Realized P&L (90d)
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
27
27 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$140
$140 lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$94
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-15 09:36
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
100%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +70 $20 44¢ $31 +$11 05-07 00:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Yes +455 $50 $27 $-23 05-14 01:41
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +192 $10 $9 $-1 05-12 22:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No -15 $-9 62¢ $-9 $-0 05-05 23:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +71 $10 11¢ $7 $-2 05-14 03:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? No -7 $-4 74¢ $-5 $-1 05-07 22:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 05-06 11:30
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15? Yes +6 $-2 36¢ $2 +$4 05-15 09:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes -16 $-2 $-0 +$2 05-08 08:49