Fair-Conditioner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$656

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-25 07:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

86% 60% +$23

Crypto

9% 100% +$1

Politics

5% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-25 03:00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$49	100	0	+100	Yes	+$51	06-25 07:57
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$47	100	0	+100	Yes	+$53	05-25 02:24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on May 14?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	05-14 06:53
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$38	100	0	+100	No	-$38	05-18 00:39
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$37	100	0	+100	No	-$37	05-18 00:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	04-29 09:00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$30	100	0	+100	No	-$30	06-25 07:57
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$29	100	0	+100	No	-$29	05-25 02:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 14?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	06-14 05:20
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	05-31 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 7?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-07 01:53
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 6?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-06 08:53
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-31 05:55
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$24	25	0	+25	No	+$1	05-31 05:54
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-18 00:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-18 00:27
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	05-10 07:13
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$17	100	0	+100	No	-$17	05-25 02:24
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$16	100	0	+100	Yes	+$84	05-18 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 7?	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:50
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	05-15 01:26
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on May 6?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-06 08:52
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$10	100	0	+100	No	-$10	06-25 07:57
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$4	100	0	+100	No	-$4	05-18 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	04-29 08:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 07:57:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xcf566e…
06-25 07:57:29	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xc16bcb…
06-25 07:57:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x7b0bf5…
06-14 05:20:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 14?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe87a88…
05-31 05:55:13	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x967b77…
05-31 05:55:01	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0001ea…
05-31 05:54:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xe9ad10…
05-25 03:00:32	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xecf2ae…
05-25 02:24:47	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xe0fb84…
05-25 02:24:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xa29717…
05-25 02:24:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x95b29a…
05-21 01:20:08	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5775c1…
05-18 00:39:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	38¢	$36	0x565f00…
05-18 00:29:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xdc8369…
05-18 00:29:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9cfa57…
05-18 00:29:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xe356eb…
05-18 00:28:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xfc5904…
05-18 00:28:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	37¢	$35	0x7cb65f…
05-18 00:28:05	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x703163…
05-18 00:27:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xf9ccbb…
05-15 07:12:22	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0efa2f…
05-15 06:30:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x374ff3…
05-15 01:26:45	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa38cbb…
05-14 06:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x53816a…
05-10 07:13:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc17f62…
05-07 01:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 7?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfae6f9…
05-07 01:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 7?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9b90be…
05-06 08:53:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 6?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6b1012…
05-06 08:52:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6bafcc…
04-29 09:00:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xa53446…
04-29 08:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd4b27f…