Yummy-Stumbling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.4%

Resolved

Trades

998

lifetime

Volume

$114.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$114

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-13 02:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

47% — —

Politics

44% 0% —

Crypto

7% 100% +$64

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$4.6K	5,740	5,740	+0	open	—	02-24 00:26
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$3.9K	3,271	3,271	+0	open	—	01-28 20:06
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	43	$3.9K	3,083	2,046	+1,037	open	—	03-03 21:38
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	16	$3.6K	2,603	1,953	+650	open	—	05-18 07:07
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	3	$2.8K	2,800	0	+2,800	open	—	01-02 23:12
netanyahu out by march 31 854	12	$2.6K	1,599	1,088	+511	open	—	03-26 10:16
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	19	$2.5K	1,500	1,100	+400	open	—	03-03 21:51
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	15	$2.4K	1,275	1,275	+0	open	—	03-17 22:23
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	02-24 11:51
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	10	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-13 22:16
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	10	$1.9K	774	1,174	-400	open	—	01-15 13:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$1.9K	1,760	282	+1,478	open	—	04-27 00:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$1.8K	1,128	1,316	-188	open	—	06-16 22:09
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	7	$1.8K	880	1,000	-120	open	—	03-01 20:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-27 13:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	10	$1.6K	1,509	1,274	+235	open	—	08-05 23:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$1.6K	800	800	+0	open	—	05-23 03:15
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	9	$1.6K	806	806	+0	open	—	01-27 03:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$1.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	04-08 08:11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$1.5K	1,000	600	+400	open	—	03-03 00:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$1.5K	845	845	+0	open	—	06-24 22:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$1.5K	203	1,303	-1,100	open	—	06-17 23:51
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	12	$1.4K	1,131	271	+859	open	—	06-29 22:10
another us government shutdown by february 14	9	$1.3K	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	02-13 06:26
will the state of the union be 130 minutes or longer 839	7	$1.3K	4,511	4,511	+0	open	—	02-25 03:54
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	6	$1.2K	640	640	+0	open	—	03-07 04:17
will iran strike israel on march 10	5	$1.2K	610	610	+0	open	—	03-15 00:07
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	11	$1.1K	2,290	1,290	+1,000	open	—	02-28 20:32
will the state of the union be 120 minutes or longer 132	6	$1.1K	1,158	1,158	+0	open	—	02-25 03:13
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	7	$994	479	568	-89	open	—	02-03 12:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 02:24:40	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x0eb2a3…
08-12 11:30:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	172	97¢	$166	0xd53b7c…
08-12 11:21:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xdbc390…
08-12 11:18:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x43a4b8…
08-12 11:01:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x553159…
08-12 00:30:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xc0f55c…
08-11 11:03:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	230	96¢	$221	0xdb1863…
08-11 01:07:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	230	96¢	$220	0xef272c…
08-11 01:06:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	420	100¢	$418	0x258f64…
08-11 00:48:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	539	93¢	$501	0x46fee1…
08-11 00:04:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x09989f…
08-10 22:34:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	581	77¢	$450	0xb3f470…
08-10 22:31:07	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	110	99¢	$108	0x3340ea…
08-10 08:06:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	450	90¢	$405	0x1e2e26…
08-10 05:54:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0xab038e…
08-10 01:01:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	110	97¢	$107	0x00686c…
08-09 23:53:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x33a4db…
08-09 16:09:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	486	82¢	$400	0x6ae58f…
08-09 08:22:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	87	97¢	$84	0x7bb919…
08-09 02:07:30	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x5b1015…
08-09 02:06:24	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	108	83¢	$89	0x3d844c…
08-09 01:27:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xe93dc5…
08-09 01:27:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x4838f0…
08-09 01:27:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xdcd465…
08-09 01:25:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x986f81…
08-09 01:23:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x46b785…
08-09 01:13:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x186659…
08-09 01:13:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xd1ded7…
08-09 01:13:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0x2ef2d2…
08-09 01:13:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xfaabc7…
08-09 00:52:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x0ceef7…
08-05 23:17:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x37c3f7…
