Burdensome-Camp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$292

Unrealized P&L

+$23

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

337

Trades

738

lifetime

Volume

$87.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$118

Open exposure

$1.39K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-03 19:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

61% 92% +$581

Pop-Culture

14% 76% +$891

Sports

10% 45% -$365

Politics

10% 59% -$1,174

Tech

3% 86% -$117

Crypto

2% 50% -$109

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+1,186	$1,173	98¢	$1.2K	-$7	09-30 13:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+500	$175	40¢	$202	+$27	10-03 19:25
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	Yes	+163	$24	16¢	$26	+$2	05-06 17:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	3	$4.0K	4,265	0	+4,265	No	+$235	05-15 04:03
will reality check inside americas next top model be the top us netflix show this week 735	1	$4.0K	4,012	0	+4,012	No	+$12	03-01 08:59
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 7 million	9	$3.4K	3,507	0	+3,507	Yes	+$106	02-16 03:06
ex faze members form new organization by march 31	13	$3.1K	2,871	337	+2,534	No	-$8	03-27 02:51
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	6	$2.6K	2,909	0	+2,909	Yes	+$297	01-16 16:45
nba finals timothee chalamet to attend all knicks home games	1	$2.5K	2,503	0	+2,503	Yes	+$3	06-14 03:30
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	8	$2.2K	2,251	0	+2,251	Yes	+$84	04-27 22:26
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	13	$2.1K	1,303	1,098	+205	Yes	-$167	05-10 04:02
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	2	$2.0K	2,346	0	+2,346	Yes	+$325	04-30 21:11
will man i need olivia dean be the 1 song on spotify this week 526	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	No	+$2	02-18 01:36
will nuevayol bad bunny be the 1 song on spotify this week 759	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	No	+$2	02-18 01:36
will eoo bad bunny be the 1 song on spotify this week 533	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	No	+$2	02-18 01:36
will drake perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	3	$2.0K	2,148	0	+2,148	No	+$171	01-22 01:32
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	3	$1.9K	2,066	0	+2,066	No	+$166	04-21 19:19
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 11 311	3	$1.8K	1,010	1,687	-677	Yes	-$167	01-07 08:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	7	$1.7K	2,005	2,005	+0	Yes	-$1,174	04-16 01:23
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	7	$1.5K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$0	04-06 05:17
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	3	$1.5K	1,524	0	+1,524	Yes	+$14	02-16 03:02
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes 266 694	1	$1.5K	1,579	0	+1,579	No	+$90	01-25 01:37
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	4	$1.5K	1,596	0	+1,596	No	+$116	03-30 19:38
highest temperature in dallas on march 5 2026 88 89f	1	$1.3K	1,301	0	+1,301	No	+$1	03-05 19:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	9	$1.3K	675	675	+0	No	+$21	03-12 10:21
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	4	$1.2K	1,320	0	+1,320	No	+$110	03-27 18:05
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$1.2K	1,186	0	+1,186	open	—	09-30 13:23
will the tiktok killer limited series be the top global netflix show this week	4	$1.1K	1,129	0	+1,129	No	+$2	03-27 23:53
will a contestant numbered 126 150 win beast games season 2	14	$1.1K	679	580	+99	No	+$84	01-07 19:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$1.0K	520	520	+0	Yes	+$9	04-07 23:22
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	2	$1.0K	1,014	0	+1,014	Yes	+$9	02-16 04:10
will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 271	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$1	03-10 19:11
will muhammed mokaev win against arman tsarukyan	2	$971	972	0	+972	No	+$1	03-12 05:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 19:25:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	462	35¢	$162	0x4e528b…
10-03 19:23:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcf0749…
10-03 19:22:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x1a945e…
10-03 19:21:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x78ca8b…
10-03 19:12:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xf329ba…
10-03 19:11:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x75e9da…
09-30 13:23:39	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xfec472…
09-28 07:34:06	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xdc13b4…
09-25 10:08:27	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0x0731e8…
09-24 06:10:02	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,089	99¢	$1,078	0x4fff30…
09-13 02:58:01	Will Conor McGregor fight Jorge Masvidal next?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x1a6bef…
09-13 02:05:24	Will Conor McGregor fight Jorge Masvidal next?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xe79f0e…
09-13 02:05:10	Will Conor McGregor fight Jorge Masvidal next?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x559a65…
09-13 01:55:10	Will Conor McGregor fight Jorge Masvidal next?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xd18ff9…
09-13 01:46:28	Will Conor McGregor fight Jorge Masvidal next?	No	SELL	19	71¢	$13	0x23089f…
09-13 01:11:36	Will Conor McGregor fight Jorge Masvidal next?	No	SELL	35	67¢	$23	0xf84292…
09-13 01:10:57	Will Conor McGregor fight Jorge Masvidal next?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xacab01…
09-13 01:10:52	Will Conor McGregor fight Jorge Masvidal next?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0x3eb210…
09-13 01:10:01	Will Conor McGregor fight Jorge Masvidal next?	No	BUY	396	62¢	$247	0x0d4328…
09-13 00:48:06	Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?	No	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0x4d981a…
08-13 20:07:19	Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	903	5¢	$42	0x91b563…
08-05 00:17:44	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	Yes	SELL	455	7¢	$33	0x3de99c…
07-24 18:39:30	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	Yes	SELL	800	10¢	$82	0xb0281d…
07-11 18:20:37	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x11c7f0…
07-08 15:20:07	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	Yes	BUY	535	21¢	$112	0xf60b32…
