Watery-Nothing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$170

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$32

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 20:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down		+32	$28	99¢	$32	+$4	05-05 20:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$35	43	+43	Up	+$8	05-05 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$35	36	+36	Down	+$1	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$28	32	+32	open	—	05-05 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$26	28	+28	Up	+$2	05-04 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$26	32	+32	Up	+$6	05-04 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$20	23	+23	open	—	05-05 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 20:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	88¢	$28	0x229cbf…
05-05 18:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0x3f5dca…
05-05 00:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	43	81¢	$35	0x1274bc…
05-04 22:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x4efff1…
05-04 21:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x23f1ff…
05-04 20:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0x8a20a7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	5	$2.25K	22	05-05 20:09
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	3	$873	17	05-05 20:08
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	3	$572	48	05-05 20:08