Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$476

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

Trades

746

lifetime

Volume

$30.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$205

1 position

First seen

2026-03-20

last 06-15 12:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

43% 100% +$78

Other

40% 50% +$53

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

6% 100% +$345

Sports

4% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+213	$200	96¢	$205	+$5	06-15 12:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	4	$1.7K	1,500	2,500	-1,000	No	+$345	05-07 15:26
mlb nym lad 2026 04 14 nrfi	5	$1.1K	1,000	1,650	-650	open	—	04-15 02:33
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	15	$965	2,000	1,800	+200	open	—	04-21 11:04
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	10	$780	969	1,675	-706	open	—	04-27 16:13
will pltr dip to 126 in june 2026	7	$760	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-04 13:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	9	$657	900	1,600	-700	open	—	04-25 15:28
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	3	$594	450	650	-200	open	—	04-13 16:59
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	6	$574	500	500	+0	open	—	04-13 17:06
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	12	$573	800	950	-150	open	—	04-22 08:05
highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 14corbelow	5	$546	177	527	-350	open	—	04-07 10:10
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	10	$544	700	1,000	-300	No	+$60	04-09 22:30
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	12	$529	2,400	500	+1,900	open	—	04-19 12:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	4	$526	700	1,350	-650	open	—	04-25 15:23
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	5	$501	1,450	1,650	-200	open	—	04-27 17:54
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	6	$458	800	1,450	-650	open	—	03-26 16:39
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	15	$451	650	650	+0	open	—	04-08 17:50
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	3	$394	200	350	-150	open	—	03-20 17:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	7	$379	750	750	+0	open	—	04-25 15:23
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	7	$366	450	650	-200	open	—	04-15 13:34
houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	12	$355	1,950	0	+1,950	open	—	04-04 17:44
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$352	700	1,200	-500	open	—	04-27 18:31
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	6	$332	650	650	+0	open	—	04-24 13:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	10	$317	550	850	-300	open	—	04-17 13:57
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$316	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	04-27 17:27
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	8	$306	900	1,300	-400	open	—	04-08 18:07
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	7	$302	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	04-15 13:32
will minhxdynasty win the legend trade series	3	$302	350	350	+0	open	—	04-12 03:01
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$301	200	350	-150	open	—	04-12 13:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	8	$284	450	450	+0	open	—	04-24 20:57
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	7	$283	400	400	+0	open	—	03-23 11:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 12:53:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xf585a1…
06-04 13:32:04	will pltr dip to 126 in june 2026	No	SELL	735	55¢	$404	0x118723…
06-04 13:09:19	will pltr dip to 126 in june 2026	No	SELL	32	55¢	$18	0x4c126f…
06-04 12:47:48	will pltr dip to 126 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xc6c595…
06-04 12:40:30	will pltr dip to 126 in june 2026	No	SELL	38	55¢	$21	0x3bcac5…
06-04 12:34:28	will pltr dip to 126 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xed6f73…
06-04 12:26:07	will pltr dip to 126 in june 2026	No	SELL	95	55¢	$52	0xc2e55e…
06-03 19:29:21	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in June?	No	BUY	1,000	21¢	$210	0x9a3133…
05-22 13:39:39	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x16d8b7…
05-07 18:00:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xd13c0b…
05-07 15:26:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	SELL	2,484	61¢	$1,515	0xf1e432…
05-07 15:26:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x808523…
05-07 15:26:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x5f275a…
05-07 15:26:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	1,500	12¢	$180	0xf5b5b0…
04-28 00:12:24	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	188	7¢	$13	0x6a7ea2…
04-28 00:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 28?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x6d9979…
04-28 00:10:10	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x63759d…
04-27 18:31:08	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,200	20¢	$240	0x95e222…
04-27 17:54:14	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	SELL	1,650	17¢	$284	0xd8b653…
04-27 17:27:02	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	1,047	14¢	$149	0xcc8e53…
04-27 17:21:20	Will Leavitt say "President" 55+ times during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	600	1¢	$6	0x9907f6…
04-27 17:20:44	Will Leavitt say "President" 55+ times during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	400	11¢	$44	0x03879b…
04-27 17:17:22	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	153	13¢	$20	0xc3c600…
04-27 16:13:18	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	900	30¢	$270	0x12151a…
04-27 16:01:22	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	696	23¢	$160	0x286072…
04-27 15:55:36	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	600	9¢	$56	0x43c84f…
04-27 15:55:34	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	400	12¢	$49	0x3671b7…
04-27 15:55:14	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	13¢	$52	0x037e5b…
04-27 15:52:26	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xe28afd…
