Yummy-Stumbling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.4%

Resolved

Trades

950

lifetime

Volume

$107.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% — —

Politics

44% 0% —

Crypto

7% 100% +$64

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$4.6K	5,740	5,740	+0	open	—	02-24 00:26
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$3.9K	3,271	3,271	+0	open	—	01-28 20:06
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	43	$3.9K	3,083	2,046	+1,037	open	—	03-03 21:38
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	16	$3.6K	2,603	1,953	+650	open	—	05-18 07:07
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	3	$2.8K	2,800	0	+2,800	open	—	01-02 23:12
netanyahu out by march 31 854	12	$2.6K	1,599	1,088	+511	open	—	03-26 10:16
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	19	$2.5K	1,500	1,100	+400	open	—	03-03 21:51
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	15	$2.4K	1,275	1,275	+0	open	—	03-17 22:23
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	02-24 11:51
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	10	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-13 22:16
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	10	$1.9K	774	1,174	-400	open	—	01-15 13:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$1.9K	1,760	282	+1,478	open	—	04-27 00:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$1.8K	1,128	1,316	-188	open	—	06-16 22:09
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	7	$1.8K	880	1,000	-120	open	—	03-01 20:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-27 13:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	05-23 03:15
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	9	$1.6K	806	806	+0	open	—	01-27 03:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$1.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	04-08 08:11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$1.5K	1,000	600	+400	open	—	03-03 00:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$1.5K	845	845	+0	open	—	06-24 22:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$1.5K	203	1,303	-1,100	open	—	06-17 23:51
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	12	$1.4K	1,131	271	+859	open	—	06-29 22:10
another us government shutdown by february 14	9	$1.3K	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	02-13 06:26
will the state of the union be 130 minutes or longer 839	7	$1.3K	4,511	4,511	+0	open	—	02-25 03:54
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	6	$1.2K	640	640	+0	open	—	03-07 04:17
will iran strike israel on march 10	5	$1.2K	610	610	+0	open	—	03-15 00:07
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	11	$1.1K	2,290	1,290	+1,000	open	—	02-28 20:32
will the state of the union be 120 minutes or longer 132	6	$1.1K	1,158	1,158	+0	open	—	02-25 03:13
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	7	$994	479	568	-89	open	—	02-03 12:21
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	3	$991	500	500	+0	open	—	03-12 08:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 09:52:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0x43d4cd…
07-19 22:08:40	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	SELL	268	10¢	$27	0x996623…
07-18 00:49:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x1aeef2…
07-15 14:21:20	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	104	67¢	$70	0x2de49c…
07-14 02:33:43	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x9f6630…
07-12 22:24:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xfe7de6…
07-11 22:57:22	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7c858f…
07-11 22:03:01	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	69	22¢	$15	0x92a633…
07-11 21:37:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x8eb519…
07-11 21:26:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	141	92¢	$130	0x1ee445…
07-11 21:18:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	110	90¢	$100	0x228399…
07-11 21:16:10	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	SELL	31	54¢	$17	0x6d1bfb…
07-11 21:03:46	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	31	62¢	$19	0x1b03c6…
07-11 21:02:02	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	95	83¢	$79	0xc2874b…
07-10 01:08:14	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x4d1d5c…
07-10 01:07:29	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x96575e…
07-09 22:08:14	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	95	84¢	$80	0xf90ad8…
07-09 21:47:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	228	84¢	$191	0xd18f33…
07-09 05:56:53	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	101	79¢	$80	0xa23857…
07-07 07:45:55	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x140c11…
07-07 02:25:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x8a9f6d…
07-07 01:13:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xe718b0…
07-06 23:12:38	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x897b8a…
07-06 22:39:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x6918e7…
07-06 22:34:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xc7edfc…
07-06 22:14:19	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x50689c…
07-06 22:11:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xdebe6f…
07-04 05:32:11	will hyperliquid dip to 60 in july	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x76e4c4…
07-03 21:38:53	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	140	43¢	$60	0x565b26…
07-03 00:20:53	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x3ee54f…
07-02 23:35:07	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	111	66¢	$73	0xf8ed2e…
07-02 02:11:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	111	88¢	$98	0xf35c82…
