Overcooked-Default — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

129 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$209

$1.79K lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$108

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 11-05 19:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

46% 97% +$5

Politics

33% 92% +$49

Crypto

17% 100% +$2

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No		+108	$104	99¢	$108	+$4	11-05 19:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	3	$125	78	52	+26	No	+$3	08-27 14:46
Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	2	$112	58	58	+0	Yes	+$1	10-13 11:18
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	1	$105	109	0	+109	Yes	+$3	11-04 02:30
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	3	$104	108	0	+108	open	—	11-05 19:19
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	2	$103	52	52	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 08:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	2	$99	53	53	+0	No	+$0	10-05 01:25
LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	2	$97	49	49	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 00:54
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	09-16 03:00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$57	57	0	+57	Yes	+$0	09-15 18:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	09-14 16:52
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-31 16:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	09-07 01:40
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	08-05 13:30
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	08-21 21:05
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$0	08-14 15:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	08-13 21:22
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	1	$49	49	0	+49	Yes	+$0	09-22 13:06
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	07-31 23:06
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$48	49	0	+49	Yes	+$1	09-10 10:54
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$44	45	0	+45	Yes	+$0	07-29 22:47
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	08-31 22:49
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$28	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	06-27 10:12
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	08-18 18:15
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$0	10-05 07:25
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	10-01 06:05
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	09-29 01:31
will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	1	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$0	06-29 16:57
will xrp dip to 1 in february 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	02-28 17:02
nvda above 200 on march 31 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-31 15:27
Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	09-10 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 19:19:48	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xc670fd…
11-05 19:19:48	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xaca0ff…
11-05 19:17:23	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$31	0xe7747b…
11-04 02:30:40	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	97¢	$105	0x83ca34…
10-24 01:36:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	340	0¢	$0	0x2708fb…
10-17 09:02:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	58	24¢	$14	0x5ef6a7…
10-13 11:18:46	Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	98¢	$56	0x9dfdda…
10-13 05:57:48	Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0xa629df…
10-05 07:25:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x23d7fa…
10-05 01:25:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	53	93¢	$49	0x271981…
10-04 23:54:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3f0aca…
10-01 06:05:47	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xca88c7…
09-29 16:02:59	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x0ef06b…
09-29 01:31:03	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdd3a88…
09-25 16:32:26	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0xaa958e…
09-22 13:06:04	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x96d53b…
09-22 12:28:57	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05fcae…
09-16 03:00:27	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x62830f…
09-15 18:04:06	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xa61f97…
09-14 16:52:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x77e719…
09-10 13:05:43	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe3bca9…
09-10 10:54:51	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x1bb9e6…
09-10 00:54:16	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x8bfff7…
09-09 18:30:10	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x73d243…
09-09 13:30:25	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7f9df9…
09-07 01:40:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0xbcb39d…
08-31 22:49:58	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xad9942…
08-31 16:36:51	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xe020c5…
08-27 16:14:57	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xced0b6…
08-27 14:46:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0x9547da…
08-24 21:54:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$50	0x29439e…
08-23 21:42:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	52	96¢	$49	0x948d59…
08-21 21:05:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x7f07ff…
08-18 18:15:58	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x243ecc…
08-16 21:21:15	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0xf61230…
08-16 21:04:04	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x3426f8…
08-16 00:19:06	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x9c195d…
08-15 14:27:15	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	0¢	$0	0xbef315…
08-14 22:22:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x40679a…
08-14 15:00:15	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	51	100¢	$50	0xbd338e…
08-13 21:22:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9b03a8…
08-13 18:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0x37ef30…
08-13 18:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x1b122f…
08-13 17:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x8b09d8…
08-13 17:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x5cdc4c…
08-13 14:17:28	will nvda dip to 152 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa12896…
08-13 08:38:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x1d61b9…
08-09 17:45:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$51	0x2b7e50…
08-05 13:30:14	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x234b43…
07-31 23:06:35	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xb55864…
07-31 19:33:21	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x617703…
07-29 22:47:35	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$44	0xaa1f54…
07-29 18:19:53	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x96c0bc…
07-27 03:35:07	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a06a7…
07-26 18:58:55	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb6cb91…
07-23 03:23:55	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2d410c…
07-21 18:40:22	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5d492d…
06-29 16:57:20	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x16c85f…
06-29 08:28:40	will ng reach 4 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xe3c2d8…
06-28 03:30:40	will openais valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x42d786…
06-27 15:59:41	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8c5428…
06-27 13:09:08	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e7ec0…
06-27 10:12:13	Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x1e7539…
05-30 11:29:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1f012b…
05-12 03:37:41	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x729407…
05-11 00:08:06	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x307cf9…
05-10 05:22:44	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x01cc8b…
05-09 19:12:43	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x342c74…
05-08 19:29:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc4930c…
05-08 09:44:10	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6dc8de…
05-08 04:50:43	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x721831…
05-08 03:57:52	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0792f4…
05-07 13:20:20	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0576d6…
05-06 10:17:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbabf26…
05-05 16:01:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x23509f…
04-27 05:27:06	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5c4866…
04-25 02:43:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfb5baa…
04-23 18:58:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9f5d60…
04-22 09:31:28	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4af5d8…
04-21 21:06:08	Will Solana reach $150 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x185c95…
04-20 20:01:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $120 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x44aa6c…
04-20 00:05:24	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8cc0e8…
04-19 13:49:34	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9c144a…
04-16 10:06:10	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc5a507…
04-14 18:34:52	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4474f7…
04-14 05:05:07	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.80 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x91ad56…
04-13 13:41:53	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc19b4c…
04-06 05:16:55	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdc8ee1…
03-31 15:27:41	nvda above 200 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcde2eb…
03-27 20:00:05	googl above 350 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x97ae64…
03-26 10:01:17	will zai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x886128…
03-25 20:30:03	will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaa51c6…
03-24 21:02:37	will ethena reach 0pt2 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2619a8…
03-22 04:22:59	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x773fa4…
03-20 11:13:11	amzn above 150 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x489b99…
03-19 05:35:07	will xrp reach 3 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa46a6c…
03-18 09:04:17	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3de063…
03-12 03:43:05	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6f728c…
03-11 00:26:33	nflx above 60 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x38f9f8…
03-09 02:22:31	nflx above 60 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e90ff…