Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$284

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

67.7%

Resolved

199

Trades

1,963

lifetime

Volume

$21.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$69

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-12

last 07-22 08:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Politics

63% 63% -$52

Other

33% 71% +$548

Sports

2% 44% -$187

Crypto

2% 52% -$40

Tech

0% 100% +$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes		+69	$24	55¢	$38	+$13	06-24 16:57
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No		+69	$31	45¢	$31	$0	07-17 03:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	252	$3.6K	3,563	2,544	+1,018	Yes	+$641	06-17 18:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	196	$1.4K	2,155	1,753	+402	No	-$524	06-19 21:00
Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	351	$1.3K	663	663	+0	No	-$2	07-17 03:59
will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	50	$1.3K	773	614	+160	Yes	+$35	06-18 00:08
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?	12	$1.1K	563	563	+0	No	+$0	07-18 13:46
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?	2	$841	455	455	+0	No	-$56	07-18 13:46
will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	26	$821	428	428	+0	No	+$35	06-27 00:22
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	16	$757	892	0	+892	Yes	+$135	07-08 10:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	33	$561	791	545	+245	Yes	-$250	06-17 18:13
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	22	$523	531	0	+531	No	+$8	06-22 17:01
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	45	$458	450	10	+440	Yes	+$1	06-30 18:23
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	23	$396	396	0	+396	Yes	+$0	06-28 16:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	105	$388	422	421	+1	No	-$13	06-28 05:07
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	7	$376	279	279	+0	No	+$179	06-24 02:01
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	13	$347	271	243	+28	Yes	+$149	06-17 18:50
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	49	$322	310	208	+103	Yes	+$81	06-21 07:51
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	15	$292	340	302	+37	No	-$38	07-01 06:17
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	12	$261	268	130	+137	open	—	07-17 03:59
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	5	$260	188	188	+0	Yes	+$114	06-24 02:01
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	41	$257	259	0	+259	No	+$2	06-28 02:42
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	14	$238	540	0	+540	Yes	+$20	06-18 18:40
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	6	$225	126	126	+0	Yes	+$7	07-17 03:59
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	27	$218	219	176	+43	Yes	+$125	06-21 08:40
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$210	338	338	+0	open	—	07-17 03:59
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	11	$189	797	7	+791	No	-$32	06-18 05:04
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	2	$186	137	137	+0	Yes	-$22	07-18 13:46
Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	2	$172	87	87	+0	No	+$1	07-17 03:59
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	8	$163	2,819	0	+2,819	No	-$12	06-24 10:24
will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	11	$162	171	10	+161	Yes	+$18	06-28 12:49
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?	3	$155	271	37	+234	Yes	+$136	07-19 16:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 08:59:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x22e1d5…
07-22 08:54:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x709df8…
07-22 08:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x5087e4…
07-22 08:34:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5aa137…
07-22 07:29:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb4827e…
07-22 07:14:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	41	9¢	$4	0x540317…
07-22 06:39:28	Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc84cbd…
07-22 06:14:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x128565…
07-22 02:49:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x8df25d…
07-22 00:59:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0dfd79…
07-21 17:24:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf38c56…
07-21 06:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x94e1c9…
07-21 06:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x05801c…
07-21 06:14:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xfac4b1…
07-20 22:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0xfb88a1…
07-20 16:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x116a3b…
07-20 14:39:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0xe0f9aa…
07-19 21:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x551fa6…
07-19 16:39:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xde252c…
07-19 16:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x092be3…
07-19 16:29:21	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?	Yes	BUY	234	41¢	$97	0x4af128…
07-19 14:29:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x30603b…
07-19 11:44:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xa6a91c…
07-19 06:20:25	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?	Yes	BUY	243	50¢	$122	0x3f8b98…
07-19 03:48:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x1d36c8…
07-19 03:44:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 03:40 UTC	Up	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x12773c…
07-19 03:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xe09dd9…
07-19 03:34:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x0cb4e2…
07-19 03:34:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe008e6…
07-19 03:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe9902a…
07-19 03:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x31d55e…
07-19 02:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	16¢	$5	0xd87479…
07-19 02:54:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xdf9bcd…
07-19 02:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x10a9f4…
07-19 02:39:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 02:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$2	0x352947…
07-19 02:38:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf01e7f…
07-19 02:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xaec504…
07-19 02:29:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 02:25 UTC	Up	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x013ed2…
07-19 02:28:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2e039c…
07-19 02:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x24bbe3…
07-19 02:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x179818…
07-19 02:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x63c973…
07-19 02:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc71e3b…
07-19 01:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x15f003…
07-19 01:49:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 01:45 UTC	Up	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x8135e9…
07-19 01:48:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x2d0cb1…
07-19 01:44:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 01:40 UTC	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xa7217d…
07-19 01:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x860c0b…
07-19 01:39:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 01:35 UTC	Up	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xd22dfd…
07-19 01:38:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x280503…
07-19 00:23:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x8fb132…
07-19 00:23:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x603472…
07-19 00:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x761ce9…
07-19 00:15:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xddbf7e…
07-19 00:13:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x817577…
07-19 00:09:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:05 UTC	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xa004b1…
07-19 00:08:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x675ce6…
07-18 23:48:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6b0545…
07-18 23:43:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xd75d22…
07-18 23:39:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x141615…
07-18 23:28:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x343fc3…
07-18 23:23:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 23:20 UTC	Up	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x87bf36…
07-18 23:23:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x609a54…
07-18 23:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1b53f5…
07-18 23:13:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x57e2fb…
07-18 23:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd682b0…
07-18 22:58:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x294ffd…
07-18 22:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xaef03f…
07-18 22:53:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfa39b1…
07-18 22:43:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc2616b…
07-18 22:33:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7853c3…
07-18 22:28:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0xbc3802…
07-18 22:23:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:20 UTC	Up	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xc6ad03…
07-18 22:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc1dc2d…
07-18 22:14:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x134b74…
07-18 19:08:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x09717d…
07-18 19:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7cd4c1…
07-18 18:58:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x6437ce…
07-18 18:53:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa83b7f…
07-18 18:48:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9dae1e…
07-18 18:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x0336c4…
07-18 18:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x30d5b2…
07-18 18:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe3e3ec…
07-18 18:19:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe19d64…
07-18 17:59:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8369dc…
07-18 15:58:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0xcbbe63…
07-18 13:46:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x5d4592…
07-18 13:46:36	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?	No	SELL	37	77¢	$29	0x0f1a3a…
07-18 13:46:34	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0xeeb220…
07-18 13:46:34	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?	No	SELL	563	100¢	$562	0xa23458…
07-18 13:46:34	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?	No	SELL	455	86¢	$392	0x8ebdff…
07-18 13:46:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	SELL	62	40¢	$24	0x67ed2a…
07-18 13:46:34	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x5ca9d0…
07-18 13:46:34	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	137	60¢	$82	0x3480e4…
07-18 04:13:39	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8c3b6a…
07-18 03:15:01	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x84640f…
07-18 00:53:10	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf3ab29…
07-18 00:50:30	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa30817…
07-18 00:49:48	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe8580a…
07-18 00:31:52	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x550db9…