Staid-Temp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

Trades

630

lifetime

Volume

$2.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 07-16 19:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

59% 67% $-8

Crypto

27% — —

Politics

13% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes		+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	07-13 15:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	16	$132	146	146	+0	open	—	04-05 04:46
will japans january 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt7	5	$81	61	61	+0	open	—	03-03 10:32
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	10	$78	46	46	+0	open	—	05-06 19:45
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	2	$47	25	25	+0	open	—	03-17 15:41
aapl quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 2pt67	3	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	01-29 21:32
pypl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 03 2026 1pt29	5	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	02-03 12:08
app quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 11 2026 2pt95	5	$36	28	18	+10	open	—	02-11 21:15
bitcoin up or down january 31 2am et	12	$32	50	50	+0	open	—	01-31 07:47
bitcoin up or down january 31 3am et	7	$31	30	30	+0	open	—	01-31 08:17
bitcoin up or down january 31 4am et	8	$31	30	30	+0	open	—	01-31 09:33
btc updown 5m 1772763900	4	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	03-06 02:28
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	5	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-03 16:00
will mrbeasts next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 6	4	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	03-27 04:15
btc updown 5m 1772286000	4	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	02-28 13:42
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	03-30 08:32
btc updown 5m 1772285400	4	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	02-28 13:34
mpc quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 03 2026 2pt98	8	$26	19	19	+0	open	—	02-03 13:12
btc updown 5m 1772767500	4	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	03-06 03:30
will trump visit china by march 31	4	$25	15	10	+5	open	—	03-27 12:41
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	5	$24	36	36	+0	open	—	03-07 09:08
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	2	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	03-09 03:24
btc updown 5m 1771103100	7	$24	32	20	+12	open	—	02-14 21:10
bkng quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 48pt5	6	$23	121	121	+0	open	—	02-18 08:33
btc updown 5m 1771001400	5	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	02-13 16:54
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	4	$23	30	30	+0	open	—	02-02 23:13
moga quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 23 2026 2pt19	3	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	01-30 23:08
lmt quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 6pt2	4	$21	26	0	+26	open	—	01-29 12:22
btc updown 5m 1772768700	4	$21	29	18	+10	open	—	03-06 03:49
bitcoin up or down january 31 1am et	5	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	01-31 06:32
oxy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 0pt25	4	$21	17	17	+0	open	—	02-18 22:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 19:09:16	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 0pt79	Yes	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x47bd07…
07-16 15:01:16	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 0pt79	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1907f9…
07-16 04:26:40	usb quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 1pt27	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3f1921…
07-15 18:26:37	lol g2nord tog 2026 07 16	G2 NORD	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x006677…
07-15 18:26:23	lol hle1 jdg 2026 07 16	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x11b769…
07-15 18:26:14	lol blg t1 2026 07 16	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x269240…
07-15 18:22:38	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xbd9acb…
07-14 19:30:32	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x66be2e…
07-13 15:20:19	Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x78a4cd…
07-12 06:55:56	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x32df2c…
07-12 01:04:46	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x271de1…
07-07 22:57:32	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x9f0714…
07-07 19:46:58	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xaf3356…
07-07 01:52:31	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x3db8c2…
07-07 01:48:50	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x6ff634…
07-07 00:35:05	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xab8213…
07-06 17:32:37	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x0fd27a…
07-05 13:13:38	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x00a206…
06-23 19:43:26	will mu dip to 990 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc59fbf…
06-01 12:08:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc0ff1c…
05-29 01:59:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xbce720…
05-29 01:58:30	Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xdf60d6…
05-28 09:25:36	Will Dell Technologies (DELL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xb62b06…
05-13 05:54:28	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xadd420…
05-13 05:54:17	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd73f70…
05-13 01:39:35	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x349d3f…
05-13 00:52:55	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x8f9155…
05-13 00:52:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x02d3eb…
05-06 19:47:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x9720d7…
05-06 19:45:35	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xcd0e65…
05-06 19:42:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xcf64ee…
05-05 22:58:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xdb3871…
05-05 04:22:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf7e46c…
05-04 00:18:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xaaccdd…
