Realized P&L (90d)
-$8
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
34.5%
Resolved (90d)
13
Trades (90d)
41
1,635 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$38
$2.75K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$9
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 11-06 10:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Other
73% 50% -$199
Politics
16% 58% +$1
Sports
7% 41% -$9
Pop-Culture
2% 61% -$8
Tech
1% 67% +$2
Crypto
1% 69% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next James Bond announced by March 31, 2027? Yes +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 11-05 10:43
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 8, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 11-04 17:43
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 11-05 18:37
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 7, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $0 11-04 18:28
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 9, 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $0 11-04 18:29
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 11, 2026? Yes +12 $1 8¢ $1 $0 11-04 23:31
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +220 $1 0¢ $1 $0 11-04 18:48
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +14 $1 6¢ $1 $0 11-05 01:22
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 10, 2026? Yes +11 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 11-04 22:52
marco rubio out as secretary of state by december 31 2026 Yes +2 $1 15¢ $0 -$1 11-05 18:58
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -1 $0 11¢ $-0 +$0 06-15 04:40
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 18, 2026? Yes +13 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 11-05 01:11
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 6, 2026? Yes +3 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 11-05 13:42