Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$608

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

2.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

2,307 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$28.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-24

last 10-17 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Politics

53% 8% -$2,479

Other

45% 10% -$1,946

Sports

1% 20% -$8

Tech

0% 17% -$3

Crypto

0% 50% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 308 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Together be in the next Israeli government?	No		-8	$6	29¢	$-2	-$8	10-10 13:11
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 23, 2026?	No	—	+0	$1	78¢	$0	-$1	10-06 03:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?	10	$453	406	406	+0	open	—	10-07 09:15
Will Big Brother episode not air?	8	$422	305	305	+0	No	+$0	09-29 14:11
Will anyone say "Jury" during Big Brother E41?	8	$279	300	300	+0	Yes	+$0	09-29 01:32
Will anyone say "Family" during Big Brother E41?	6	$274	300	300	+0	Yes	-$17	10-01 03:47
Will anyone say "Surprise" during Big Brother E41?	6	$242	236	236	+0	Yes	$0	09-29 13:52
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?	21	$240	267	267	+0	No	-$40	10-05 16:17
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by October 31, 2026?	21	$222	200	200	+0	Yes	-$33	10-14 06:23
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	18	$201	180	180	+0	Yes	-$24	10-11 02:05
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?	7	$192	182	132	+50	open	—	10-06 21:13
Will Trump say "Visa" in October?	12	$175	156	156	+0	No	-$22	10-08 18:27
Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	6	$172	135	135	+0	Yes	-$14	10-06 08:26
Will George Harvie win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?	9	$165	124	124	+0	No	-$16	10-04 13:23
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by October 31, 2026?	18	$161	160	160	+0	No	-$29	10-11 20:44
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	6	$156	106	106	+0	No	-$10	10-06 00:02
Will Trump say "Pearl Harbor" this week?	6	$155	131	131	+0	No	+$1	09-30 18:19
Will anyone say "Blind" during Big Brother E40?	2	$148	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-28 06:10
Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government?	4	$148	120	120	+0	open	—	10-06 15:48
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by October 31, 2026?	19	$147	180	180	+0	Yes	-$31	10-12 10:21
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Mark Rutte by October 31, 2026?	13	$143	120	120	+0	No	-$19	10-11 03:05
Will Mark Jessop win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	4	$142	100	100	+0	No	-$14	10-05 19:02
Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	6	$139	120	120	+0	open	—	10-07 09:03
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?	15	$135	134	134	+0	No	-$15	10-11 02:25
Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?	12	$135	120	120	+0	open	—	10-10 07:34
Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?	6	$132	100	100	+0	No	-$10	10-06 19:45
Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	6	$132	108	108	+0	Yes	-$9	10-07 07:36
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Chuck Schumer by October 31, 2026?	14	$131	112	112	+0	Yes	-$30	10-11 17:56
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31?	4	$130	100	100	+0	open	—	10-07 07:43
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?	2	$128	100	100	+0	open	—	10-05 19:29
Will Chloe Foster win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?	10	$127	117	117	+0	Yes	-$24	10-04 18:12
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31?	4	$127	100	100	+0	open	—	10-07 17:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 13:47:47	Will Derrick Henry have 1,249.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x711a8d…
10-17 13:47:17	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.05T by October 31?	No	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0x9826e6…
10-17 13:04:39	Will Courtland Sutton have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x0de8b5…
10-17 13:04:26	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Javier Milei by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	64¢	$0	0x42d2bc…
10-15 21:21:02	Will Lyon qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x865a65…
10-15 07:08:52	Will Malik Willis have 2,949.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xb6ce31…
10-14 06:23:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x362765…
10-13 00:31:42	Will C.J. Stroud have 3,849.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xd32245…
10-12 16:53:41	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	No	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x283988…
10-12 16:52:47	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	No	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0x15f06d…
10-12 15:36:03	Will Dalton Kincaid have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xbc1313…
10-12 15:24:14	Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x4360e9…
10-12 15:10:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x541ee3…
10-12 14:54:23	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xdc1ae3…
10-12 14:43:05	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xa83199…
10-12 14:43:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	35¢	$7	0xef3043…
10-12 14:20:06	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	50¢	$7	0x38eb6a…
10-12 14:20:03	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xe1ce71…
10-12 14:11:06	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x88642a…
10-12 14:04:44	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x91a530…
10-12 14:03:21	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x597889…
10-12 13:50:02	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 19?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x91ebd5…
10-12 13:48:54	Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x300512…
10-12 13:48:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 19?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x4156cb…
10-12 13:48:18	Will C.J. Stroud have 3,849.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x0358ae…
10-12 13:47:53	Will Malik Willis have 2,949.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5dc7e2…
10-12 13:47:53	Will Dalton Kincaid have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x2204f3…
10-12 13:43:08	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 14?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x0080d9…
10-12 12:30:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 14?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x7e2ac4…
10-12 11:57:05	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xeca2cf…
10-12 11:09:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x716d3e…
10-12 11:09:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x68f278…
10-12 11:01:27	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xb25886…
