Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$147

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$743

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 10-22 19:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

56% 58% -$6

Other

26% 88% -$51

Crypto

19% 40% -$91

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	-8	-$8	97¢	$-8	+$0	10-22 19:10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	-8	-$7	86¢	$-7	+$0	10-22 19:10
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	-7	-$7	95¢	$-7	+$0	10-22 19:10
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	-21	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$0	10-22 19:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will uae strike iran by march 31	7	$178	119	119	+0	No	+$20	03-13 10:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 13:00 UTC	3	$105	201	0	+201	Up	-$105	03-13 13:01
will social democrats win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	6	$76	39	39	+0	Yes	$0	03-09 18:51
cbb wash wisc 2026 03 12	1	$67	259	0	+259	Wisconsin Badgers	-$67	03-12 14:40
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	14	$62	47	47	+0	No	+$8	03-13 10:40
lol bro2 drx 2026 04 09 game1	1	$46	47	0	+47	HANJIN BRION	+$1	04-09 08:31
will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	17	$39	354	30	+324	Yes	-$27	03-08 22:42
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	10	$25	34	0	+34	No	+$9	03-09 13:17
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$22	41	0	+41	No	+$18	03-12 04:19
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	3	$15	19	0	+19	Yes	+$4	03-08 17:01
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-24 15:13
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$12	12	2	+10	No	+$2	03-22 00:13
fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	11	$10	8	3	+5	No	+$0	03-11 02:30
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$9	14	0	+14	Yes	+$5	03-08 14:46
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	13	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-10 19:59
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$8	0	8	-8	open	—	10-22 19:10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1	$7	0	8	-8	open	—	10-22 19:10
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	1	$7	0	7	-7	open	—	10-22 19:10
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	5	$7	17	0	+17	Yes	-$6	03-09 19:33
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	9	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	03-13 17:51
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	4	$4	7	0	+7	Yes	-$4	03-08 19:27
will trump talk to keir starmer in march 893	2	$4	4	0	+3	Yes	+$0	03-08 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 17:05 UTC	2	$3	364	0	+364	Up	-$3	03-08 17:10
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	4	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-08 22:43
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	03-08 17:31
will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	2	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-08 19:03
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	3	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-09 05:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 22:35 UTC	1	$1	111	0	+111	Down	-$1	03-08 22:41
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	1	$1	0	21	-21	open	—	10-22 19:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 19:10:38	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xe39b25…
10-22 19:10:35	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x3693b4…
10-22 19:10:33	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x008fea…
10-22 19:10:30	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$1	0x17a9a9…
04-09 08:31:45	lol bro2 drx 2026 04 09 game1	HANJIN BRION	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x060f04…
03-24 15:13:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd6d5e3…
03-22 00:13:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xfbe2ad…
03-19 19:00:23	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xca6b62…
03-17 17:16:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xd30e44…
03-17 17:16:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x1c5638…
03-15 14:38:25	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xd30c74…
03-14 15:56:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xfb4912…
03-13 17:51:13	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xf545d7…
03-13 14:54:11	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xf6cb32…
03-13 14:53:29	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x7b5c55…
03-13 14:50:21	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x05f39f…
03-13 14:43:39	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x799f09…
03-13 14:40:19	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xa86074…
03-13 14:10:41	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xa93e1f…
03-13 13:42:19	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x3429da…
03-13 13:01:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	182	52¢	$95	0xa1bc22…
03-13 13:00:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2da647…
03-13 13:00:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x57b25d…
03-13 11:05:53	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xae4ada…
03-13 11:00:35	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xa4909f…
03-13 10:40:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	43	75¢	$32	0xbb1e91…
03-13 10:40:13	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	119	83¢	$99	0x13608d…
03-12 15:53:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x39019b…
03-12 14:40:31	cbb wash wisc 2026 03 12	Washington Huskies	BUY	259	26¢	$67	0x11e6dc…
03-12 04:19:49	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	41	55¢	$22	0x5c8f8e…
03-11 14:09:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xbc19b3…
03-11 14:07:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x835978…
03-11 02:30:01	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x63c10e…
03-11 02:29:57	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd842aa…
03-11 02:29:41	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x566a40…
03-11 02:29:15	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x818df9…
03-11 02:29:05	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8e7ea3…
03-10 20:42:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xfb6e6c…
03-10 20:33:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xc601b4…
03-10 19:59:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5b4c03…
03-09 22:35:41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x7f60da…
03-09 22:34:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x5cae02…
03-09 22:33:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xe55a52…
03-09 22:30:25	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xdc2447…
03-09 22:18:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	1	71¢	$0	0xcec0b8…
03-09 22:06:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x992411…
03-09 22:05:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x6b8023…
03-09 21:53:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa5dbcc…
03-09 19:33:21	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x682dd3…
03-09 19:27:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xdfb31b…
03-09 19:26:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xe5490b…
03-09 18:51:53	will social democrats win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x24b3c8…
03-09 18:41:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xaca202…
03-09 17:51:15	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x48a4d0…
03-09 16:27:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$0	0x0fdd77…
03-09 15:21:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xa1b395…
03-09 13:38:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x6860e6…
03-09 13:17:05	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x5aad83…
03-09 13:11:05	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xf2c438…
03-09 13:08:23	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x52398b…
03-09 13:08:13	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfd53e0…
03-09 13:08:03	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1f8a33…
03-09 12:37:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4c8d7f…
03-09 06:30:45	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xa4f710…
03-09 05:08:11	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd8d878…
03-08 23:05:01	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x6b8009…
03-08 22:43:23	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6f9102…
03-08 22:42:57	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	No	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x49ed1e…
03-08 22:41:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x0bbaa6…
03-08 22:40:47	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3cdf0c…
03-08 22:03:51	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x42953b…
03-08 19:29:27	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x94a098…
03-08 19:27:35	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xcf0c2a…
03-08 19:24:59	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	No	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x1d7d09…
03-08 19:23:59	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	No	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x8892d2…
03-08 19:03:49	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x84295b…
03-08 19:02:13	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x085b7f…
03-08 18:40:27	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xdc79fe…
03-08 18:32:27	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	No	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0xfcf16c…
03-08 18:32:07	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x6efffc…
03-08 18:31:27	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	No	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0xbce659…
03-08 17:34:15	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc344de…
03-08 17:33:49	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xdccb98…
03-08 17:33:21	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x37e232…
03-08 17:31:17	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x2bfd8f…
03-08 17:19:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5ac6d3…
03-08 17:18:57	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	No	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xbf1579…
03-08 17:18:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc02e8e…
03-08 17:18:51	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	No	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xfa02d1…
03-08 17:18:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x14f439…
03-08 17:18:39	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	No	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x2118a4…
03-08 17:12:51	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	No	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xcf824e…
03-08 17:11:15	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	No	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x3e6dd0…
03-08 17:10:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0xd94698…
03-08 17:10:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x990baf…
03-08 17:09:41	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xb2cdac…
03-08 17:01:15	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xec1c16…
03-08 16:45:55	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x1838ec…
03-08 16:41:51	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x796f0a…
03-08 16:30:45	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x9847b5…