Ruddy-Item — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.07K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$21.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$202

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-15 09:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

70% 50% +$2,290

Crypto

22% 82% $-222

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	4	$3.5K	1,828	1,828	+0	open	—	03-02 05:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	16	$3.2K	5,837	1,666	+4,171	Yes	+$2,390	03-30 10:08
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2.0K	1,260	1,260	+0	open	—	05-13 21:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$1.8K	1,024	1,024	+0	open	—	03-01 14:56
khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	2	$1.7K	858	858	+0	open	—	03-01 00:16
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.4K	852	852	+0	open	—	02-28 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	9	$1.0K	809	479	+330	Up	+$98	05-13 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$858	477	477	+0	Up	+$58	05-13 14:09
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	6	$645	21,060	9,059	+12,001	open	—	01-30 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	6	$610	413	413	+0	Up	+$10	05-13 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	5	$545	489	489	+0	Down	$-255	05-13 14:18
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$436	294	294	+0	open	—	05-15 09:25
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	4	$405	305	305	+0	open	—	01-14 22:13
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	3	$359	3,838	3,838	+0	open	—	02-07 18:48
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$345	281	281	+0	open	—	01-15 09:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$320	791	791	+0	Yes	$-100	03-30 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$311	236	132	+104	Down	+$15	05-13 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$300	598	0	+598	Up	$-300	05-13 14:20
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$281	426	426	+0	open	—	05-14 08:44
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	6	$266	2,314	2,314	+0	open	—	03-25 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$246	179	179	+0	Down	+$46	05-13 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$240	404	154	+250	Down	+$30	05-13 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$235	136	136	+0	Down	+$35	05-13 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$233	185	185	+0	Up	+$33	05-13 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$207	110	110	+0	Up	+$7	05-13 07:04
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$80	167	167	+0	open	—	03-25 18:07
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$69	500	500	+0	open	—	05-14 08:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	3	$15	122	122	+0	open	—	03-25 18:08
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	02-20 07:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 09:25:49	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	294	80¢	$236	0xb4d7bb…
05-14 08:44:14	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$19	0xd04572…
05-14 08:44:10	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	426	19¢	$81	0x9dea35…
05-13 21:15:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1,260	79¢	$995	0x776d54…
05-13 14:31:18	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,260	79¢	$1,000	0x099a26…
05-13 14:30:46	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x2835c2…
05-13 14:30:32	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x675315…
05-13 14:30:10	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xcb2a42…
05-13 14:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0xdf0104…
05-13 14:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xab9709…
05-13 14:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	205	49¢	$100	0x620e3f…
05-13 14:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	489	30¢	$145	0x3aac8c…
05-13 14:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0xf3b471…
05-13 14:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x27a2af…
05-13 14:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x2ba8b4…
05-13 14:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0xb6c9cb…
05-13 14:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x88ae42…
05-13 14:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x46f610…
05-13 14:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xad2f71…
05-13 14:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	295	87¢	$257	0xc20883…
05-13 14:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0xed61b4…
05-13 14:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x306d09…
05-13 14:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	184	74¢	$136	0x8cdaec…
05-13 14:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	70¢	$24	0x77ba86…
05-13 14:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xdced0b…
05-13 14:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	477	96¢	$458	0x4726c3…
05-13 14:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	136	73¢	$100	0x21e510…
05-13 14:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xe2aa4a…
05-13 14:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x26bbb1…
05-13 14:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x31d173…
05-13 12:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	179	82¢	$146	0x60a8c8…
05-13 12:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x76b279…
05-13 12:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0x06e741…
05-13 12:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	255	63¢	$161	0x9678d5…
05-13 12:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0x050369…
05-13 12:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	140	72¢	$100	0x65b6f8…
05-13 12:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	129	94¢	$121	0x9d4587…
05-13 12:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	129	77¢	$100	0x2e7162…
