(anonymous) 0x780350…53b7d2 Create alert
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.52K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.48K
Hit rate
47.5%
Resolved
92
Trades
1,047
lifetime
Volume
$155.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$149
Open exposure
$15.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-09
last 11-11 17:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Politics
61% 38% -$6,817
Other
39% 34% +$5,297
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 25%-30%? Yes +2,227 $338 98¢ $2.2K +$1,856 10-19 11:59
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,200 $1,032 91¢ $1.1K +$60 11-03 15:29
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +1,200 $900 80¢ $960 +$60 11-05 17:34
Will PSOE win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +1,200 $852 77¢ $924 +$72 10-27 03:22
Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? Yes +1,200 $936 77¢ $924 -$12 10-14 16:09
Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election? Yes +986 $838 92¢ $912 +$74 11-10 10:02
Will ERC win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +5,000 $1,300 17¢ $845 -$455 11-01 17:34
Will PNV win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +1,200 $816 60¢ $726 -$90 10-29 14:33
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%? Yes +754 $371 90¢ $675 +$304 11-06 18:58
Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? Yes +1,200 $816 52¢ $618 -$198 11-07 22:04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-22 House election by 15%-20%? Yes +821 $387 70¢ $577 +$191 11-06 18:49
Will Axel Kicillof win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election? No +1,200 $540 40¢ $480 -$60 11-08 23:39
Will Vox win fewer than 56 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +1,200 $239 27¢ $325 +$86 10-31 06:23
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 20%-25%? Yes +308 $216 98¢ $301 +$86 11-06 20:09
Will the Democrats win New Hampshire in the 2028 Presidential Election? No +1,200 $384 24¢ $294 -$90 11-11 14:11
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-02 House election by 10%-15%? No +280 $269 100¢ $280 +$11 11-07 02:47
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 5%-15%? Yes +479 $458 55¢ $263 -$196 11-06 19:36
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-12 House election by 5%-10%? Yes +275 $261 95¢ $261 +$0 11-06 19:55
Will Chantal Soucy win the 2026 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton by-election? No +386 $270 66¢ $255 -$15 11-11 17:17
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election? Yes +332 $253 72¢ $241 -$12 11-08 22:14
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? No +263 $230 91¢ $240 +$9 09-23 16:07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 15%-20%? Yes +427 $134 50¢ $215 +$82 11-06 18:55
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election? Yes +2,000 $340 11¢ $210 -$130 11-06 00:58
Will Solomon Olamilekan Adeola win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election? No +1,200 $240 17¢ $204 -$36 11-09 17:50
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 30%-35%? Yes +250 $230 79¢ $198 -$32 11-06 20:15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 30%-35%? Yes +200 $178 98¢ $196 +$18 11-06 19:34
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 12% or more? No +195 $175 98¢ $191 +$16 11-07 02:38
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-32 House election by 0%-5%? No +277 $263 64¢ $177 -$86 11-07 02:44
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 40%-45%? No +178 $153 98¢ $175 +$22 11-06 19:59
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-43 House election by 40%-45%? No +240 $226 72¢ $173 -$53 11-07 02:43