Grouchy-Boulder 0x75978e…5e5f01 Create alert
bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.82K
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
69.4%
Resolved
1,163
Trades
3,123
lifetime
Volume
$46.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.01K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-11 07:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 229 days
Categories
Politics
62% 66% +$1,688
Other
24% 71% +$247
Sports
10% 48% -$98
Crypto
4% 75% -$17
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -650 -$581 91¢ $-590 -$9 09-28 11:18
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -104 -$99 99¢ $-103 -$4 05-13 17:10
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -100 -$83 83¢ $-83 +$1 06-18 14:08
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -650 -$68 9¢ $-60 +$8 09-28 11:18
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $33 74¢ $33 +$0 11-11 07:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +29 $25 86¢ $25 $0 11-11 07:41
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? No +29 $25 84¢ $25 $0 11-11 07:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +25 $15 86¢ $21 +$6 11-05 04:40
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +31 $20 65¢ $20 +$0 11-11 07:38
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -100 -$17 17¢ $-17 -$1 06-18 14:05
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 11-04 15:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +13 $10 97¢ $12 +$2 11-05 04:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +14 $10 70¢ $10 +$0 11-11 07:25