Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.91K

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

237

Trades

1,191

lifetime

Volume

$40.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$125

1 position

First seen

2026-06-21

last 10-27 18:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

65% 54% -$1,849

Politics

20% 53% -$207

Sports

14% 74% +$188

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% 50% -$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No		+200	$132	62¢	$125	-$7	10-27 18:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	41	$3.7K	2,800	2,800	+0	No	+$17	07-12 08:37
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	53	$3.1K	2,024	2,024	+0	No	+$37	07-18 13:21
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$1.5K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$3	07-11 12:34
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	28	$1.4K	1,408	1,408	+0	No	+$11	07-15 21:19
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	24	$1.4K	900	900	+0	No	$0	07-12 00:44
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	77	$1.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	-$23	07-11 17:50
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	19	$1.1K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$8	07-13 17:59
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$842	800	800	+0	No	+$48	07-17 11:32
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	7	$713	406	406	+0	No	-$11	07-14 10:13
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	10	$622	600	600	+0	Yes	-$134	07-13 15:02
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	14	$566	550	550	+0	Yes	+$5	07-15 21:38
val drg wol 2026 07 19 game1	13	$447	500	250	+250	Wolves Esports	-$198	07-19 11:15
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	6	$428	400	400	+0	open	—	07-13 19:50
will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	2	$422	250	250	+0	Yes	+$8	07-07 02:24
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	5	$410	400	400	+0	No	-$48	07-14 12:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4	$386	400	400	+0	open	—	07-08 02:24
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	5	$380	400	400	+0	No	+$4	07-10 17:14
iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	4	$376	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-09 12:51
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 7pt5	5	$362	315	315	+0	Under	+$2	07-15 20:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	3	$351	200	200	+0	Yes	+$3	09-18 14:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	5	$350	400	400	+0	No	+$3	07-13 22:22
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	8	$349	400	400	+0	No	+$5	07-14 19:14
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$348	400	0	+400	Paraguay	-$348	06-29 19:43
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	7	$343	200	200	+0	No	+$29	07-14 14:33
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	10	$341	500	500	+0	No	+$1	07-12 14:46
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$339	200	200	+0	No	-$2	07-10 12:05
lol ly tsw 2026 07 08 game3	2	$337	250	250	+0	LYON	+$2	07-08 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 25?	18	$336	264	264	+0	No	-$78	06-25 05:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$328	200	200	+0	open	—	07-12 03:50
lol hle1 t1 2026 07 17	1	$325	500	0	+500	T1	-$325	07-17 11:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:33:59	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x750fe2…
10-27 03:58:45	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0x16d663…
10-27 00:04:00	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x14e6fa…
10-26 19:12:45	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x13e78f…
10-24 03:45:14	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	74¢	$32	0xbdc1f1…
10-24 02:14:45	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x0ececc…
10-24 02:12:05	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xf708cd…
10-23 18:15:45	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xf86516…
10-23 14:10:15	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0xe4b49f…
10-23 14:10:15	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x421b4b…
10-23 13:28:57	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x3e0bdd…
10-22 15:12:33	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x8acecc…
10-22 15:12:29	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xef5d8e…
10-21 20:19:32	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0x27c80e…
10-21 19:09:02	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	35¢	$6	0x73b368…
10-21 18:59:42	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x2fba6f…
10-21 18:59:33	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0xa4f63a…
10-21 18:59:08	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	36¢	$8	0x1896e0…
10-21 18:59:05	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	35¢	$24	0x914757…
10-20 12:43:57	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0x268896…
10-20 12:09:38	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x77e882…
10-19 13:58:29	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x172615…
10-19 13:58:24	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xfa8e07…
10-19 11:03:44	Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xf7fcfe…
10-19 10:51:47	Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x0d6536…
10-19 05:26:24	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x695b67…
10-19 03:35:14	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xc8519a…
10-18 22:10:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x446702…
10-18 22:10:20	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xf77014…
10-17 05:28:02	Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?	Yes	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0x7991aa…
10-16 15:28:22	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0xbed97c…
10-16 15:28:22	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	69¢	$36	0xba41c8…
10-16 15:28:22	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$6	0x708f52…
10-16 15:28:19	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x48e624…
10-16 11:35:31	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xf1a711…
10-14 08:31:38	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	164	60¢	$98	0xb84611…
09-29 19:13:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	66	66¢	$43	0xa442dd…
09-29 19:12:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x9ca165…
