Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
27
lifetime
Volume
$140
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$98
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-15 09:36
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
100%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Yes +455 $50 $32 $-18 05-14 01:41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +70 $20 43¢ $30 +$10 05-07 00:22
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +192 $10 $9 $-1 05-12 22:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No -15 $-9 58¢ $-9 +$0 05-05 23:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +71 $10 10¢ $7 $-3 05-14 03:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? No -7 $-4 74¢ $-5 $-1 05-07 22:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No -3 $-3 97¢ $-3 $-0 05-06 11:30
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15? Yes +6 $-2 42¢ $2 +$4 05-15 09:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes -16 $-2 $-0 +$2 05-08 08:49