Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$185.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$51.5K

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

250

Trades

14,341

lifetime

Volume

$20.8M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.45K

Open exposure

$255.7K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-06 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

55% 49% -$62,078

Politics

40% 52% -$74,145

Sports

5% 43% -$47,173

Crypto

0% 57% +$4,300

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$6,619

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	-242,074	-$186,583	99¢	$-239169	-$52,587	10-25 18:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-10,415	-$8,436	88¢	$-9113	-$677	05-25 22:33
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-21,907	-$8,774	32¢	$-7043	+$1,731	11-06 10:12
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	-397	-$357	92¢	$-367	-$10	06-05 05:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	130	$2.19M	1,284,387	910,477	+373,909	No	+$1,940	01-04 06:45
netanyahu out by march 31 854	247	$1.61M	827,290	827,290	+0	No	+$40,749	04-01 04:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1,154	$1.34M	922,380	927,225	-4,845	No	+$5,620	01-15 22:27
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	156	$1.22M	822,624	433,658	+388,966	No	+$1,786	01-04 13:56
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	967	$1.18M	1,278,985	881,788	+397,197	Yes	-$19,478	02-03 23:52
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	289	$1.02M	710,897	535,526	+175,371	No	+$5,794	02-19 14:49
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	457	$810.5K	271,389	662,638	-391,249	Yes	+$1,897	02-28 22:07
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	513	$590.3K	752,851	757,689	-4,838	Yes	-$70,651	02-28 06:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	940	$526.3K	451,135	292,932	+158,203	Yes	+$67,280	02-28 22:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	64	$522.0K	379,137	151,087	+228,051	Yes	+$7,664	03-03 22:48
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	525	$453.6K	376,200	356,231	+19,969	No	+$2,830	01-30 12:32
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	120	$432.7K	278,570	158,630	+119,941	No	+$3,883	01-08 01:07
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	45	$430.7K	431,592	0	+431,592	No	+$932	01-21 00:26
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	99	$386.1K	209,588	184,133	+25,454	No	+$6,160	01-30 15:28
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	425	$325.8K	279,390	261,168	+18,222	No	+$35,074	01-20 23:41
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	4	$290.0K	242,313	50,000	+192,313	Yes	+$2,171	01-25 02:50
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	73	$260.3K	177,555	177,555	+0	Seahawks	+$25,985	01-26 02:44
cbb txamc houbap 2026 01 17 spread home 2pt5	1	$241.4K	241,601	0	+241,601	Houston Christian Huskies	+$242	01-18 00:27
will the us strike somalia next 656	33	$238.8K	120,763	118,954	+1,809	Yes	+$436	01-24 17:09
will axiom be accused of insider trading	53	$238.2K	326,040	304,979	+21,062	Yes	-$237,597	02-26 15:03
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	75	$224.2K	231,350	199,892	+31,458	Yes	-$7,953	03-06 03:42
will seguro win all of portugals districts	259	$195.6K	107,790	107,847	-57	Yes	+$19,833	02-09 02:36
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	1	$190.0K	191,950	0	+191,950	No	+$1,920	02-13 10:37
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	123	$189.2K	957,325	23,014	+934,310	No	+$117,440	02-08 17:21
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	35	$187.5K	254,816	199,546	+55,270	Yes	-$73,835	04-07 08:48
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	3	$186.6K	0	242,074	-242,074	open	—	10-25 18:48
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	11	$186.0K	100,000	100,000	+0	Yes	+$6,049	02-04 20:26
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$185.4K	93,422	93,422	+0	Yes	-$154	02-08 02:27
maduro in us custody by january 31	3	$184.8K	100,000	85,000	+15,000	Yes	+$15	01-06 19:04
nba den okc 2026 02 27	176	$183.7K	160,215	157,431	+2,784	Thunder	+$13,380	02-28 05:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 10:12:31	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	21,907	40¢	$8,774	0x8c3694…
10-25 18:48:12	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	236,161	77¢	$181,844	0x51faf9…
06-18 05:47:11	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x8b2d02…
06-18 05:47:10	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	5,911	80¢	$4,737	0xbceae5…
06-05 05:44:39	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	376	90¢	$338	0x30607c…
06-04 14:26:07	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x5df551…
06-03 18:42:25	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0x72d37c…
06-03 12:59:33	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x48c0fb…
05-25 22:33:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3,213	81¢	$2,603	0x55a075…
05-25 22:33:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x0bb527…
05-25 22:33:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,009	81¢	$817	0x61af79…
05-25 22:15:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	37	81¢	$30	0x74b113…
05-25 22:14:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	81¢	$1,620	0x7d54d8…
05-25 22:14:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	81¢	$810	0x7394b1…
05-25 22:02:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x3eb926…
05-25 22:01:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	81¢	$1,620	0x53fd75…
05-25 21:58:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	81¢	$810	0xa9bf21…
05-25 21:49:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xa78128…
05-25 21:49:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	137	81¢	$111	0xde1a35…
04-10 10:24:27	lol lng edg 2026 04 10 game2	LNG Esports	BUY	45,476	46¢	$20,915	0xb3086b…
04-07 22:13:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	29,499	70¢	$20,649	0x7133fb…
04-07 22:13:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	2,763	70¢	$1,934	0xfc9047…
04-07 08:48:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20,876	100¢	$20,814	0x747c43…
04-07 08:46:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,333	100¢	$1,329	0xae02ba…
04-07 08:45:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20,791	100¢	$20,728	0x90429b…
04-07 08:45:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	54,209	0¢	$163	0x6fc014…
