Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

95 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$902

$902 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$46

6 positions

First seen

2026-11-09

last 11-15 09:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

70% 75% +$5

Politics

17% — —

Tech

8% 100% +$3

Crypto

4% 50% -$3

Sports

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	+27	$20	72¢	$20	$0	11-15 09:23
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+43	$15	34¢	$15	$0	11-15 09:19
Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+18	$8	26¢	$5	-$3	11-12 22:44
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+34	$5	10¢	$3	-$1	11-12 19:19
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Yes	+6	$2	26¢	$2	-$1	11-10 16:46
Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Yes	+5	$2	24¢	$1	-$1	11-12 17:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get between 10 and 20 million views on week 1?	2	$104	65	65	+0	open	—	11-12 19:22
Will "How to Rob a Bank" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	5	$58	72	72	+0	open	—	11-12 23:24
Will the next Gemini model family be named Gemini Hydrogen?	2	$44	25	25	+0	Yes	+$4	11-12 08:24
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?	2	$42	45	45	+0	open	—	11-14 20:56
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$39	25	25	+0	open	—	11-10 16:50
New NVIDIA CEO named by December 31, 2026?	2	$38	25	25	+0	open	—	11-14 14:09
Will "How to Rob a Bank" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	11-13 18:42
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	4	$32	29	29	+0	open	—	11-12 21:55
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$29	16	16	+0	open	—	11-12 17:55
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	11-12 17:45
Gold Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	4	$21	53	53	+0	Up	+$1	11-09 20:24
Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	11-11 18:05
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	11-15 09:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	11-14 17:05
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	11-14 17:30
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2027?	2	$19	100	100	+0	open	—	11-14 12:28
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	3	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	11-14 17:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	2	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	11-14 17:05
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	2	$18	33	33	+0	open	—	11-14 17:49
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$17	24	24	+0	open	—	11-14 09:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	2	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	11-14 12:27
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	1	$15	43	0	+43	open	—	11-15 09:19
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	11-14 17:49
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	3	$14	34	34	+0	open	—	11-14 20:56
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	11-13 18:30
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	11-14 20:56
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$12	65	65	+0	open	—	11-14 17:30
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$12	100	100	+0	open	—	11-14 20:56
Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 20?	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	11-14 10:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 10?	2	$11	10	10	+0	No	-$3	11-10 15:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 09:23:44	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xa49f0a…
11-15 09:19:02	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x883603…
11-14 20:56:50	Will NVIDIA's next CEO be an internal candidate?	Yes	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x75015a…
11-14 20:56:46	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x6007c8…
11-14 20:56:37	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xf1a23d…
11-14 20:56:31	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?	No	SELL	45	41¢	$18	0x3b4dda…
11-14 20:56:28	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	34	16¢	$6	0x2c856c…
11-14 20:56:20	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $176 in November?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x520398…
11-14 17:50:07	Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x1c71e4…
11-14 17:49:44	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x57e3a8…
11-14 17:49:26	Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	33	27¢	$9	0xb32e3e…
11-14 17:30:37	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	65	9¢	$6	0xdca03e…
11-14 17:30:19	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x37b3c0…
11-14 17:30:07	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0x54361b…
11-14 17:05:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x895813…
11-14 17:05:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x0621df…
11-14 14:09:58	New NVIDIA CEO named by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	76¢	$19	0xd05f81…
11-14 12:28:52	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xefc1c1…
11-14 12:27:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x5b0d3d…
11-14 10:12:13	Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 20?	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xfaa6a8…
11-14 09:11:29	New NVIDIA CEO named by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x50db39…
11-14 09:01:16	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	24	36¢	$9	0xf26fff…
11-13 21:57:52	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x191018…
11-13 20:09:21	Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 20?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe3455a…
11-13 18:52:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xec59a8…
11-13 18:48:57	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0xab278b…
11-13 18:48:57	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x4dde20…
