Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
91.1%
Resolved
16
Trades
101
lifetime
Volume
$340
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$53
19 positions
First seen
2026-09-24
last 10-30 06:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
62% 36% -$3
Tech
20% — —
Crypto
17% 0% $0
Politics
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +27 $22 86¢ $23 +$1 10-30 04:30
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +13 $11 94¢ $12 +$1 10-08 02:20
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? No +9 $8 100¢ $9 +$0 10-24 15:21
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4 $3 84¢ $3 $0 10-12 14:18
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +20 $5 8¢ $2 -$4 10-16 03:18
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +20 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 10-12 16:50
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +5 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 10-06 10:37
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? Yes +6 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-11 03:55
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +9 $1 7¢ $1 $0 10-27 18:24
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes +10 $0 2¢ $0 $0 09-26 23:15
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +60 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-27 12:14
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October? Yes +26 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-30 06:01
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? Yes +124 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-27 16:55
Will Solana reach $130 in October? Yes +10 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-24 15:23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-26 07:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? Yes +20 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-14 08:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? Yes +12 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-26 06:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? Yes +16 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-27 05:35
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-17 02:45