Reflecting-Bust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

165

lifetime

Volume

$1.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-17 00:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 0% $-11

Other

6% 0% $-1

Politics

3% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$110	97	97	+0	open	—	05-17 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	7	$92	411	132	+279	open	—	05-17 00:19
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$44	29	29	+0	open	—	05-16 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	3	$35	27	27	+0	open	—	05-04 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$33	78	0	+78	open	—	05-04 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$30	248	0	+248	open	—	05-17 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$30	66	0	+66	open	—	05-17 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	05-04 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	05-17 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$25	54	0	+54	open	—	05-17 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	3	$25	66	0	+66	open	—	05-04 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	3	$23	133	0	+133	open	—	05-04 11:52
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$22	19	19	+0	open	—	05-04 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	5	$21	4,192	0	+4,192	open	—	05-03 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	05-04 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$17	51	0	+51	open	—	05-16 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$16	76	0	+76	open	—	05-03 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$15	38	0	+38	open	—	05-04 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$15	34	0	+34	open	—	05-17 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$14	35	0	+35	open	—	05-03 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$13	38	0	+38	open	—	05-04 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$11	28	0	+28	open	—	05-04 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	05-03 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	3	$11	21	0	+21	open	—	05-03 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-04 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	05-04 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-04 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$10	35	0	+35	open	—	05-03 20:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-02 08:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 00:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xbec0c1…
05-17 00:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7218fa…
05-17 00:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x0f4c0d…
05-17 00:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc4286a…
05-17 00:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	59	42¢	$25	0x7ce5e7…
05-17 00:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x8cf179…
05-17 00:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x99d839…
05-17 00:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x888d2f…
05-17 00:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa71785…
05-17 00:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5e6987…
05-17 00:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	132	32¢	$42	0xec2818…
05-17 00:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xf9812c…
05-17 00:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd5d66c…
05-17 00:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xf3a9c1…
05-17 00:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xe8cd67…
05-17 00:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x9644ea…
05-17 00:03:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0xe823bf…
05-17 00:03:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x5bccbc…
05-17 00:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	97	99¢	$97	0x350ae5…
05-16 23:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x948dd2…
05-16 23:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	82	10¢	$8	0x352f9a…
05-16 23:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x19cc93…
05-16 23:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xb6c7e9…
05-16 23:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa44b71…
05-16 23:45:52	Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x844ec4…
05-14 17:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x24874d…
05-14 17:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xd69d7d…
05-14 17:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x75b9e1…
05-14 17:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xd87879…
05-14 17:04:37	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3d6908…
05-14 17:04:21	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	520	1¢	$5	0x05672f…
05-14 17:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x94f7ad…
05-14 17:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x10642c…
05-13 23:14:47	Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x3d4b8e…
05-13 23:14:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x193b89…
05-06 22:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x69fb44…
05-05 00:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x5a2533…
05-05 00:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd07e40…
05-04 14:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x75f3f6…
05-04 14:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc6952c…
05-04 14:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xad3b95…
05-04 14:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x5ff2de…
05-04 12:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x91d09c…
05-04 12:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x73be63…
05-04 11:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x775daf…
05-04 11:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xf978ee…
05-04 11:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x83077f…
05-04 11:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xa3e639…
05-04 11:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7ead41…
05-04 11:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xebb68e…
05-04 11:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x6efbd2…
05-04 11:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe3f9c7…
05-04 11:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x5ddb88…
05-04 11:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x9e3844…
05-04 11:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0xcd0e08…
05-04 11:11:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x407ac4…
05-04 07:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x4d63cd…
05-04 07:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1346a5…
05-04 07:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x9e07af…
05-04 07:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xdad0e8…
05-04 07:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x7d8f17…
05-04 07:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf08f2d…
05-04 07:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x193b53…
05-04 07:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xbedab2…
05-04 07:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xa8c6f5…
05-04 07:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xae27cf…
05-04 07:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$4	0xf5dd3b…
05-04 07:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xaefbca…
05-04 07:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x028689…
05-04 07:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc374c8…
05-04 07:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x086515…
05-04 06:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x321e79…
05-04 06:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xef1321…
05-04 06:52:10	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	61¢	$12	0xce369e…
05-04 06:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xbc22bc…
05-04 06:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xca3c33…
05-04 06:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x75705f…
05-04 06:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9ea55f…
05-03 23:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x34d604…
05-03 21:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x6aa0e3…
05-03 21:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1fad81…
05-03 21:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x867c02…
05-03 21:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd82136…
05-03 21:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xdab163…
05-03 20:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x1e2143…
05-03 20:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xfdb09e…
05-03 20:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x31b33d…
05-03 20:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb2d499…
05-03 20:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x7cff39…
05-03 20:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x4b2497…
05-03 20:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xf47f5e…
05-03 20:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xdc17ca…
05-03 20:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x633518…
05-03 20:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xc5fb67…
05-03 20:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcf84b3…
05-03 20:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xdf560e…
05-03 20:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd07255…
05-03 20:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xab81ac…
05-03 20:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x4ae779…
05-03 20:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x57289c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	93	$67.3K	2,499	05-28 05:17
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	91	$84.5K	6,244	05-17 00:34
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	91	$19.7K	6,386	05-17 00:34
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	91	$17.1K	5,575	05-17 00:34
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	91	$16.7K	3,298	05-17 00:33
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	91	$15.5K	3,567	05-17 00:33
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	91	$14.0K	3,054	05-17 00:33
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	91	$6.69K	697	05-17 00:32