07-02 02:11:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	118	85¢	$100	0xfb2711…
07-02 02:09:04	will bitcoin reach 62pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	81	74¢	$60	0x5fb46b…
07-02 02:08:08	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	129	70¢	$90	0xf8a86d…
07-01 12:17:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	272	18¢	$49	0x747889…
07-01 12:16:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x8405ac…
07-01 12:16:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x494620…
07-01 01:25:32	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	111	72¢	$80	0x4680e7…
06-30 23:31:40	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0x572081…
06-30 23:31:32	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	58	93¢	$54	0x4325a5…
06-30 23:31:02	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	148	67¢	$100	0xefd6de…
06-30 22:32:46	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	49	75¢	$37	0x670723…
06-30 22:30:44	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0xeb9b9c…
06-30 22:29:29	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x67e8c6…
06-30 08:37:29	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	131	51¢	$67	0xfddab2…
06-29 22:10:41	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	271	100¢	$271	0x44dd15…
06-29 22:09:37	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	124	89¢	$110	0xbc5628…
06-29 22:06:55	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x7e6674…
06-29 21:33:19	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x30c11a…
06-29 01:46:11	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	131	84¢	$110	0x0fdd01…
06-28 22:19:13	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xaefa65…
06-28 16:05:25	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x0745e2…
06-28 13:11:40	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x848cb9…
06-28 03:33:13	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	122	72¢	$88	0xbe579a…
06-28 03:24:11	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x2a8122…
06-28 02:46:32	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	45	84¢	$38	0x8c84cf…
06-28 02:32:43	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x0eaf48…
06-27 13:39:01	will hyperliquid reach 92 in june	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa34d16…
06-27 13:33:38	will hyperliquid reach 92 in june	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x0db292…
06-27 11:05:56	will hyperliquid reach 92 in june	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0xa4f6fe…
06-27 10:42:14	will hyperliquid reach 92 in june	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa46af4…
06-27 05:21:32	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x204412…
06-27 01:23:05	will hyperliquid reach 80 in june	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x957bf5…
06-25 21:22:11	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	105	92¢	$97	0x8b4586…
06-25 07:50:19	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0xd807d8…
06-24 23:56:26	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x8ea8ad…
06-24 23:53:59	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8460f3…
06-24 23:29:31	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	114	72¢	$82	0xcc47b0…
06-24 23:07:49	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x2e6a28…
06-24 22:04:53	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0x5afd84…
06-24 22:03:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	845	94¢	$796	0x544af3…
06-24 21:59:01	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0xcb70bb…
06-24 21:55:46	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x0d3dec…
06-24 15:05:41	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	217	99¢	$215	0x99dbe0…
06-23 13:55:11	will hyperliquid reach 92 in june	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x24215f…
06-21 22:36:26	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xfd2277…
06-21 22:26:35	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x46a477…
06-21 04:35:43	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xaf761a…
06-21 02:02:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x7e44ae…
06-20 23:34:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x8b2429…
06-20 23:34:14	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	SELL	109	98¢	$107	0x5f7167…
06-20 00:51:53	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x863fa7…
06-19 23:22:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x2a0a91…
06-19 23:18:58	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xf6f9f3…
06-19 12:36:20	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	322	70¢	$226	0x4d45a6…
06-19 05:14:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	115	62¢	$72	0x5ddd9a…
06-19 05:13:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xe7aa98…
06-19 05:12:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	26	61¢	$16	0xb6f66e…
06-19 03:47:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xa850ee…
06-19 02:17:35	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xd17bde…
06-18 22:03:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0xbfdb71…
06-18 22:00:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8b53c9…
06-18 04:12:37	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0xbce750…
06-18 04:12:37	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x4d361b…
06-18 00:31:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	148	96¢	$142	0xeb74a1…
06-17 23:59:20	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x29fc5f…
06-17 23:56:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	96¢	$76	0x05809b…
06-17 23:54:35	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x8cd302…
06-17 23:53:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	94	95¢	$90	0x4ca7ad…