Infatuated-Subroutine — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$23

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

10.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

135

16,501 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.16K

$32.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$204

17 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 11-10 08:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 56% -$796

Other

4% 50% -$9

Politics

2% 0% -$14

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	+69	$54	86¢	$59	+$5	11-08 01:11
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	+67	$39	66¢	$44	+$5	10-31 18:22
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	No	+30	$26	93¢	$28	+$2	11-04 15:16
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+20	$14	100¢	$20	+$6	11-01 05:41
Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot?	Yes	+20	$17	96¢	$19	+$2	11-04 16:20
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in November 2026?	No	+12	$10	86¢	$10	+$0	11-05 22:55
Will PP win the most seats in Badajoz in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	+20	$7	34¢	$7	$0	11-04 21:37
Will Los Angeles Dodgers advance to the World Series in the 2027 MLB Playoffs?	No	+20	$16	31¢	$6	-$10	11-05 05:22
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	+3	$2	87¢	$3	+$1	11-05 09:10
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Yes	+30	$11	7¢	$2	-$9	11-05 20:03
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	No	+3	$3	74¢	$2	-$1	11-05 16:21
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in November 2026?	Yes	+12	$2	15¢	$2	$0	11-04 22:23
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	Yes	+3	$1	26¢	$1	+$0	11-04 14:10
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	+3	$6	13¢	$0	-$6	11-05 16:08
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	+0	$0	70¢	$0	+$0	11-05 03:53
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+0	$6	30¢	$0	-$6	11-05 18:02
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	+41	$7	0¢	$0	-$7	11-10 08:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	17	$591	767	700	+67	open	—	11-04 04:23
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	12	$281	250	181	+69	open	—	11-08 01:11
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	10	$271	466	406	+60	open	—	11-05 20:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:50 UTC	12	$270	198	198	+0	Up	+$92	06-09 14:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:45 UTC	18	$134	102	96	+6	Up	+$42	06-07 19:49
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	13	$124	135	135	+0	open	—	11-10 02:10
Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?	5	$123	100	100	+0	open	—	11-05 18:08
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?	5	$94	100	100	+0	open	—	11-05 16:55
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	11-04 10:06
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	10	$80	80	73	+7	open	—	11-05 16:08
Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds hit 25% by December 31?	3	$70	100	50	+50	Yes	-$10	11-04 15:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:50 UTC	5	$64	48	48	+0	Down	+$26	06-06 21:54
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	7	$58	44	38	+6	open	—	11-05 16:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:45 UTC	9	$56	102	102	+0	Down	-$35	06-09 14:47
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	4	$53	50	50	+1	open	—	11-05 18:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 17:35 UTC	7	$52	102	6	+96	Down	-$40	06-08 17:40
Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the December meeting?	5	$50	47	47	+0	open	—	11-07 02:25
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%?	5	$43	40	40	+0	open	—	11-05 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	10	$39	96	96	+0	Up	-$37	06-01 17:04
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in November 2026?	8	$38	56	32	+24	open	—	11-05 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:05 UTC	6	$36	30	30	+0	Down	+$9	06-09 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 01:40 UTC	8	$36	30	30	+0	Down	+$9	06-10 01:42
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	11	$34	120	59	+61	open	—	11-10 08:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:40 UTC	10	$32	54	54	+0	Down	-$16	06-09 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:40 UTC	7	$32	54	54	+0	Down	-$17	06-07 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$30	48	6	+42	Down	-$30	05-17 13:08
AOC's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?	3	$27	40	20	+20	open	—	11-04 14:03
Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit 5% by December 31?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	11-04 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 17:30 UTC	3	$24	48	48	+0	Down	-$19	06-08 17:31
Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	11-06 01:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 08:57:45	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1bc5d8…
11-10 02:10:24	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xd4adc6…
11-09 19:00:04	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x5fafab…
11-09 18:53:22	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xa2a7bd…
11-09 18:31:12	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x400eb3…
11-09 18:30:37	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x860076…
11-09 16:43:07	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x55e99b…
11-09 16:40:30	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0xdbf175…
11-08 01:11:19	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xdb6916…
11-08 01:11:16	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xed1201…
11-07 18:55:03	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x28a540…
11-07 18:54:58	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	SELL	24	85¢	$20	0xaf6156…
11-07 18:47:18	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x587a47…
11-07 18:42:33	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x918be3…
11-07 06:30:04	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x2245a8…
11-07 06:26:51	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xb16995…
11-07 06:25:28	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	15	43¢	$7	0xa756a6…
11-07 06:17:40	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xc5dba4…
11-07 06:15:49	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x2c3051…
11-07 02:25:21	Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the December meeting?	No	SELL	47	46¢	$22	0xb37931…
11-06 18:57:03	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x9ffbdc…
11-06 18:56:48	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0xd45870…
11-06 01:47:34	Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x0a46c2…
11-05 23:16:12	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?	No	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x40c420…
11-05 22:55:45	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in November 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xe8856c…
11-05 22:55:45	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in November 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x3d7848…