08-04 15:12:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	420	95¢	$400	0x3adc8f…
08-03 19:22:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	530	21¢	$111	0x343736…
08-02 09:11:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	530	19¢	$101	0xb8795f…
08-02 08:47:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	516	80¢	$413	0xf4598b…
08-02 03:25:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	224	46¢	$103	0xd41acd…
08-01 22:58:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x09192e…
08-01 22:56:44	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	308	97¢	$300	0xa47353…
08-01 16:51:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	125	75¢	$94	0x4503e5…
08-01 16:47:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x650f87…
08-01 00:27:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x33d107…
07-30 23:02:53	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xca2b53…
07-27 08:40:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	149	66¢	$99	0xf29742…
07-27 02:13:28	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x13c48e…
07-26 23:26:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xa00e5f…
07-26 23:25:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xbf7a3a…
07-26 23:25:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x30178a…
07-20 09:52:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0x43d4cd…
07-19 22:08:40	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	SELL	268	10¢	$27	0x996623…
07-18 00:49:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x1aeef2…
07-15 14:21:20	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	104	67¢	$70	0x2de49c…
07-14 02:33:43	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x9f6630…
07-12 22:24:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xfe7de6…
07-11 22:57:22	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7c858f…
07-11 22:03:01	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	69	22¢	$15	0x92a633…
07-11 21:37:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x8eb519…
07-11 21:26:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	141	92¢	$130	0x1ee445…
07-11 21:18:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	110	90¢	$100	0x228399…
07-11 21:16:10	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	SELL	31	54¢	$17	0x6d1bfb…
07-11 21:03:46	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	31	62¢	$19	0x1b03c6…
07-11 21:02:02	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	95	83¢	$79	0xc2874b…
07-10 01:08:14	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x4d1d5c…
07-10 01:07:29	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x96575e…
07-09 22:08:14	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	95	84¢	$80	0xf90ad8…
07-09 21:47:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	228	84¢	$191	0xd18f33…
07-09 05:56:53	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	101	79¢	$80	0xa23857…
07-07 07:45:55	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x140c11…
07-07 02:25:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x8a9f6d…
07-07 01:13:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xe718b0…
07-06 23:12:38	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x897b8a…
07-06 22:39:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x6918e7…
07-06 22:34:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xc7edfc…
07-06 22:14:19	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x50689c…
07-06 22:11:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xdebe6f…
07-04 05:32:11	will hyperliquid dip to 60 in july	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x76e4c4…
07-03 21:38:53	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	140	43¢	$60	0x565b26…
07-03 00:20:53	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x3ee54f…
07-02 23:35:07	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	111	66¢	$73	0xf8ed2e…
07-02 02:11:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	111	88¢	$98	0xf35c82…
07-02 02:11:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	118	85¢	$100	0xfb2711…
07-02 02:09:04	will bitcoin reach 62pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	81	74¢	$60	0x5fb46b…
07-02 02:08:08	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	129	70¢	$90	0xf8a86d…
07-01 12:17:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	272	18¢	$49	0x747889…
07-01 12:16:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x8405ac…
07-01 12:16:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x494620…
07-01 01:25:32	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	111	72¢	$80	0x4680e7…
06-30 23:31:40	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0x572081…
06-30 23:31:32	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	58	93¢	$54	0x4325a5…
06-30 23:31:02	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	148	67¢	$100	0xefd6de…
06-30 22:32:46	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	49	75¢	$37	0x670723…
06-30 22:30:44	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0xeb9b9c…
06-30 22:29:29	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x67e8c6…
06-30 08:37:29	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	131	51¢	$67	0xfddab2…
06-29 22:10:41	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	271	100¢	$271	0x44dd15…
06-29 22:09:37	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	124	89¢	$110	0xbc5628…
06-29 22:06:55	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x7e6674…
06-29 21:33:19	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x30c11a…
06-29 01:46:11	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	131	84¢	$110	0x0fdd01…
06-28 22:19:13	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xaefa65…