Hopeful-Vanilla 0x72f721…ad4345
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$52
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
78.2%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,547
lifetime
Volume
$44.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$1.67K
7 positions
First seen
2026-02-20
last 07-24 18:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
75% 50% $-52
Other
25% 100% +$1
Tech
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -853 $-617 72¢ $-618 $-1 07-23 23:58
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +459 $390 80¢ $365 $-26 06-19 09:11
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +281 $225 85¢ $239 +$15 06-21 01:15
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +284 $220 73¢ $208 $-12 06-12 09:15
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -249 $-162 44¢ $-108 +$53 06-15 06:23
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +120 $90 79¢ $95 +$5 06-10 23:27
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +140 $75 30¢ $41 $-33 06-26 04:26