Abandoned-Break — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$59

Unrealized P&L

-$43

Hit rate

34.6%

Resolved

102

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$851

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 11-05 19:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

54% 27% -$21

Politics

18% 21% +$216

Sports

17% 7% -$115

Crypto

10% 33% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+13	$5	17¢	$2	-$3	06-22 20:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	+491	$30	0¢	$1	-$29	11-05 19:25
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?	Yes	+21	$1	3¢	$1	$0	11-04 16:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	+337	$12	0¢	$0	-$12	11-04 16:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 bog1	2	$110	100	100	+0	Yes	+$90	02-24 23:55
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$35	370	0	+370	No	-$35	04-09 04:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	2	$30	491	0	+491	open	—	11-05 19:25
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	2	$28	104	0	+104	Yes	+$76	06-12 09:44
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$26	43	43	+0	Yes	+$6	07-15 12:43
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$25	357	0	+357	No	-$25	02-22 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$25	69	0	+69	Up	-$25	06-13 18:05
ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 lev	1	$20	133	0	+133	No	-$20	03-05 19:47
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$18	3,600	0	+3,600	No	-$18	06-20 20:09
us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	1	$17	155	0	+155	No	-$17	03-05 09:33
Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$15	598	0	+598	Yes	-$15	06-21 13:43
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	1	$15	214	0	+214	No	+$199	05-24 09:05
ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 tot	1	$15	83	0	+83	No	-$15	03-10 19:52
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	1	$14	57	0	+57	Yes	-$14	02-28 22:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	2	$12	337	0	+337	open	—	11-04 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:05 UTC	2	$11	104	0	+104	Down	-$11	03-05 20:08
will russia capture zaliznychne by february 28	2	$10	1,454	0	+1,454	Yes	-$10	02-22 01:28
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$10	186	0	+186	No	-$10	10-01 11:27
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 draw	1	$10	67	0	+67	No	-$10	03-15 20:54
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 bog1	1	$10	48	0	+48	No	-$10	03-15 20:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:50 UTC	1	$10	26	0	+26	Down	-$10	03-30 16:51
trump announces military action against iran durring sotu	1	$10	233	0	+233	No	-$10	02-24 23:58
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	21	0	+21	No	-$10	06-20 20:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$10	75	0	+75	No	-$10	05-26 23:41
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	1	$10	53	0	+53	Yes	+$43	03-15 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 03:45 UTC	1	$8	20	0	+20	Down	+$12	03-18 03:46
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 lev	1	$7	50	0	+50	No	-$7	03-11 10:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$7	32	0	+32	Yes	+$25	02-22 22:25
will jared kushner attend the 2026 state of the union address	1	$6	50	0	+50	Yes	-$6	02-22 22:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$6	1,048	0	+1,048	No	-$6	06-22 17:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 19:25:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xd853a3…
11-04 16:29:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0x028138…
11-04 16:26:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	197	4¢	$7	0xa35ea9…
11-04 16:25:30	US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x4baefa…
11-04 16:23:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xe8fc23…
10-14 05:47:23	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x432a15…
10-01 11:30:36	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x769745…
10-01 11:27:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x197a66…
10-01 11:24:59	Will Israel win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa9394d…
09-24 13:26:47	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x77e42d…
09-24 13:23:17	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x64e4d8…
07-15 12:44:52	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xb0b442…
07-15 12:43:50	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	43	36¢	$16	0x78fdcf…
06-29 16:14:52	Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	242	2¢	$4	0x140588…
06-29 16:13:16	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe02098…
06-29 16:13:13	Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x24f4f6…
06-28 22:40:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x476b4f…
06-28 22:39:56	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xffecc9…
06-28 12:46:55	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x6cea60…
06-28 12:46:37	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1ab786…
06-28 12:45:58	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x54dd97…
06-22 20:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x33ab3d…
06-22 20:11:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb81fe1…
06-22 20:11:10	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x6345e4…
06-22 20:10:56	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x293e79…
06-22 20:09:56	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xdea03d…
06-22 20:08:38	France to score first vs. Iraq?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xcb58f4…
06-22 20:08:20	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb825fa…
06-22 17:35:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x28c90f…
06-22 05:46:08	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc0dc3f…
06-21 13:45:35	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	58	7¢	$4	0x1f036b…