09-29 19:12:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x95b1cf…
09-29 19:12:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x404bcd…
09-29 19:12:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xf52548…
09-29 19:12:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xdd7f14…
09-29 19:12:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x751eb6…
09-29 19:12:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x263fb3…
09-28 15:17:14	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x2d8967…
09-28 15:17:11	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x8d07cc…
09-21 14:45:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	36¢	$13	0x7468c2…
09-21 14:45:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	36¢	$13	0x2d3b44…
09-21 11:51:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	164	36¢	$60	0x389fb7…
09-20 08:10:42	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game2	Gen.G GC	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x871656…
09-20 07:59:51	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game2	FENNEL Female	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xc84b7a…
09-20 07:59:51	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game2	FENNEL Female	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x8d166e…
09-18 14:48:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	57	88¢	$50	0xb0288c…
09-18 14:48:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	143	89¢	$128	0xa4fab0…
09-18 14:48:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x6065f2…
09-14 17:10:12	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x8c4e5a…
09-14 13:07:12	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0xdcaa60…
09-14 13:07:01	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x0cc25e…
09-14 12:52:07	Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xd9eb57…
08-06 11:51:56	lol ig1 nip 2026 08 06 game2	Invictus Gaming	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa5059b…
08-06 11:43:41	lol ig1 nip 2026 08 06 game2	Invictus Gaming	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xae4c9d…
08-06 11:28:29	lol ig1 nip 2026 08 06 game2	Invictus Gaming	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x69a99d…
08-06 11:27:32	lol ig1 nip 2026 08 06 game2	Invictus Gaming	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xe199d7…
08-06 10:40:36	lol ig1 nip 2026 08 06	Invictus Gaming	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0x55e47d…
08-06 10:22:03	lol ig1 nip 2026 08 06	Invictus Gaming	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xcba001…
08-06 10:06:59	val fpx jdg 2026 08 06	FunPlus Phoenix	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0xefff17…
08-06 03:28:44	val fpx jdg 2026 08 06	FunPlus Phoenix	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x2b7950…
07-25 16:09:51	lol vit g2 2026 07 25 game2	G2 Esports	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe95297…
07-25 15:48:31	lol vit g2 2026 07 25 game2	G2 Esports	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xe0dc75…
07-25 15:08:39	lol vit g2 2026 07 25 game1	G2 Esports	SELL	30	59¢	$17	0x48ca6f…
07-25 14:48:33	lol vit g2 2026 07 25 game1	G2 Esports	BUY	30	72¢	$21	0x817d33…
07-25 14:06:12	val tyloo xlg 2026 07 25 game2	XLG Gaming	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xe7fd7d…
07-25 14:05:55	val tyloo xlg 2026 07 25 game2	XLG Gaming	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc52840…
07-25 13:53:42	val tyloo xlg 2026 07 25 game2	TYLOO	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x42f83e…
07-25 13:51:28	val tyloo xlg 2026 07 25 game2	XLG Gaming	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x35cb24…
07-25 13:51:00	val tyloo xlg 2026 07 25 game2	XLG Gaming	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x17ca09…
07-25 13:47:33	val tyloo xlg 2026 07 25 game2	TYLOO	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x310e31…
07-25 09:51:37	val ns1 ge1 2026 07 25	Nongshim RedForce	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x4fcc50…
07-25 09:46:28	val ns1 ge1 2026 07 25	Nongshim RedForce	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x6dd8e5…
07-25 09:45:30	lol ig1 wb 2026 07 25 game1	Invictus Gaming	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xce64c8…
07-25 09:26:43	lol ig1 wb 2026 07 25 game1	Invictus Gaming	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x65aee1…
07-24 19:33:31	lol vit kc 2026 07 24 game2	Karmine Corp	SELL	40	70¢	$28	0xf90bd4…
07-24 19:23:27	lol vit kc 2026 07 24 game2	Karmine Corp	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x0dc032…
07-24 19:18:37	lol vit kc 2026 07 24 game2	Karmine Corp	SELL	70	73¢	$51	0x6e160a…
07-24 19:05:42	lol vit kc 2026 07 24 game2	Karmine Corp	BUY	70	70¢	$49	0x9f27f7…
07-24 15:43:15	val fut1 bbl1 2026 07 24	BBL Esports	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x6f8f4a…
07-24 12:51:42	lol edg blg 2026 07 24 game1	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0xcf6839…
07-24 12:24:37	lol edg blg 2026 07 24 game1	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x846941…
07-24 12:10:52	val edg1 ag1 2026 07 24 game1	EDward Gaming	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x31b9cd…
07-24 12:08:00	val edg1 ag1 2026 07 24 game1	EDward Gaming	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0xe02ea2…
07-24 12:05:01	val edg1 ag1 2026 07 24 game1	EDward Gaming	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x12d6cc…
07-24 10:34:07	lol we jdg 2026 07 24	JD Gaming	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0xb33d50…
07-24 10:33:58	lol we jdg 2026 07 24	JD Gaming	SELL	33	47¢	$16	0xc15c21…
07-24 10:23:58	lol we jdg 2026 07 24	JD Gaming	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xfc6c93…
07-23 15:53:36	val ef th1 2026 07 23 game1	Team Heretics	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x1ecd91…
07-23 15:50:21	val ef th1 2026 07 23 game1	Team Heretics	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xeaa665…
07-23 15:44:49	val ef th1 2026 07 23 game1	Team Heretics	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xfba7ac…
07-23 15:37:10	val ef th1 2026 07 23 game1	Team Heretics	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xa1298f…
07-23 15:37:03	val ef th1 2026 07 23 game1	Team Heretics	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x280937…
07-23 14:57:01	lol blg tt 2026 07 23	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xf7884e…