07-07 02:32:53	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	Yes	BUY	636	35¢	$220	0x48b652…
07-07 01:23:04	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	496	0¢	$1	0x067655…
07-07 00:50:13	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0x46661c…
07-07 00:35:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x81b215…
07-07 00:34:07	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	285	2¢	$5	0x045ef1…
07-06 23:11:44	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0xe7a23f…
07-06 23:02:46	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0xf5656e…
07-06 21:49:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x05c8d0…
07-06 18:15:05	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x0da92f…
07-06 00:55:41	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0xcc73ee…
07-06 00:50:50	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0xb6636d…
07-06 00:50:25	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x1d0dd8…
07-06 00:49:46	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x16ac26…
07-06 00:49:38	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd55240…
07-06 00:49:22	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0xdda20c…
07-04 19:38:20	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	Yes	BUY	300	27¢	$81	0xc548aa…
07-04 02:23:49	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	Yes	BUY	807	35¢	$280	0x3d2ece…
07-01 21:33:53	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	600	1¢	$8	0xbf790f…
07-01 18:09:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	17	87¢	$14	0x9a34d4…
07-01 18:08:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd4df40…
07-01 18:08:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	182	87¢	$159	0xbbefd7…
06-24 22:21:19	will trump say weightlifter or weightlifting during june 24 rally 20260616194255621	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x00c861…
06-22 23:52:14	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x197a8c…
06-21 18:14:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	169	52¢	$88	0x871593…
06-21 18:13:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x00da3c…
06-15 03:41:52	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xf5fd76…
06-14 19:48:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0x55bfb4…
06-14 19:08:37	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x510eaf…
06-14 03:30:09	nba finals timothee chalamet to attend all knicks home games	Yes	BUY	2,503	100¢	$2,500	0xe6bc15…
06-12 16:58:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	SELL	899	34¢	$308	0xfb5b18…
06-12 07:47:09	Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x52a88b…
06-11 00:36:33	will timothee chalamet attend game 4 of the 2026 nba finals 20260610162512183	Yes	BUY	351	100¢	$350	0x4a4b79…
06-10 21:40:10	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	SELL	73	29¢	$21	0x585912…
06-10 21:31:58	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xddd843…
06-10 21:09:42	will timothee chalamet attend game 4 of the 2026 nba finals 20260610162512183	Yes	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0x2baacc…
06-09 22:17:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	535	56¢	$300	0x28d1a1…
06-09 21:53:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0xb05325…
06-08 03:51:45	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	80	57¢	$46	0x88d8e0…
06-08 03:49:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	433	15¢	$65	0xfc36fc…
06-08 02:29:18	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0xf94f88…
06-05 01:40:00	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0xd6d473…
06-04 23:44:01	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0xcca196…
06-04 18:55:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	179	13¢	$23	0x3ad800…
06-03 18:54:48	Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xa2f4cc…
06-02 21:48:23	Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x609e4d…
06-01 20:01:44	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0x8167e3…
05-28 07:02:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x1ba653…
05-28 06:39:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x7bd6c9…
05-28 04:08:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x031d5f…
05-28 01:47:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x62dd97…
05-27 01:16:38	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	37	69¢	$26	0x4faef7…
05-27 00:57:58	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x3a5ebd…
05-24 07:31:06	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	332	99¢	$328	0xfb3240…
05-24 07:30:42	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	159	99¢	$158	0x9fad31…
05-23 23:00:10	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x929624…
05-23 22:57:41	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x84c073…
05-23 06:39:08	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	464	19¢	$88	0x3ff4bf…
05-23 06:37:57	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x79bce6…
05-23 02:33:42	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x5fd4b7…
05-23 01:24:38	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	189	18¢	$34	0x57f027…
05-23 00:50:13	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	334	18¢	$59	0xdd9da0…
05-23 00:44:07	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0xb5a678…
05-22 07:41:08	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3fc464…
05-22 06:45:38	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xbf2f56…
05-22 06:43:46	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	158	54¢	$85	0x4f5b3a…
05-22 06:37:19	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0xf85e8b…
05-22 06:37:12	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x8c0593…
05-22 06:37:08	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	120	64¢	$77	0x678b86…
05-15 04:03:15	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	552	96¢	$530	0x9bc47c…
05-15 04:02:54	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	3,125	96¢	$3,000	0xebab93…
05-15 04:02:30	Will Drake feature PARTYNEXTDOOR on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	474	95¢	$450	0x9c2146…
05-15 04:02:19	Will Drake feature Metro Boomin on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x28e944…
05-15 04:02:05	Will Drake feature Yeat on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	152	98¢	$150	0x6e25d8…
05-15 04:01:55	Will Drake feature Yeat on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x4c596c…
05-15 04:01:44	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x0797dd…