05-03 18:59:34	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	93¢	$33	0x872f8b…
04-17 21:30:14	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0e15d3…
04-17 21:27:38	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x43e3a7…
04-15 11:25:48	ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 3	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x138bff…
04-15 10:30:00	pnc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 3pt92	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x07c5e3…
04-15 09:30:28	mtb quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 4	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x078bf6…
04-14 22:38:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x4bc473…
04-14 22:37:24	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	SELL	16	33¢	$5	0x3b4f6e…
04-14 22:23:42	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x49497a…
04-14 22:23:42	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x01ffd5…
04-14 10:29:29	wfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 1pt58	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbbb92a…
04-12 03:36:33	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xcf8378…
04-09 02:23:57	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd97ab4…
04-09 02:23:23	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6c7b16…
04-07 13:12:23	will 40 44 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc573e5…
04-07 13:12:23	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb8a95d…
04-05 04:46:57	lol tes al 2026 04 05	Anyone's Legend	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x63cfec…
04-05 04:46:09	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x06d511…
04-05 04:45:37	lol jdg blg 2026 04 05	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x61e975…
04-03 17:27:53	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x899e29…
04-03 17:25:41	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb15206…
04-03 16:00:17	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x80191f…
04-03 01:12:11	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x94eb68…
04-03 00:39:57	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x110516…
04-02 18:28:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xf9477e…
03-30 23:30:41	will japans february 2026 unemployment rate be 3pt0	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe7331a…
03-30 15:47:41	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$3	0xca8b1a…
03-30 13:01:42	will the bank of israel increase the bank of israel interest rate after the march decision	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xae313e…
03-30 12:44:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8af448…
03-30 08:32:46	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	18	73¢	$13	0x1162f2…
03-29 19:56:14	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xd327bf…
03-29 19:51:02	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb24613…
03-29 19:51:00	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbd25b0…
03-29 19:51:00	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb7ef44…
03-29 19:51:00	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa84b7d…
03-29 12:55:58	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x603ea6…
03-28 23:44:58	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9ae0e3…
03-28 23:44:24	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x26484d…
03-27 12:41:49	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd53342…
03-27 12:20:07	will mexicos february unemployment rate be 2pt6	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde1999…
03-27 12:14:39	will mexicos february unemployment rate be less than or equal to 2pt4	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c5e7a…
03-27 04:15:21	will mrbeasts next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 6	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xa40b28…
03-27 01:33:23	will mrbeasts next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 6	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb0cb7b…
03-26 23:36:47	will mrbeasts next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 6	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcbc6da…
03-26 23:36:13	will mrbeasts next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 6	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5e7f63…
03-26 20:37:17	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdf86be…
03-26 14:31:55	will mrbeasts next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 5	Yes	SELL	64	0¢	$0	0x7d7f9e…
03-26 10:36:19	will mrbeasts next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 5	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0xbb61b9…
03-25 21:43:43	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0xf13120…
03-25 17:45:43	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe2fb33…
03-25 17:45:11	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf3577d…
03-25 17:44:37	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xacb32d…
03-25 17:44:09	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc2c9b8…
03-25 17:44:09	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2bfa04…
03-25 17:44:07	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfcc61c…
03-25 17:44:07	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x92cfa5…
03-25 17:44:07	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x340956…
03-25 17:44:05	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc7e434…
03-25 17:44:05	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x995d68…
03-25 17:44:05	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5587cd…
03-24 12:46:11	will 40 44 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x08eb05…
03-24 01:31:43	Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x03f953…
03-23 08:23:55	highest temperature in beijing on march 23 2026 19c	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xaea195…
03-23 05:49:19	highest temperature in beijing on march 23 2026 19c	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xd4c9b8…
03-23 05:30:07	highest temperature in beijing on march 23 2026 19c	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xbd421b…
03-23 05:27:05	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1c6d5d…