Peppery-Headline — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$195

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

237 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$13.7K

$58.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$245

Open exposure

$101

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 21:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 91% -$100

Other

5% 75% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No		+101	$101	100¢	$101	+$0	10-31 21:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	2	$939	477	477	+0	No	+$13	07-28 06:28
bitcoin above 60k on july 6 2026	2	$933	470	470	+0	Yes	-$3	07-06 13:54
bitcoin above 60k on june 11 2026	2	$916	460	460	+0	Yes	+$2	06-11 13:06
bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	2	$910	456	456	+0	No	+$0	06-05 13:43
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	2	$891	447	447	+0	No	+$1	05-27 00:22
bitcoin above 60k on march 28	2	$877	440	440	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 17:57
bitcoin above 58k on february 28	2	$867	435	435	+0	Yes	-$2	02-27 15:41
bitcoin above 76k on february 27	2	$865	435	435	+0	No	+$4	02-27 00:42
bitcoin above 74k on february 24	2	$860	431	431	+0	No	+$0	02-24 05:51
bitcoin above 74k on march 3	4	$857	436	436	+0	No	-$13	03-02 16:29
bitcoin above 76k on february 20	2	$856	429	429	+0	No	+$1	02-20 06:03
bitcoin above 72k on february 14	2	$856	442	442	+0	No	-$8	02-13 17:33
bitcoin above 74k on february 19	2	$853	429	429	+0	No	+$3	02-18 22:06
bitcoin above 74k on february 11	2	$850	431	431	+0	No	+$10	02-11 02:01
bitcoin above 82k on february 10	2	$841	421	421	+0	No	+$0	02-10 13:19
bitcoin above 84k on february 2	4	$826	418	418	+0	No	+$5	02-02 07:26
bitcoin above 90k on february 1	2	$811	407	407	+0	No	+$1	02-01 04:29
bitcoin above 94k on january 31	2	$810	406	406	+0	No	+$0	01-31 14:43
bitcoin above 96k on january 30	2	$810	405	405	+0	No	+$0	01-30 05:18
bitcoin above 94k on january 28	2	$806	405	405	+0	No	+$2	01-28 06:23
bitcoin above 94k on january 27	2	$803	403	403	+0	No	+$2	01-27 15:04
bitcoin above 90k on january 14	2	$787	395	395	+0	Yes	+$1	01-14 14:06
bitcoin above 96k on january 9	4	$777	392	392	+0	No	+$6	01-09 08:08
will ethereum reach 2200 august 17 23 2026	2	$767	493	493	+0	Yes	-$205	08-19 16:06
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 August 31-September 6?	2	$536	275	275	+0	No	-$10	09-04 00:55
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 14-20?	2	$528	265	265	+0	No	$0	09-19 21:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 8?	2	$526	264	264	+0	Yes	$0	09-07 13:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 10?	2	$524	262	262	+0	No	+$0	09-09 11:20
ethereum above 1700 on august 17 2026	1	$486	486	0	+486	Yes	+$0	08-17 04:40
will ethereum reach 2100 august 10 16 2026	1	$485	486	0	+486	No	+$1	08-15 16:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 21:44:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xfc0217…
10-30 05:23:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	156	99¢	$155	0xacfbe2…
10-29 13:14:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0xe9d843…
10-29 13:12:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x412036…
10-29 13:09:58	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa07fb9…
10-27 01:26:23	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	155	99¢	$153	0x0ac56b…
10-26 13:17:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	155	99¢	$153	0x4288d0…
10-26 05:07:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x54d603…
10-26 04:57:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x0b1423…
10-26 04:32:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0x9c6c78…
10-26 04:26:50	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x8b43a3…
10-25 07:51:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	153	99¢	$152	0xde48f9…
10-25 07:50:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0xe4544d…
10-24 00:30:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x595f93…
10-22 01:59:21	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0xedfb29…
10-21 13:56:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	149	99¢	$148	0x7c3c86…
10-20 00:22:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	158	94¢	$149	0xb984b6…
10-17 06:31:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	158	98¢	$155	0x55253b…
10-17 06:27:50	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0x8a079c…
10-16 00:47:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	155	99¢	$154	0xb80b26…
10-15 13:11:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	154	99¢	$153	0xdb580f…
10-15 00:53:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	153	99¢	$151	0x6936b1…
10-15 00:38:29	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0x4f9b80…
10-13 13:41:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$151	0xd1310e…
10-13 05:53:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x840d05…
10-10 00:28:22	Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xd4ab4e…
10-06 01:57:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0x302400…
10-02 00:27:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x08af32…
10-02 00:26:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x10b50a…
09-26 02:06:09	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in September?	No	BUY	266	100¢	$265	0xfd4a87…
09-23 02:23:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 25?	Yes	BUY	264	100¢	$264	0x19bfa4…
09-21 10:05:47	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on September 22?	No	BUY	264	100¢	$263	0x96df1d…
09-20 00:38:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 14-20?	No	BUY	263	100¢	$263	0xdd4631…
09-19 21:19:57	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 14-20?	No	SELL	265	99¢	$264	0xcd73da…
09-18 01:01:03	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	265	99¢	$264	0xb5018e…
09-17 02:26:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	263	100¢	$263	0x652e74…
