Winding-Fire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$583

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 04-28 05:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

78% 100% +$1

Sports

20% 50% +$0

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	5	$114	180	172	+8	open	—	04-24 06:56
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?	2	$45	101	0	+101	open	—	02-16 20:24
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	2	$32	18	18	+0	open	—	03-13 21:19
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 682	3	$26	1,731	18	+1,713	open	—	01-25 15:49
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	3	$23	21	21	+0	open	—	02-09 03:33
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$20	174	0	+174	open	—	04-09 09:09
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	10	$19	40	6	+34	open	—	04-08 12:40
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$18	40	35	+5	No	+$3	04-15 18:03
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$17	170	0	+170	open	—	02-05 20:40
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$14	174	129	+45	open	—	04-15 18:03
will mrbeasts video get between 80 and 81 million views on week 1	1	$13	16	0	+16	open	—	04-11 10:51
will mrbeasts next video get between 49 and 52 million views on day 2	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-20 05:38
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	3	$11	25	25	+0	open	—	02-05 18:29
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 122	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	03-11 17:28
will ethereum dip to 2800 in january 2026 835	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	01-24 19:27
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	2	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	02-06 16:56
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 14:33
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	02-06 16:58
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	02-06 16:58
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	2	$8	15	15	+0	open	—	02-04 12:50
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$7	70	0	+70	open	—	02-05 20:39
100m views on a mrbeast video in the first week by march 31	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-06 16:59
will mrbeasts latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1	1	$6	100	0	+100	open	—	02-11 20:15
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-05 14:45
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	02-05 20:38
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$5	750	0	+750	open	—	01-31 10:35
will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	02-27 19:19
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-12 11:26
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-13 21:19
will mrbeasts latest video get between 45 and 50 million views on week 1	9	$4	200	100	+100	open	—	02-11 20:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 05:13:16	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x6d3bb4…
04-27 19:12:56	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x606034…
04-27 19:09:06	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x0dfc3d…
04-27 17:50:38	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcaf583…
04-27 17:45:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xd342a9…
04-26 09:53:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6db3ec…
04-26 07:25:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x702411…
04-26 07:11:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x441bdd…
04-25 13:46:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x0451fa…
04-25 13:42:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8ac513…
04-25 10:55:12	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x93be4f…
04-24 06:56:44	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	42	92¢	$39	0x6029a0…
04-24 06:55:28	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	44	93¢	$41	0xfd24c2…
04-23 05:14:14	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	86	17¢	$15	0x2e8bbe…
04-22 17:23:22	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6839e2…
04-21 16:57:28	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x88bc53…
04-21 05:54:34	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xa51641…
04-21 05:54:10	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	80	11¢	$9	0x29ac6b…
04-20 05:38:04	will mrbeasts next video get between 49 and 52 million views on day 2	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe97d04…
04-19 20:03:20	will mrbeasts next video get between 49 and 52 million views on day 2	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x972fcf…
04-19 14:33:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x99dd31…
04-19 10:29:54	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf81cc0…
04-19 00:50:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeb8b60…
04-18 17:06:32	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x14eca0…
04-15 18:33:36	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be greater than 20m	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x6abaff…
04-15 18:27:34	will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 15m and 20m	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0ea9fe…
04-15 18:16:28	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9199e5…
04-15 18:05:18	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdc40fb…
04-15 18:03:44	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf4679f…
04-15 18:03:20	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x1db95d…
04-15 11:22:02	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x8bc21e…
04-14 19:30:14	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xe821d1…
04-11 10:51:13	will mrbeasts video get between 80 and 81 million views on week 1	Yes	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0xfde580…
04-09 09:11:33	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x9a409f…
04-09 09:10:37	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x9f2374…
04-09 09:09:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x6bccfc…
04-09 09:09:03	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xc3ea10…
04-08 19:06:01	will mrbeasts latest video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3ba4b3…
04-08 16:25:01	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	35	30¢	$11	0xf4edb6…
04-08 16:07:15	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x676d02…
04-08 12:40:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x6ec717…
04-08 11:43:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xebe9df…
04-08 07:33:29	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x70d40a…
04-07 21:21:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x916d5b…
04-07 20:53:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x54675a…
04-07 20:50:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x2c809b…
04-07 20:36:53	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xbfb5f2…
04-07 20:36:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3559d3…
04-07 20:36:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x320de6…
04-07 20:34:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcf31fd…
04-07 20:32:47	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x727569…
04-07 20:32:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xeeb578…
04-07 20:31:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x1a7d93…
04-07 20:29:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x24a797…
04-07 20:21:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x905b81…
04-07 20:15:25	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xf85176…
04-07 20:06:05	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	129	2¢	$3	0x82b225…
04-07 18:57:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9aa767…
04-07 18:57:35	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xdf5a13…
04-07 18:39:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x96eb91…
04-07 18:20:39	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	46	1¢	$0	0x3e8453…
04-07 16:19:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x4184db…
04-06 20:55:17	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x7fd749…
04-06 19:00:47	will mrbeasts next video get between 58 and 60 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7937f7…
04-06 19:00:31	will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9a1a91…
04-06 15:42:47	will mrbeasts next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2 649	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x371ff1…
04-06 15:26:05	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 65 89	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd1fee3…
04-06 11:20:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xb359f1…
04-06 06:53:41	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 65 89	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf04063…
04-06 06:52:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x658f47…
04-05 14:45:15	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd7c7f7…
04-05 14:44:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xdb74bf…
04-05 14:41:25	50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xee5e19…
04-05 12:26:47	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3b1468…
04-04 16:22:59	Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x56464d…
04-03 14:31:01	Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x9580fe…
04-03 09:05:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa55441…
04-01 15:55:07	Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x275d4e…
04-01 15:54:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x60f8e8…
03-31 17:59:55	50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3d1b46…
03-31 02:44:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x20e518…
03-31 02:44:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa7ff45…
03-22 21:30:35	will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xaa71bc…
03-22 21:28:07	will mrbeasts next video get 59 million or more views on day 2	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6db5db…
03-13 21:19:21	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xabbc84…
03-13 21:19:15	will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x29e0e2…
03-13 09:26:51	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb60e00…
03-12 15:03:15	will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x60d9cd…
03-12 11:26:57	will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xbdd7ca…
03-11 17:28:47	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 122	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x5aa07f…
03-08 20:04:47	will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x61391d…
03-08 20:04:33	will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x89f991…
03-08 06:23:17	will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 248	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x128f29…
03-05 13:30:23	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcb1b2e…
03-03 13:08:35	cdr fcb atm 2026 03 03 fcb	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xe7ff1f…
03-03 13:08:03	cdr fcb atm 2026 03 03 draw	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x48aa0e…
03-03 13:07:49	cdr fcb atm 2026 03 03 atm	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd86000…
02-27 19:19:41	will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd5e40b…
02-22 17:02:10	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3e53b9…
02-22 17:01:20	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 90 114	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcc2400…