Realized P&L
-$820
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
72.3%
Resolved
6,186
Trades
16,502
lifetime
Volume
$32.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$206
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 11-10 20:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Crypto
93% 56% -$796
Other
4% 50% -$9
Politics
2% 0% -$14
Tech
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +66 $52 90¢ $60 +$8 11-10 20:23
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +67 $39 78¢ $52 +$13 10-31 18:22
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? No +30 $26 92¢ $28 +$2 11-04 15:16
Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot? Yes +20 $17 96¢ $19 +$2 11-04 16:20
AOC's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31? No +20 $15 76¢ $15 +$0 11-04 14:03
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in November 2026? No +12 $10 74¢ $9 -$1 11-05 22:55
Will PP win the most seats in Badajoz in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +20 $7 32¢ $6 $0 11-04 21:37
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%? Yes +10 $15 51¢ $5 -$10 11-14 17:11
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +3 $2 94¢ $3 +$1 11-05 09:10
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in November 2026? Yes +12 $2 26¢ $3 +$1 11-04 22:23
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +30 $11 8¢ $3 -$8 11-05 20:03
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027? No +3 $3 76¢ $2 -$1 11-05 16:21
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027? Yes +3 $1 24¢ $1 $0 11-04 14:10
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +0 $0 76¢ $0 +$0 11-05 03:53
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +3 $6 6¢ $0 -$6 11-05 16:08
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +0 $6 24¢ $0 -$6 11-05 18:02