10-12 10:35:29	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xc4dc4b…
10-12 10:34:21	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe184f1…
10-12 10:21:48	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xd8e641…
10-12 09:37:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x388cda…
10-12 07:55:34	Will Travis Kelce have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xbf6781…
10-12 07:41:43	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $195B by October 31?	No	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xff7841…
10-12 04:57:14	Will Christian McCaffrey have 8.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xf8d46f…
10-12 03:56:47	Will Christian McCaffrey have 8.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x1899ac…
10-12 02:57:56	Will Travis Kelce have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xc1826d…
10-12 02:39:57	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 19?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x9aa6f7…
10-12 02:21:12	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 19?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x0bce19…
10-12 00:56:30	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Gianni Infantino by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	69¢	$13	0x3d9ce1…
10-12 00:32:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x2fb07a…
10-12 00:19:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ilhan Omar by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x641b3e…
10-12 00:10:23	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x3fc841…
10-11 23:54:11	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Bryson DeChambeau by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xc4423f…
10-11 22:14:56	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Bryson DeChambeau by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x3a17a2…
10-11 21:47:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xfd5615…
10-11 21:34:41	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xf347c6…
10-11 20:44:17	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xf8c71a…
10-11 20:44:12	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Gianni Infantino by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0xab1f90…
10-11 19:09:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x3cbcea…
10-11 18:30:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x7fc615…
10-11 18:27:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x37ff48…
10-11 18:13:00	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	No	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x77c1c7…
10-11 18:10:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xa97a8e…
10-11 17:56:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Chuck Schumer by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x309cb4…
10-11 17:39:54	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 13?	No	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0xa37889…
10-11 16:41:55	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	No	BUY	13	42¢	$6	0x0ca2dd…
10-11 16:33:45	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x966dd1…
10-11 16:32:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x8769c0…
10-11 15:56:09	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x96277d…
10-11 15:55:19	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xa389db…
10-11 15:40:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 13?	No	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x99f1a7…
10-11 15:30:25	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x85287c…
10-11 15:03:42	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?	No	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0xd93bb1…
10-11 15:03:34	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?	No	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0xd26787…
10-11 14:41:04	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xe70972…
10-11 14:26:51	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x9593c7…
10-11 14:08:10	Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xcacbed…
10-11 13:48:10	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xc7a811…
10-11 13:42:42	Will Adam Telle be the next confirmed Army Secretary?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xb972f9…
10-11 13:07:24	Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xe520ed…
10-11 12:41:36	Will Adam Telle be the next confirmed Army Secretary?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x2771b1…
10-11 12:36:34	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 15?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x70621f…
10-11 12:29:00	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 14?	No	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0xa321dd…
10-11 11:58:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Chuck Schumer by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xabd5ae…
10-11 11:56:10	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 15?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x1113d7…
10-11 11:54:30	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x78a171…
10-11 11:20:57	Will Gavin Williams lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	No	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0xf8e167…
10-11 11:20:21	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 13?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x46e9e5…
10-11 11:12:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 14?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x596b62…
10-11 10:55:09	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 13?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xf9a627…
10-11 10:07:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x389394…
10-11 09:25:45	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 12?	No	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x5037de…
10-11 09:12:19	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0xd5dd30…
10-11 08:50:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x510cd7…
10-11 08:49:34	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb5fa8d…
10-11 08:49:31	Will Indiana make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xd1b4cf…
10-11 08:47:49	Will Indiana make College Football Playoff Semifinals?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x086129…
10-11 08:39:00	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x7cc584…
10-11 08:16:57	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x78b081…
10-11 05:51:42	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x30ad0f…
10-11 04:05:17	Will Gavin Williams lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	No	SELL	19	55¢	$10	0xf0f45c…
10-11 03:40:32	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x83a68a…
10-11 03:05:20	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Mark Rutte by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x233162…
10-11 03:03:42	Will Gavin Williams lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x7b0e8a…