11-05 22:55:45	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in November 2026?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0x281008…
11-05 20:03:49	Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	106	8¢	$8	0x91b157…
11-05 18:53:51	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%?	Yes	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x47fcd9…
11-05 18:39:43	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%?	Yes	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x19115c…
11-05 18:08:36	Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?	No	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x2794d3…
11-05 18:02:13	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	48	47¢	$22	0x83130b…
11-05 17:49:22	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x51cb86…
11-05 16:55:27	Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x741826…
11-05 16:21:19	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	No	SELL	18	67¢	$12	0x8d09ae…
11-05 16:08:30	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	26¢	$4	0x9da6b8…
11-05 10:56:03	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in November 2026?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xf361cb…
11-05 09:10:28	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x21cffe…
11-05 09:10:10	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0xcc1bf8…
11-05 09:10:10	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x9f1cd9…
11-05 09:10:10	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x20e537…
11-05 05:22:57	Will Los Angeles Dodgers advance to the World Series in the 2027 MLB Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x3803f0…
11-05 03:53:00	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xbe4b03…
11-05 02:38:40	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x486b3e…
11-05 01:14:24	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x8d8901…
11-05 01:00:46	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xcc2e71…
11-05 00:31:49	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x1d0035…
11-04 23:55:52	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in November 2026?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x766979…
11-04 23:23:37	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x0c310d…
11-04 23:01:46	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x8de823…
11-04 22:23:30	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0xfb80b8…
11-04 21:47:31	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xca9a10…
11-04 21:37:16	Will PP win the most seats in Badajoz in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x7fcef7…
11-04 21:07:06	Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xb8f55c…
11-04 20:50:10	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xb717ac…
11-04 20:29:42	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x4bb373…
11-04 20:09:42	Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$37	0x238381…
11-04 19:54:34	Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xdccacb…
11-04 19:53:31	Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the December meeting?	No	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xe4ed12…
11-04 19:53:30	Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the December meeting?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xba78cb…
11-04 19:53:30	Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the December meeting?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x3028ea…
11-04 17:40:06	Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?	No	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x1c7485…
11-04 17:37:45	Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x3592a9…
11-04 17:37:34	Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x27165c…
11-04 17:37:33	Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xa63406…
11-04 17:29:49	Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?	No	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x57684f…
11-04 16:20:10	Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x6d392d…
11-04 16:13:25	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x8d6ddf…
11-04 16:11:52	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xea3cfd…
11-04 16:11:52	Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x238515…
11-04 16:08:52	Trump Jr.'s Republican nomination odds dip to 2% by December 31?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xb34890…
11-04 16:08:27	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x805e44…
11-04 15:56:10	Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x4a1245…
11-04 15:39:03	Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0x360df8…
11-04 15:29:43	Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x0feede…
11-04 15:18:37	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x23d683…
11-04 15:17:45	Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds hit 25% by December 31?	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xfc689a…
11-04 15:16:55	Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xb9fad5…
11-04 15:16:28	Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xc28566…
11-04 15:16:18	Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xeea989…
11-04 15:13:57	Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit 5% by December 31?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xa6df21…
11-04 15:03:22	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $168B by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x6876f1…
11-04 15:01:48	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $168B by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x3149a4…
11-04 14:36:57	Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds hit 25% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x2dbf42…
11-04 14:30:24	Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds hit 25% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xd2e9f4…
11-04 14:26:06	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x0c790d…
11-04 14:25:18	Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x55759b…
11-04 14:17:10	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1c35cf…
11-04 14:13:43	Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x3c1237…
11-04 14:10:57	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x9a963c…
11-04 14:10:52	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	No	SELL	17	74¢	$13	0xdabfce…
11-04 14:10:51	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x8104f2…
11-04 14:03:34	AOC's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x735bf0…
11-04 14:03:24	AOC's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xea1739…
11-04 14:00:04	AOC's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xdc45b6…
11-04 13:47:07	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xc6df75…
11-04 13:47:01	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x530d3f…
11-04 13:34:37	Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the December meeting?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x2ab886…
11-04 13:33:31	Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit 5% by December 31?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xf1ef32…
11-04 13:26:51	Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x386e95…