Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$43
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
938
lifetime
Volume
$11.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$477
15 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 07-03 11:30
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
79%
Other
17%
Sports
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +199 $134 74¢ $148 +$14 06-24 17:03
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +126 $109 92¢ $117 +$8 06-26 06:40
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +235 $53 22¢ $51 $-2 07-03 09:35
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +32 $21 100¢ $32 +$11 07-01 06:17
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +78 $23 38¢ $30 +$7 07-02 23:17
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes +25 $25 99¢ $25 +$0 06-26 03:16
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +76 $24 24¢ $19 $-6 06-24 16:57
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +20 $15 89¢ $18 +$2 06-24 10:51
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +69 $24 26¢ $18 $-7 06-24 16:57
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +117 $18 11¢ $13 $-5 06-24 10:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8 $7 86¢ $7 +$1 06-21 13:46
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +5 $2 24¢ $1 $-1 06-16 12:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1 $-7 100¢ $1 +$7 06-28 05:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +11 $23 $0 $-23 06-17 11:13
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +5 $49 $0 $-49 06-30 04:20