Itchy-Burro — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$133

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

83.5%

Resolved

1,152

Trades

2,639

lifetime

Volume

$9.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-02 06:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

61% 91% +$36

Politics

17% 89% -$10

Crypto

12% 19% -$192

Sports

8% 69% +$62

Pop-Culture

2% 33% -$28

Tech

0% 71% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		+9	$6	76¢	$7	+$1	10-24 16:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No		+5	$0	12¢	$1	+$0	11-02 06:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	4	$280	283	140	+143	Yes	$0	07-23 14:53
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	3	$276	187	187	+0	No	+$11	05-17 13:44
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$276	209	209	+0	open	—	05-21 14:00
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	3	$200	275	142	+133	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$56	05-03 09:11
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	4	$147	100	50	+50	No	+$1	08-04 15:19
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	6	$133	130	130	+0	No	-$28	08-26 16:26
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	3	$132	90	45	+45	Yes	+$2	08-04 12:19
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	2	$127	100	100	+0	open	—	06-16 16:49
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	1	$100	116	0	+116	Argentina	+$16	07-07 15:00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	07-19 22:57
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$80	45	45	+0	No	+$0	05-23 20:07
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	1	$79	100	0	+100	France	+$21	07-08 09:21
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	1	$75	100	0	+100	Spain	+$25	07-08 09:23
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$75	100	0	+100	Argentina	+$25	07-10 22:08
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$75	882	882	+0	No	+$45	07-07 13:02
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	2	$70	50	50	+0	No	+$5	05-26 19:17
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$63	100	0	+100	No	+$37	07-14 18:36
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$56	100	0	+100	Spain	-$56	07-14 18:36
ethereum above 2000 on february 25	2	$55	50	50	+0	Yes	+$45	02-25 16:57
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$52	2,098	0	+2,098	No	-$52	06-01 19:32
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	4	$47	54	54	+0	No	-$15	10-24 06:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$0	10-23 07:35
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	4	$42	47	0	+47	No	+$5	08-04 23:05
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$41	60	0	+60	Norway	-$41	07-04 20:32
will the us next strike iran on february 4 2026 et	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	02-05 16:55
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	2	$31	42	0	+42	Morocco	+$11	07-04 11:39
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	2	$31	18	18	+0	No	+$2	06-07 08:59
will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453	3	$27	31	13	+19	Yes	+$6	01-31 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1?	9	$21	935	935	+0	Down	-$19	09-01 16:02
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$18	75	75	+0	No	$0	03-22 12:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 06:28:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x72c967…
10-24 16:03:48	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xc39200…
10-24 06:27:21	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x18842a…
10-23 18:26:30	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xcad4e0…
10-23 18:20:12	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	62¢	$15	0x5d4b68…
10-23 07:36:54	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x6d689a…
10-23 07:35:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x4afbf9…
10-21 18:23:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x1fa2a8…
10-05 17:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x5a46ed…
10-05 16:17:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xc03f4c…
10-05 15:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xcbad6a…
09-23 16:21:30	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in September?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xab147f…
09-20 13:39:42	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xefd13f…
09-16 16:56:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x08bae6…
09-16 16:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xa03366…
09-16 15:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x23993f…
09-16 11:26:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x3bb98d…
09-16 11:26:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x0ebd9e…
09-16 11:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x9076c3…
09-16 11:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x0dfc84…
09-16 09:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x994afd…
09-16 09:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf1392d…
09-16 08:17:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0x492fc9…
09-16 08:17:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x019d8e…
09-16 06:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x1326c3…
09-16 04:34:55	bitcoin up or down september 16 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x6c63eb…
09-16 04:34:34	bitcoin up or down september 16 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x9cf199…
09-16 01:37:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x524df6…
09-15 23:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xf50f02…
09-15 23:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc6adf1…
09-15 19:33:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0x337902…
09-15 19:33:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x77120a…
09-13 09:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x748e61…
09-10 19:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x840b8c…
09-10 18:55:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xa95d96…
09-10 18:55:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xbad558…
09-09 04:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	8	30¢	$3	0x8766c8…
09-09 04:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x2f5cf3…
09-09 03:47:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xf3bb14…
09-09 03:47:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe00d71…
09-09 02:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8ce2ae…
09-09 01:48:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x4016c6…
09-09 01:47:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd51a44…
09-08 22:44:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x815824…
09-08 22:43:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd80423…
09-08 21:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xb7a590…
09-08 21:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x32c5a5…
09-08 19:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	8	57¢	$4	0x6feae9…
09-08 19:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x77f0ac…
09-08 18:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0xe4ce49…
09-08 18:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1bdd82…
09-08 16:55:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x2ed711…
09-07 03:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xca42d0…
09-07 03:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9071bc…
09-06 23:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	8	31¢	$3	0xe73246…
09-06 23:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x691cae…
09-06 21:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf0758f…
09-06 17:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x041c3d…
09-06 17:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8429ed…
09-06 14:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x69fe55…
09-06 14:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x363944…
09-05 06:40:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xbd486e…
09-05 06:37:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xa55c14…
09-05 05:19:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	8	55¢	$5	0x194780…
09-05 05:18:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd7bcb6…
09-05 03:24:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x484d4f…
09-05 03:23:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4a1326…
09-05 02:34:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x9586f2…
09-05 02:33:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7a0b99…
09-05 02:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x70f9e4…
09-05 02:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x59a660…
09-05 01:14:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x26802a…
09-05 01:14:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x7eea8f…
09-04 22:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0xb0431a…
09-04 22:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x0c4aa2…
09-04 21:56:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x392c90…
09-04 21:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x27820a…
09-04 20:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x707438…
09-04 20:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x8a5567…
09-04 13:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0xacabb1…
09-04 13:57:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x47e8f7…
09-04 12:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x9014b9…
09-04 12:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xc0b379…
09-04 11:52:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x0f9cb9…
09-04 11:51:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x15df4b…
09-04 11:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x324fb1…
09-03 16:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc8e103…
09-03 13:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x4a7ddf…
09-03 12:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$2	0x4afb83…
09-03 11:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x99b76a…
09-03 11:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x50eb90…
09-03 11:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe0ee24…
09-03 11:04:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x240799…
09-03 11:03:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x675964…
09-03 10:41:00	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0x90eada…
09-03 10:37:19	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$3	0x72b055…
09-03 10:37:18	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x54e7dc…
09-02 20:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x2ea7c7…
09-02 20:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x872eb6…
09-02 17:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x17c833…