09-14 23:55:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	263	100¢	$263	0x89409f…
09-14 01:04:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 7-13?	No	BUY	263	100¢	$263	0x56251b…
09-11 14:07:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	263	100¢	$262	0xee5166…
09-09 11:20:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 10?	No	SELL	262	100¢	$262	0xec60e5…
09-09 00:15:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	262	100¢	$262	0xc881ec…
09-07 13:28:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 8?	Yes	SELL	264	100¢	$263	0xb9ecbc…
09-07 00:14:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 8?	Yes	BUY	264	100¢	$263	0x26ac6e…
09-04 00:55:25	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 August 31-September 6?	No	SELL	275	96¢	$263	0x9b23f7…
09-03 01:12:13	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	275	99¢	$273	0xc5f499…
08-30 12:56:57	bitcoin above 72k on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	273	100¢	$272	0x9ce0fa…
08-27 23:44:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	273	100¢	$272	0xd52541…
08-19 16:06:48	will ethereum reach 2200 august 17 23 2026	No	SELL	493	57¢	$281	0x94e05b…
08-19 06:57:15	will ethereum reach 2200 august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	493	99¢	$486	0x53d73f…
08-17 04:40:58	ethereum above 1700 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	486	100¢	$486	0xe26628…
08-15 16:41:16	will ethereum reach 2100 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	486	100¢	$485	0xa53745…
08-14 10:34:31	bitcoin above 68k on august 15 2026	No	BUY	485	100¢	$484	0x7d5849…
08-13 08:48:42	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	483	100¢	$483	0x48d875…
08-12 03:41:10	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	483	100¢	$483	0x3edfe0…
08-11 08:52:25	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	482	100¢	$482	0x574abe…
08-07 01:38:39	will bitcoin reach 72k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	482	100¢	$481	0xe702fd…
08-06 07:28:47	ethereum above 1800 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	481	100¢	$479	0xae5582…
08-05 05:37:38	ethereum above 1700 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	479	100¢	$479	0x0feb0b…
08-01 10:09:56	will ethereum reach 2100 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	479	100¢	$478	0x776f02…
07-28 06:37:18	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	BUY	478	100¢	$477	0x0b50c7…
07-28 06:28:40	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	SELL	477	100¢	$476	0x55b0e5…
07-08 00:46:07	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	477	97¢	$463	0x36582e…
07-06 13:54:23	bitcoin above 60k on july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	470	99¢	$465	0xde0fa5…
07-06 00:46:11	bitcoin above 60k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	470	99¢	$468	0xe3f6c8…
07-01 07:14:59	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	468	100¢	$467	0x3294d7…
06-20 00:08:11	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	467	99¢	$464	0x1b0047…
06-19 09:34:20	ethereum above 1800 on june 19 2026	No	BUY	464	100¢	$463	0xc95361…
06-15 12:01:15	bitcoin above 56k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	463	100¢	$462	0x886ee6…
06-13 00:43:58	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	462	99¢	$459	0xeeafd4…
06-11 13:06:24	bitcoin above 60k on june 11 2026	Yes	SELL	460	100¢	$459	0xe95049…
06-11 10:15:46	bitcoin above 60k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	460	99¢	$457	0xb627c0…
06-09 08:59:40	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	458	100¢	$457	0x3f259c…
06-05 14:11:13	bitcoin above 70k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	456	100¢	$455	0x5187e9…
06-05 13:43:51	bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	456	100¢	$455	0x6c508f…
06-03 23:58:43	bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	456	100¢	$455	0xc4f936…
06-01 23:48:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	454	100¢	$452	0x1287d8…
05-27 00:24:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	454	98¢	$445	0x6d3ffc…
05-27 00:22:42	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	447	100¢	$446	0xcdf369…
05-22 20:24:25	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xed7cd1…
05-22 04:21:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf96cb1…
05-20 11:08:42	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	447	100¢	$445	0x33c000…
05-16 09:18:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x679946…
05-15 10:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xc89995…
05-08 00:42:27	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	436	100¢	$434	0xa5f100…
05-05 03:14:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	434	99¢	$430	0xbfb42d…
05-01 12:32:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	431	99¢	$428	0x65cb85…
04-22 04:26:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	429	99¢	$425	0x889619…
04-20 02:33:10	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	BUY	425	100¢	$424	0x9dabbc…
04-17 02:12:38	ethereum above 1700 on april 19	Yes	BUY	424	100¢	$424	0x335bff…
04-15 00:48:46	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on april 16	No	BUY	424	100¢	$423	0x9f98ba…
04-14 13:41:03	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x998889…
04-14 13:40:59	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4fcef1…
04-14 13:40:59	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x09e1ab…
04-14 13:40:57	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe53324…
04-14 13:40:57	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7d234b…
04-14 13:40:57	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x5fde0d…
04-14 13:40:57	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2f6ef2…
04-14 13:40:57	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x216b5f…
04-14 13:40:57	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x097f7d…
04-14 13:40:57	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x04ef54…