Winding-Fire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$101

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

50.1%

Resolved

194

Trades

574

lifetime

Volume

$1.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-29 05:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Other

76% 23% -$170

Sports

15% 26% +$64

Crypto

9% 25% +$7

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+110	$11	18¢	$20	+$9	09-14 10:37
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes		+10	$1	6¢	$1	$0	08-26 02:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$128	170	170	+0	Yes	+$94	05-30 19:03
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	5	$114	180	172	+8	Yes	+$82	04-24 06:56
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$81	500	500	+0	No	-$19	10-23 15:31
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	11	$74	650	650	+0	No	-$7	09-22 04:36
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	9	$72	200	100	+100	No	+$50	06-19 16:41
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	5	$54	59	59	+0	Yes	+$4	09-24 18:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:05 UTC	2	$52	48	48	+0	Up	+$42	08-09 05:10
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?	2	$45	101	0	+101	Yes	-$45	02-16 20:24
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	9	$42	100	100	+0	Yes	+$22	08-29 15:10
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?	45	$42	1,711	282	+1,429	No	-$2	05-19 07:02
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	5	$40	200	200	+0	No	+$20	09-06 14:51
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	4	$35	210	210	+0	open	—	10-29 05:45
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	4	$35	1,200	200	+1,000	No	-$29	09-26 09:02
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	2	$32	18	18	+0	No	+$2	03-13 21:19
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$31	270	0	+270	No	-$31	10-24 09:57
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 682	3	$26	1,731	18	+1,713	No	-$4	01-25 15:49
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	3	$23	21	21	+0	Yes	+$15	02-09 03:33
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$22	500	500	+0	No	+$2	10-01 05:01
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	3	$21	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	05-22 21:52
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$20	174	0	+174	No	-$20	04-09 09:09
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	19	$20	1,200	0	+1,200	No	-$20	10-03 21:35
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	17	$20	1,200	0	+1,200	No	-$20	10-03 16:42
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	10	$19	40	6	+34	No	-$13	04-08 12:40
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$19	60	60	+0	No	+$2	05-06 20:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:40 UTC	3	$15	527	0	+527	Up	-$15	08-09 07:45
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?	3	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	05-21 15:48
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$14	174	129	+45	No	-$9	04-15 18:03
will mrbeasts video get between 80 and 81 million views on week 1	1	$13	16	0	+16	Yes	+$3	04-11 10:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:10 UTC	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	08-09 08:16
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	17	$12	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$8	10-23 15:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 05:45:19	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	9¢	$19	0x18b092…
10-24 09:57:08	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xd86945…
10-23 15:36:32	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x8ef91f…
10-23 15:34:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xe55202…
10-23 15:31:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$31	0x84b87e…
10-23 15:30:14	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x5be08a…
10-21 14:31:20	Will MrBeast's next video get between 113 and 115 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x593213…
10-21 10:06:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 117 and 119 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa91085…
10-17 20:44:17	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xbe645d…
10-17 19:48:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xc6ffb4…
10-17 19:48:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0x4c335e…
10-17 19:29:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xfcc039…
10-17 19:29:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x700ca9…
10-17 18:52:06	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3f01ba…
10-04 03:37:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x1b8cd1…
10-03 21:35:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0xda177f…
10-03 21:35:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xc6955e…
10-03 21:35:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x7abe55…
10-03 21:35:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	478	1¢	$5	0x4ea7e5…
10-03 21:35:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x3e5859…
10-03 21:35:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x2f0276…
10-03 20:57:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xde0de9…
10-03 20:57:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x99ccdd…
10-03 20:57:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x428e70…
10-03 20:57:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x1f694e…
10-03 20:57:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x1e6114…
10-03 18:53:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x65fced…
10-03 17:43:15	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x7e6792…
10-03 17:43:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x917565…
10-03 17:42:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xc44a29…
10-03 17:30:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x213386…
10-03 17:30:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x05c87d…
10-03 17:30:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x7aeda0…
10-03 17:30:29	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0xdd1c31…
10-03 17:30:29	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x572bac…
10-03 17:30:29	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x14580e…
10-03 16:57:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0x1fd980…
10-03 16:54:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x138710…
10-03 16:54:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf4656a…
10-03 16:54:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x9cbc06…
10-03 16:42:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	547	1¢	$5	0x95b627…
10-03 16:41:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0xee9b44…
10-03 16:41:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x5e85fc…
10-03 16:41:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x555991…
10-03 16:41:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x47caf5…
10-03 16:41:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0x434ec9…
10-03 16:40:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xa14d72…
10-03 16:40:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0db20c…
10-03 16:40:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa19bdb…
10-03 16:40:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd0af89…
10-03 16:40:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x75ed3d…
10-03 16:40:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0cc1c7…
10-03 16:40:39	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xf46e6b…
10-03 16:12:47	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x9f86d6…
10-03 16:12:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0x712345…
10-03 15:58:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0xb8c09f…
10-03 15:54:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xf8075f…
10-01 05:01:59	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$12	0x716379…
09-30 07:38:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0xd62a3c…
09-30 07:38:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x7b1db6…
09-30 05:11:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xd50cf3…
09-29 17:47:44	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x9d82ea…
09-26 09:02:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x3eb2a8…
09-26 08:06:50	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0xa41f69…
09-25 19:18:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x6eaa27…
09-25 19:00:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x6cc6c2…
09-24 18:08:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	43	39¢	$17	0x7752ea…
09-24 01:19:32	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8767fd…
09-22 22:56:58	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc36acd…
09-22 04:36:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x57f652…
09-22 04:36:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	964	0¢	$1	0x0a5ae4…
09-22 04:35:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0x0e39ed…
09-21 18:43:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$3	0x0b6a41…
09-21 01:31:26	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x118d34…
09-20 16:41:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	134	1¢	$1	0x9e6d0d…
09-20 16:38:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	135	1¢	$1	0xa8fb8d…
09-20 15:34:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	151	1¢	$2	0xfbfb43…
09-20 15:03:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x5f5a79…
09-20 15:03:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x396b90…
09-20 14:58:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	199	1¢	$2	0xe931a7…
09-20 14:58:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x6a6667…
09-20 14:58:04	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xf3d87d…
09-20 14:58:04	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xf33f29…
09-20 12:52:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x85498a…
09-20 12:49:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x560f00…
09-20 12:49:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x0732f6…
09-20 12:49:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	149	1¢	$1	0x9e047d…
09-20 12:46:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$9	0xdf0996…
09-20 12:32:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	149	1¢	$1	0xc25127…
09-20 12:32:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x5958c8…
09-20 12:32:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xf28354…
09-20 12:32:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd3a317…
09-20 12:32:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x4d5d48…
09-20 12:32:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0x2c01bb…
09-20 12:25:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xbb7d51…
09-20 12:25:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc7e17e…
09-20 12:25:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc8e4ed…
09-20 12:06:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb74720…
09-20 12:06:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3b4e81…
09-20 12:06:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x138f99…