Watery-Nothing — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$18

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

14 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$280

$280 lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 02:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down		+11	$10	84¢	$9	$-1	05-06 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down		+13	$10	1¢	$0	$-10	05-06 02:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$35	43	+43	Up	+$8	05-05 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$35	36	+36	Down	+$1	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$28	32	+32	open	—	05-05 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$26	28	+28	Up	+$2	05-04 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$26	32	+32	Up	+$6	05-04 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$20	23	+23	open	—	05-05 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$15	19	+19	open	—	05-06 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$15	18	+18	open	—	05-06 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$15	18	+18	open	—	05-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$15	19	+19	open	—	05-06 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$15	17	+17	open	—	05-06 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$15	18	+18	open	—	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	05-06 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	05-06 02:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 02:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xe91ecf…
05-06 01:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x5665c2…
05-06 01:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x9aa674…
05-06 00:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xaaede1…
05-06 00:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xbcb400…
05-06 00:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xcded99…
05-06 00:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x1c0ce0…
05-06 00:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x1525e2…
05-05 20:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	88¢	$28	0x229cbf…
05-05 18:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0x3f5dca…
05-05 00:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	43	81¢	$35	0x1274bc…
05-04 22:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x4efff1…
05-04 21:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x23f1ff…
05-04 20:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0x8a20a7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	13	$3.37K	90	05-06 02:09
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	13	$1.39K	44	05-06 02:09
Unselfish-Condominium 0x1f19…f57a	12	$545	61	05-06 02:09
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	11	$2.21K	200	05-06 02:09
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	11	$2.00K	81	05-06 02:09
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	11	$1.36K	122	05-06 02:09
Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail 0x7e5d…c4c3	11	$638	74	05-06 02:09
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	11	$541	35	05-06 02:08