04-05 04:13:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1,250	0¢	$5	0xff68a0…
04-05 04:13:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	83,564	0¢	$334	0x235ad2…
04-01 04:44:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	611,321	100¢	$610,709	0xbf912b…
03-31 18:38:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	27,976	34¢	$9,512	0xfff8dc…
03-31 17:56:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb2a102…
03-31 17:56:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	34	56¢	$19	0xc661bb…
03-31 17:56:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb7ea10…
03-31 17:56:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	402	56¢	$225	0x1fa37a…
03-31 17:55:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	250	56¢	$140	0xa1ec92…
03-31 17:55:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	49	56¢	$28	0xdecf55…
03-31 17:55:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,600	56¢	$896	0xf06dfa…
03-31 17:54:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	51	56¢	$28	0x449fa4…
03-31 17:54:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	56¢	$560	0x4ff9f5…
03-31 17:54:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	83	56¢	$47	0x6934e2…
03-31 17:53:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	57	56¢	$32	0xf8acff…
03-31 17:53:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x236da7…
03-31 17:52:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6e2041…
03-31 17:51:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x79f8cd…
03-31 17:50:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	183	56¢	$103	0x052c59…
03-31 17:49:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x81edee…
03-31 17:49:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xaf3894…
03-31 17:49:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x0a8f8e…
03-31 17:41:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	794	56¢	$444	0x46cbd7…
03-31 17:40:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x26a896…
03-31 17:39:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	119	56¢	$67	0xba6d27…
03-31 17:39:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	175	56¢	$98	0x574ec3…
03-31 17:39:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	145	56¢	$81	0x2f161d…
03-31 17:39:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,114	56¢	$624	0x919858…
03-30 09:46:50	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,010	2¢	$20	0x2c8432…
03-30 08:55:14	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	8,059	94¢	$7,576	0x48b50a…
03-30 08:53:10	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x9cd095…
03-30 08:52:40	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0x2fe6c0…
03-30 08:52:36	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	495	94¢	$465	0x382384…
03-30 08:52:06	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x34253f…
03-30 08:51:52	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	1,440	94¢	$1,354	0xc26841…
03-30 08:50:54	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	4,653	94¢	$4,374	0x881b31…
03-30 08:45:54	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0x992609…
03-30 04:57:10	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	2,388	93¢	$2,223	0xf4c441…
03-30 04:50:24	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	2,485	94¢	$2,323	0xcc94fc…
03-29 21:16:00	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf0ef33…
03-29 21:15:54	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x91c07d…
03-29 21:15:54	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x596b86…
03-29 21:15:54	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4041b2…
03-29 21:05:14	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	7,616	100¢	$7,578	0x4cc76e…
03-29 21:03:32	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	900	100¢	$896	0x1872a3…
03-29 21:03:14	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x867211…
03-29 20:52:24	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	304	100¢	$302	0x933488…
03-29 20:49:50	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	37	100¢	$36	0x43a179…
03-29 20:49:28	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	3,799	100¢	$3,780	0x44e8e9…
03-29 20:16:00	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	11,705	85¢	$9,950	0xa64112…
03-29 20:11:04	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	53	85¢	$45	0xc46dd7…
03-29 20:11:04	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	101	85¢	$86	0x5dd4b2…
03-29 20:10:44	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	8,106	85¢	$6,894	0xd27ae2…
03-29 20:09:04	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	90	12¢	$11	0xfe9602…
03-29 19:51:54	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	143,782	99¢	$143,063	0xa51551…
03-29 19:50:30	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	324	54¢	$175	0x1230e4…
03-29 19:50:26	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	659	54¢	$356	0xf2596d…
03-29 19:50:26	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	661	54¢	$357	0xf07451…
03-29 19:50:26	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	288	54¢	$156	0xed5b78…
03-29 19:50:26	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	658	54¢	$356	0xe4a215…
03-29 19:50:26	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	675	54¢	$365	0xcd0fa6…
03-29 19:50:26	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	661	54¢	$358	0xb76461…
03-29 19:50:26	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	675	54¢	$365	0x85af36…
03-29 19:50:26	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	662	54¢	$358	0x7d51d3…
03-29 19:50:26	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	656	54¢	$355	0x79c08b…
03-29 19:50:26	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	652	54¢	$353	0x694e00…
03-29 19:50:26	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	658	54¢	$356	0x575e33…
03-29 19:50:24	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	320	54¢	$173	0xcdb4bb…
03-29 19:50:24	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	652	54¢	$353	0xaf8f9b…
03-29 19:50:24	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	652	54¢	$353	0x8a8c14…
03-29 19:50:24	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	326	54¢	$176	0x82ef22…
03-29 19:50:24	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	652	54¢	$353	0x14a8b4…
03-29 19:50:22	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0xa1e514…
03-29 19:50:20	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	15,101	54¢	$8,170	0x9d75b4…