05-13 12:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x449485…
05-13 12:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	154	88¢	$135	0x79f1a2…
05-13 12:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x1d36a8…
05-13 07:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	136	99¢	$135	0x232bf3…
05-13 07:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	136	73¢	$100	0xb55290…
05-13 07:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	185	72¢	$133	0x1d0006…
05-13 07:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x4bf618…
05-13 07:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	110	97¢	$107	0xa02ff2…
05-13 07:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x0f7d72…
05-13 06:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xed7c0c…
05-13 06:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	132	84¢	$111	0x88e966…
05-13 06:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x931c5a…
03-30 10:08:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0xc2f69e…
03-30 10:08:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xc8f452…
03-25 18:10:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	34¢	$38	0x0b81a6…
03-25 18:08:55	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$1	0x6b1113…
03-25 18:08:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	3¢	$4	0x8c0e1b…
03-25 18:07:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	167	18¢	$30	0xc886c6…
03-03 19:21:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,956	43¢	$834	0xefaf92…
03-03 19:21:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x11bfc4…
03-02 12:54:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc9a9e9…
03-02 12:53:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x21eecc…
03-02 12:53:47	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x41cf85…
03-02 05:30:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	SELL	920	99¢	$909	0x6ded65…
03-01 21:19:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	920	98¢	$901	0xa0365a…
03-01 14:56:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	SELL	1,024	88¢	$901	0xd39280…
03-01 14:06:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	1,024	87¢	$891	0xf6d435…
03-01 13:58:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1856ea…
03-01 13:58:01	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x70814e…
03-01 13:56:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	SELL	908	98¢	$893	0xbf1ca6…
03-01 00:18:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	908	91¢	$827	0x3187e0…
03-01 00:16:57	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	No	SELL	858	96¢	$827	0x31a6df…
02-28 23:56:39	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	No	BUY	858	99¢	$851	0x54043f…
02-28 08:21:23	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	852	100¢	$851	0xd224f4…
02-26 05:45:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	281	37¢	$104	0x6478f6…
02-26 05:44:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	741	14¢	$104	0x9ba461…
02-24 19:32:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	39¢	$67	0x39c5c2…
02-24 19:31:44	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2,147	3¢	$67	0xcac872…
02-20 07:28:22	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	852	69¢	$588	0xb6f91a…
02-20 07:28:00	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa663a5…
02-07 19:15:55	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	990	9¢	$89	0x1ee2b1…
02-07 19:15:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	741	27¢	$200	0xfa7745…
02-07 19:14:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	682	44¢	$300	0x8e10a7…
02-07 18:48:21	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,158	9¢	$104	0x78d3fa…
02-07 18:48:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	3,838	3¢	$104	0x8dffd4…
02-05 20:54:31	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1,571	3¢	$51	0x9ab6e3…
02-05 20:54:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	117	43¢	$50	0xeac7a4…
01-30 07:22:04	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,941	1¢	$21	0x0f7013…
01-30 07:21:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	46¢	$20	0xcb56bf…
01-23 15:53:40	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2,267	9¢	$204	0x738366…
01-23 15:52:56	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	Yes	SELL	9,059	2¢	$204	0xb7a99d…
01-23 09:37:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,106	45¢	$497	0xd2dee4…
01-22 17:53:34	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8,429	3¢	$215	0xe092a3…
01-22 16:36:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	43¢	$215	0x01f496…
01-22 15:12:14	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,827	2¢	$65	0x8516c9…
01-22 15:11:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	44¢	$220	0x7426d5…
01-22 15:10:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	663	43¢	$285	0x590b4d…
01-22 11:09:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	663	43¢	$285	0x1b760f…
01-22 10:43:52	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6,492	2¢	$130	0x67a78a…
01-22 10:41:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	317	41¢	$130	0x6b27fb…
01-15 09:54:20	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0x748c26…
01-15 09:53:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x1975c3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Mixed-Journal 0x2fe7…42c1	18	$12.9K	1,359	05-13 14:21
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	17	$4.54M	6,328	05-21 15:56
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	17	$198.9K	3,045	05-14 04:32
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	17	$18.9K	201	05-22 19:48
Speedy-Bartender 0x4bf4…7021	17	$17.1K	647	05-19 00:50
Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c	17	$627	166	05-13 14:22
Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8	16	$599.0K	1,984	05-21 03:13
Vengeful-Netsuke 0x5cd5…ac33	16	$119.5K	301	05-16 05:29