Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$168

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

11.1%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$2.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-15 04:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

48% 40% $-168

Crypto

29% — —

Sports

16% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes		+282	$11	2¢	$7	$-4	07-11 03:52
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?	Yes		+11	$3	13¢	$1	$-2	06-05 21:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	15	$730	496	496	+0	open	—	05-02 19:18
Canadiens vs. Lightning	11	$235	435	0	+435	open	—	05-04 00:38
btc updown 5m 1776232500	12	$190	279	0	+279	open	—	04-15 05:59
btc updown 5m 1776233100	3	$128	198	0	+198	open	—	04-15 06:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$117	67	67	+0	open	—	04-23 01:10
DoorDash total orders above 960M in Q1?	6	$100	200	0	+200	No	$-100	04-15 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$70	39	40	-1	open	—	05-02 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	5	$62	71	0	+71	open	—	05-02 05:14
atp fils nakashi 2026 04 16	1	$54	71	0	+71	open	—	04-16 15:54
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	6	$53	300	0	+300	open	—	05-03 21:48
DoorDash total orders above 940M in Q1?	9	$51	68	0	+68	No	$-51	05-02 19:55
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5	1	$50	104	0	+104	open	—	05-03 22:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	2	$46	70	0	+70	open	—	05-03 06:07
btc updown 5m 1776262200	2	$45	46	0	+46	open	—	04-15 14:14
btc updown 5m 1776232800	5	$42	208	0	+208	open	—	04-15 06:04
nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	1	$40	59	0	+59	open	—	04-16 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	7	$36	64	0	+64	open	—	05-02 05:09
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team total away 0pt5	1	$35	50	0	+50	open	—	07-15 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$34	40	0	+40	open	—	05-03 22:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$32	40	0	+40	open	—	04-23 18:48
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5	2	$30	39	0	+39	open	—	05-04 00:39
nhl dal buf 2026 04 15	1	$28	60	0	+60	open	—	04-16 00:43
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$25	54	0	+54	open	—	07-15 04:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$25	45	0	+45	open	—	04-23 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$25	33	0	+33	open	—	05-03 06:02
nhl ana nsh 2026 04 16	1	$24	50	0	+50	open	—	04-16 22:21
Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$22	127	0	+127	No	$-22	05-02 19:14
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	3	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-16 00:40
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-17 16:47
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	1	$18	23	0	+23	open	—	04-13 03:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 04:20:04	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x1c81cc…
07-15 04:19:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x806941…
07-11 03:52:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0x36a5e3…
07-11 03:52:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x1d5063…
06-05 21:16:27	Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xad60fa…
06-05 21:15:49	Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x647f78…
05-15 22:47:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9075db…
05-15 02:57:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3ee79b…
05-07 01:54:06	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	16	74¢	$11	0xd5dcb9…
05-05 05:30:16	Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x114d56…
05-04 00:39:30	Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x9bfd86…
05-04 00:38:30	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x45ff28…
05-04 00:28:50	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0d8e9c…
05-04 00:28:08	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6a93bf…
05-04 00:26:18	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	33	58¢	$19	0x3a623d…
05-04 00:25:36	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	55	60¢	$33	0xe56e2c…
05-04 00:23:34	Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x6e6547…
05-04 00:21:26	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x79676e…
05-04 00:20:58	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x94a858…
05-04 00:20:46	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x83d32f…
05-03 22:44:16	Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xf5def2…
05-03 22:42:06	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x425372…
05-03 22:41:10	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x32572f…
05-03 22:41:04	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x181f0d…
05-03 22:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xff97d0…
05-03 22:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0xc709b6…
05-03 22:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9924c8…
05-03 21:48:18	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x4487a8…
05-03 19:29:44	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	48	17¢	$8	0xedd7ae…
05-03 19:07:30	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	17¢	$6	0x011d4b…
05-03 08:54:48	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0xbf425d…
05-03 08:34:28	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x03d15d…
05-03 06:45:24	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	120	18¢	$22	0xf055a0…
05-03 06:07:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xb0982f…
05-03 06:07:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0x522b69…
05-03 06:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe7efbb…
05-03 06:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x5c2849…
05-03 06:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x37d01d…
05-03 05:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x977871…
05-03 05:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbf8096…
05-02 19:55:12	DoorDash total orders above 940M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xe3edd2…
05-02 19:22:38	DoorDash total orders above 940M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xf28f32…
05-02 19:18:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	396	100¢	$396	0x9c25fc…
05-02 19:14:36	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x29c9fc…
05-02 05:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3f5148…
05-02 05:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1551a0…
05-02 05:36:08	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	93	18¢	$17	0x8b85f6…
05-02 05:32:34	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x604388…
05-02 05:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x77b616…
05-02 05:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x19bb24…
05-02 05:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xf653d6…
05-02 05:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xac92fa…
05-02 05:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9a1a35…
05-02 05:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xaec0ee…
05-02 05:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x2bdce8…
05-02 05:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xb67c0d…
05-02 05:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	81¢	$22	0xada4f7…
05-02 05:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe0690d…
05-02 05:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xbc16ef…
05-02 05:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd26336…
05-02 05:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xf2578e…
05-02 05:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x71d56d…
05-02 05:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb4214f…
05-02 05:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6a17b1…
05-02 05:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfe1c62…
05-02 01:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1809fb…
05-02 01:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x9acc21…
05-02 01:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x36f785…
05-02 01:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc94356…
05-02 01:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x14b3a0…
04-23 18:48:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x2bbcbd…
04-23 18:48:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xfa5d17…
04-23 18:48:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x573903…
04-23 01:12:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x915fdd…
04-23 01:11:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x578ebe…
04-23 01:11:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x95e362…
04-23 01:10:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x5b5512…
04-20 04:48:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0x40b611…
04-17 16:48:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x2b6eb5…
04-17 16:48:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xe3788c…
04-17 16:48:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xc9ef4a…
04-17 16:48:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xee0b91…
04-17 16:48:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x53a0dd…
04-17 16:47:40	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xea40c3…
04-16 22:21:42	nhl ana nsh 2026 04 16	Predators	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xa1120f…
04-16 22:20:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0xf5bde3…
04-16 15:54:28	atp fils nakashi 2026 04 16	Arthur Fils	BUY	71	76¢	$54	0x50bc96…
04-16 00:45:40	nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	Clippers	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0xde4c59…
04-16 00:43:46	nhl dal buf 2026 04 15	Sabres	BUY	60	46¢	$28	0xa5f288…
04-16 00:40:54	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9edbcc…
04-16 00:40:52	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x471e73…
04-15 23:08:58	DoorDash total orders above 960M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x43738a…
04-15 21:41:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	49	73¢	$36	0x8c7c9c…
04-15 21:39:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x82ff76…
04-15 20:47:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x614787…
04-15 20:36:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x84092d…
04-15 20:35:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0xaebd15…
04-15 20:34:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x567d18…
04-15 20:34:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xcd62ce…
04-15 20:19:42	DoorDash total orders above 960M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x12d3f1…