	05-05 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 02:35 UTC	12	$63	53	53	+1	Up	+$5	03-08 02:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 15:15 UTC	9	$62	64	54	+10	Down	+$1	02-19 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 00:50 UTC	6	$52	43	27	+16	Up	+$2	03-03 00:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 08:50 UTC	7	$46	41	41	+1	Down	-$1	03-03 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$45	51	0	+51	Up	+$6	05-01 01:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 17:45 UTC	10	$45	56	28	+28	Down	-$1	03-12 17:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 15:00 UTC	8	$44	94	35	+59	Down	-$16	02-19 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$43	46	0	+46	Down	+$3	05-01 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$43	45	0	+45	Down	+$2	04-28 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$42	45	0	+45	Up	+$4	05-01 05:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 10:00 UTC	7	$41	53	32	+21	Up	+$12	02-19 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$41	43	0	+43	Down	+$2	05-01 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$40	47	0	+47	Down	+$7	05-05 18:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 12:00 UTC	2	$40	115	0	+115	Down	-$40	02-08 12:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 13:45 UTC	2	$40	59	0	+59	Up	+$19	02-08 13:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 13:15 UTC	2	$40	63	0	+63	Up	+$23	02-08 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$40	41	0	+41	Down	+$1	05-01 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$39	39	0	+39	Down	+$0	05-01 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$39	45	0	+45	Down	-$39	04-30 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$39	48	0	+48	Down	+$9	04-27 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$39	41	0	+41	Up	+$2	04-27 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 10:40 UTC	6	$38	37	26	+11	Up	+$2	02-24 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$38	48	0	+48	Down	+$10	05-01 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$37	42	0	+42	Down	+$5	05-05 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$37	40	0	+40	Down	+$3	05-01 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$37	50	0	+50	Down	-$37	04-30 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$37	46	0	+46	Down	+$9	04-27 23:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 13:10 UTC	9	$37	30	29	+0	Up	+$5	03-10 13:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x59ae67…
10-28 07:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xf4713d…
10-28 06:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x482c4c…
10-28 06:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0x237b15…
10-28 05:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x467568…
10-28 05:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x99e642…
10-28 03:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0xe7b619…
10-28 03:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x94ce32…
10-28 02:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x843d7e…
10-28 02:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xa62fec…
10-28 01:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0x16c6fd…
10-27 23:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x1fe242…
10-27 22:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0x26f13e…
10-27 22:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x9b1e27…
10-27 20:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xf9e37a…
10-27 20:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xfab0df…
10-27 20:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x607833…
10-27 19:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x399063…
10-27 19:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x870803…
10-27 19:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0x118fe2…
10-27 16:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x2bc3db…
10-27 14:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x0db303…
10-27 12:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x918ebe…
10-27 12:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xdae1c5…
10-27 12:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x747477…
10-27 12:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x9d8094…
10-27 11:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xb12c9a…
10-27 10:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x9e10a5…
10-27 10:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x1ef1b2…
10-27 10:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x49849c…
10-27 09:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xfa362d…
10-27 09:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x2f9743…
10-27 09:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xdf03bb…
10-27 08:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x55657b…
10-27 08:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xad05d7…
10-27 07:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x451a24…
10-27 06:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x0398d2…
10-27 05:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x7137b0…
10-27 05:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xa7c78b…
10-27 04:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x698257…
10-27 04:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x8eb368…
10-27 03:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xbbf321…
10-27 03:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xa79b5a…
10-27 02:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xc421be…
10-27 01:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xf8fd34…
10-27 00:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x3a369e…
10-27 00:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xf304d9…
10-26 23:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xffb129…
10-26 23:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xf9e1ae…
10-26 22:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xb7a1dc…
10-26 22:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xaaf095…
10-26 21:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xa668d0…
10-26 20:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x6b99f1…
10-26 19:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x089e27…
10-26 18:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x6fd6be…
10-26 17:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xbf0ad2…
10-26 17:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x257bb8…
10-26 16:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xcad240…
10-26 14:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x9553b0…
10-26 14:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x2b304e…
10-26 14:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x9aefbc…
10-26 14:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x240132…
10-26 12:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x4a3468…
10-26 11:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xd7cecb…
10-26 11:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x951f3a…
10-26 11:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xa702c8…
10-26 11:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xd368a2…
10-26 11:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x1f4d26…
10-26 09:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x98a28b…
10-26 09:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xd3122a…
10-26 09:13:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xdbaa40…
10-26 08:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x77b753…
10-26 05:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x7a336d…
10-26 05:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xbf20cd…
10-26 04:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x64e517…
10-26 02:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x90ba54…
10-26 01:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x67ceb9…
10-26 01:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x4048c2…
10-26 00:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x838e3f…
10-26 00:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x4c3bda…
10-25 23:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xcaa2ff…
10-25 23:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xce45f4…
10-25 23:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x367ebb…
10-25 22:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x1a0dba…
10-25 19:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xc48d73…
10-25 19:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x1bb395…
10-25 18:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x958879…
10-25 17:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xbea79e…
10-25 16:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xaf16d4…
10-25 15:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xd4f420…
10-25 15:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x1b23da…
10-25 14:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xf40d95…
10-25 14:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xca3ccf…
10-25 14:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x7c65ad…
10-25 14:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xd5af75…
10-25 13:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xeafdf5…
10-25 12:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x99f29f…
10-25 12:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x94e47b…
10-25 11:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x880f85…
10-25 10:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xc3c06f…