04-27 15:52:12	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	20¢	$60	0x3f0929…
04-27 15:51:10	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	600	8¢	$48	0x7d8b3d…
04-27 15:50:42	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0x1c70dd…
04-27 15:50:40	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	300	19¢	$57	0x635f3f…
04-27 15:50:08	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x920d52…
04-27 15:50:02	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	15¢	$22	0x163712…
04-27 15:49:46	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x7a449f…
04-27 15:49:44	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	229	15¢	$34	0xb7e81b…
04-27 15:49:44	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0x496b91…
04-27 07:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x9c17c6…
04-27 07:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 28?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4c9f52…
04-26 16:20:28	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	No	SELL	40	36¢	$15	0x7fc5f0…
04-26 16:20:28	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	No	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x5a85b7…
04-26 12:57:16	Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0x6f8a0c…
04-26 09:58:06	Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0xcc92d1…
04-26 05:25:04	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	No	SELL	258	19¢	$49	0x201773…
04-26 05:23:56	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	No	SELL	42	19¢	$8	0x904b9d…
04-26 04:28:48	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	No	BUY	300	18¢	$54	0x39d93d…
04-25 15:28:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x92dcbf…
04-25 15:28:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0xb0ac4e…
04-25 15:28:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	31¢	$32	0x93abfb…
04-25 15:28:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0x86c650…
04-25 15:28:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	31¢	$29	0x81986f…
04-25 15:28:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0x36d5af…
04-25 15:23:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	26¢	$78	0xc4d618…
04-25 15:23:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	24¢	$96	0x296787…
04-25 15:18:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0x7e1882…
04-25 15:15:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	19¢	$57	0x3a6598…
04-25 15:15:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0x2b72fe…
04-25 10:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on April 26?	Yes	SELL	44	85¢	$38	0x438021…
04-25 10:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on April 26?	Yes	BUY	44	36¢	$16	0xd6137a…
04-24 23:37:00	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x5a9b4a…
04-24 23:36:58	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	No	SELL	124	41¢	$51	0x726250…
04-24 23:36:58	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x698392…
04-24 23:36:58	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	No	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x16bdcf…
04-24 22:19:28	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xc382e8…
04-24 20:57:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	41¢	$77	0xba1977…
04-24 20:50:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xf4b172…
04-24 20:50:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xbbd784…
04-24 20:49:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x485832…
04-24 20:49:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x14afb3…
04-24 20:42:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	19¢	$57	0x9ab0aa…
04-24 16:14:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x63b98b…
04-24 16:08:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xa3fa63…
04-24 16:02:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	292	22¢	$64	0x2ef435…
04-24 15:57:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xe99502…
04-24 15:57:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x5dc8a8…
04-24 15:57:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	150	37¢	$56	0xa628b9…
04-24 15:57:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	74	33¢	$24	0xfecadf…
04-24 15:57:00	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	226	34¢	$76	0xe8fa0a…
04-24 15:57:00	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	124	28¢	$35	0xab689c…
04-24 15:57:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,300	34¢	$447	0x9aa907…
04-24 15:57:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	276	35¢	$96	0x792241…
04-24 15:57:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	300	25¢	$76	0x7888b3…
04-24 15:57:00	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	200	35¢	$70	0x67d4bc…
04-24 15:57:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	1,050	32¢	$337	0x2d9da5…
04-24 15:52:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	241	16¢	$39	0x23061e…
04-24 15:51:56	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0xd8a7e0…
04-24 15:51:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	190	28¢	$53	0x5f2056…
04-24 15:51:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xa6ccb8…
04-24 15:51:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	59	16¢	$9	0xe38c7b…
04-24 15:51:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	300	19¢	$57	0xa7533d…
04-24 15:51:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	150	31¢	$46	0x4f5857…
04-24 15:50:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0x1e00c8…
04-24 15:50:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	600	10¢	$60	0xa20925…
04-24 15:50:32	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0xb65422…
04-24 15:48:56	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	150	31¢	$46	0xa6b91c…
04-24 15:45:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x15e6e0…
04-24 14:49:20	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	SELL	400	13¢	$52	0xc7881f…
04-24 14:36:58	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	BUY	400	12¢	$48	0x3aef34…
04-24 14:06:04	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	No	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0x787b15…