Alarmed-Hobby — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

24 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$13.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$581

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-31

last 08-11 05:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Sports

98% 43% +$7,021

Politics

1% 50% +$10

Other

0% 100% +$22

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-11).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	No		-6	-$6	99¢	$-6	$0	05-12 13:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba ind nyk 2026 03 17 spread home 14pt5	2	$6.4K	12,800	0	+12,800	Knicks	+$6,400	03-17 20:17
nba mia cha 2026 03 17 total 235pt5	2	$4.0K	7,843	0	+7,843	Over	+$3,843	03-17 21:22
nba det was 2026 03 17 total 233pt5	3	$3.3K	6,500	0	+6,500	Over	-$3,255	03-17 22:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$165	185	0	+185	No	+$20	05-28 14:48
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	149	0	+149	No	-$10	06-19 11:28
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	78	0	+78	No	-$10	06-19 11:28
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	73	0	+73	Yes	+$63	06-19 11:28
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	83	0	+83	No	-$10	05-15 03:24
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	54	0	+54	No	-$10	06-19 11:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-18 14:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	04-18 14:40
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	1	$7	26	0	+26	Yes	+$19	04-18 14:40
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	05-12 13:12
hd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 24 2026 2pt52	1	$6	7	0	+7	Yes	+$1	02-24 07:40
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	08-11 05:55
will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-31 16:45
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$6	7	0	+7	Yes	+$1	02-24 07:40
hlt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 2pt02	2	$6	7	0	+7	Yes	+$1	02-07 20:05
will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-31 16:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 05:55:00	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xa9fb43…
06-19 11:28:50	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x4048a7…
06-19 11:28:41	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	149	7¢	$10	0x587bf5…
06-19 11:28:28	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0x34caea…
06-19 11:28:23	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x2e26c3…
05-28 14:48:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	185	89¢	$165	0x95afbf…
05-15 03:24:38	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x6ee21a…
05-12 13:12:44	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x33fc65…
04-18 14:41:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x13c47d…
04-18 14:40:14	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xfbd634…
04-18 14:40:04	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	Yes	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0xcc715a…
03-17 22:42:15	nba det was 2026 03 17 total 233pt5	Under	BUY	500	51¢	$255	0xd267da…
03-17 22:41:19	nba det was 2026 03 17 total 233pt5	Under	BUY	4,000	50¢	$2,000	0xf84f6b…
03-17 22:40:05	nba det was 2026 03 17 total 233pt5	Under	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0xa6c418…
03-17 21:22:35	nba mia cha 2026 03 17 total 235pt5	Over	BUY	3,922	51¢	$2,000	0x6e1eb5…
03-17 21:22:19	nba mia cha 2026 03 17 total 235pt5	Over	BUY	3,922	51¢	$2,000	0xa48776…
03-17 20:17:23	nba ind nyk 2026 03 17 spread home 14pt5	Knicks	BUY	6,400	50¢	$3,200	0x32baff…
03-17 20:17:15	nba ind nyk 2026 03 17 spread home 14pt5	Knicks	BUY	6,400	50¢	$3,200	0x21eb56…
02-24 07:40:24	hd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 24 2026 2pt52	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x3a23a4…
02-24 07:40:12	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xa522d0…
02-07 20:05:13	hlt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 2pt02	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xb6f286…
02-07 20:04:49	hlt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 2pt02	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x58b2b2…
01-31 16:45:14	will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x016394…
01-31 16:44:42	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x841579…