06-21 13:43:49	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	598	3¢	$15	0xd98a9e…
06-21 13:40:23	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x2a3e50…
06-21 13:40:14	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xe22191…
06-21 13:39:58	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x7a0087…
06-21 13:39:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	349	1¢	$5	0x1fe5c6…
06-21 13:38:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x40b087…
06-20 20:56:34	Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe8e3db…
06-20 20:55:55	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0xe9bbef…
06-20 20:55:38	Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,333	0¢	$4	0x3858be…
06-20 20:54:49	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2bd4df…
06-20 20:11:01	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb97b03…
06-20 20:09:01	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,600	0¢	$8	0x5473cb…
06-16 10:45:27	will trump speak to keir starmer in june	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xaad8c4…
06-16 10:45:15	will trump speak to friedrich merz in june	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xa9d29c…
06-16 10:44:03	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	No	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x472b99…
06-16 10:43:27	will trump speak to ursula von der leyen in june	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x63a34b…
06-16 10:37:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x700902…
06-13 18:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x35a613…
06-12 09:45:45	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xfea542…
06-12 09:45:40	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0b5340…
06-12 09:45:36	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc9de92…
06-12 09:45:27	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x786f44…
06-12 09:45:21	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5b3f5e…
06-12 09:45:15	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xe5651b…
06-12 09:45:06	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa7b929…
06-12 09:45:00	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x028694…
06-12 09:44:55	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe8f07c…
06-12 09:44:49	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6f07cf…
06-12 09:44:42	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x5233eb…
06-12 09:44:33	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x74f33b…
06-12 09:44:19	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfa52f6…
06-12 09:44:13	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfe1339…
06-12 09:44:07	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x5cc70f…
06-12 09:44:01	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0543a5…
06-12 09:43:55	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc5b24c…
06-12 09:43:49	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbd7291…
06-12 09:43:40	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8f72fd…
06-10 20:18:09	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	48	27¢	$13	0xa11b06…
06-10 20:13:40	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x18e548…
05-26 23:41:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x244924…
05-26 13:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x15edb0…
05-24 09:05:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0x4d0856…
04-15 11:44:54	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x774820…
04-09 04:18:15	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0xae5752…
04-01 05:51:01	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc5422d…
03-30 16:57:05	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x35d960…
03-30 16:51:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x0c75d4…
03-26 06:43:55	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xcf4eec…
03-18 03:51:19	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	117	12¢	$14	0x9d7d9c…
03-18 03:46:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe9ee6e…
03-15 20:54:07	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 draw	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x0cdf00…
03-15 20:53:07	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xa0a709…
03-15 20:52:53	ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 bog1	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x326656…
03-11 17:42:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0xa3b1ed…
03-11 17:41:53	usisrael strike yemen by march 14	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x857b96…
03-11 10:28:49	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 lev	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x98dce9…
03-10 19:52:07	ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 tot	Yes	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0x7e20df…
03-10 19:51:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8fd7ab…
03-10 19:50:19	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x71ccff…
03-10 19:47:51	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0x1ffec4…
03-05 20:08:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9fb492…
03-05 20:06:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0xbebc94…
03-05 19:47:39	ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 lev	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x4efada…
03-05 19:45:31	ucl bog1 spo1 2026 03 11 bog1	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x016b0c…
03-05 09:36:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xef74ec…
03-05 09:33:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd7a88b…
03-05 09:33:25	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 7	Yes	BUY	155	11¢	$17	0xd95874…
02-28 22:25:55	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	No	BUY	57	25¢	$14	0x656bad…
02-25 07:18:02	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0xb7cfa7…