11-13 18:42:42	Will "How to Rob a Bank" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7ae767…
11-13 18:39:34	Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x795e59…
11-13 18:30:49	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x494fff…
11-13 08:09:15	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	65	10¢	$6	0xff6d8d…
11-12 23:49:06	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x5c75be…
11-12 23:30:40	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x46129a…
11-12 23:26:28	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0xc3795b…
11-12 23:24:01	Will "How to Rob a Bank" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	72	13¢	$9	0x87989f…
11-12 22:50:07	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xd3bb0b…
11-12 22:44:15	Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x84e430…
11-12 21:55:04	Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	No	SELL	23	58¢	$13	0xf9e068…
11-12 20:00:58	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf27f09…
11-12 19:57:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x2a2cca…
11-12 19:36:04	Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0x51c02a…
11-12 19:33:34	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb9471b…
11-12 19:24:37	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x8e93f2…
11-12 19:22:24	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get between 10 and 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	65	79¢	$51	0xf4a669…
11-12 19:21:58	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get between 10 and 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	65	81¢	$53	0x9d7715…
11-12 19:19:37	Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0x70bc21…
11-12 19:16:30	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2797d7…
11-12 19:14:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x645125…
11-12 19:04:48	will nvda reach 176 in november 2026 from november 12	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x3948e4…
11-12 18:42:12	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x982abd…
11-12 18:38:03	Will NVIDIA's next CEO be an internal candidate?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x2aa7d5…
11-12 17:55:13	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0x518cd9…
11-12 17:45:52	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x3b9a33…
11-12 17:25:42	Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x314afa…
11-12 08:35:18	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x2bfd29…
11-12 08:33:10	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x5d7430…
11-12 08:24:36	Will the next Gemini model family be named Gemini Hydrogen?	Yes	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x1fc5a8…
11-11 18:05:52	Will "How to Rob a Bank" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xe2a180…
11-11 18:05:30	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x4e93e0…
11-11 18:05:16	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0xb866a0…
11-11 15:36:22	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0xe8e052…
11-11 15:29:31	Will "How to Rob a Bank" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	23	69¢	$16	0x491dc7…
11-11 15:29:30	Will "How to Rob a Bank" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	27	69¢	$18	0x3d925b…
11-11 14:31:39	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?	No	BUY	45	53¢	$24	0x0de262…
11-11 14:27:25	Will the next Gemini model family be named Gemini Hydrogen?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x72c02e…
11-10 17:16:49	Will "How to Rob a Bank" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x5f1883…
11-10 16:51:06	Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	No	BUY	23	63¢	$14	0xa6f676…
11-10 16:50:46	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0xf1f2fe…
11-10 16:46:16	Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x088333…
11-10 16:45:55	Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x8946ae…
11-10 16:45:33	Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xfacf13…
11-10 16:45:09	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x005068…
11-10 15:40:54	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x84b55d…
11-10 15:34:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 10?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x12aa24…
11-10 15:26:18	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x4f6bb3…
11-10 15:18:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$4	0x9c45b2…
11-10 13:05:19	Will "How to Rob a Bank" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xce6431…
11-10 13:04:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x323c97…
11-10 08:41:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 10?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x8de559…
11-09 21:48:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x07b2ab…
11-09 21:24:55	UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xdf9a26…
11-09 20:35:57	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x4f9a9c…
11-09 20:31:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xd6699a…
11-09 20:30:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x01558b…
11-09 20:27:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0xdb8513…
11-09 20:25:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe7abe2…
11-09 20:24:00	Gold Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x612091…
11-09 20:23:37	Gold Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc70fa8…
11-09 20:23:22	Gold Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	33	17¢	$6	0xb9b3b6…
11-09 20:23:13	Gold Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x6a00e2…
11-09 19:59:21	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x0d6b10…
11-09 19:55:27	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x0d7692…
11-09 19:53:12	UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd66d15…
11-09 19:51:13	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x583b9c…
11-09 19:50:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb3c6cf…