Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 10%-15%?
open
Total volume
$4,863
Trades
419
Unique wallets
95
Liquidity
$303
Latest YES mid
42¢
Latest NO mid
57¢
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-09
last 11-09 23:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-10.3¢
(top1%: 14% YES on $597
vs crowd: 24% YES on $3.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 36 | $562 | $1.5K | $960 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 37 | $274 | $1.1K | $819 |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $48 | $181 | $134 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $7 | $5 | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 20 | $83 | $514 | $431 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $120 | $51 | +$68 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $59 | $59 |
| Median | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| Below median | 5 | $16 | $32 | $16 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $30 | $45 | $15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 24 | $101 | $541 | $440 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 29 | $535 | $1.6K | $1.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +720 | $135 | $135 | 23 | 11-03 00:12 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +307 | $236 | $236 | 10 | 11-03 18:07 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +258 | $199 | $204 | 5 | 11-02 16:44 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +258 | $59 | $59 | 3 | 11-02 16:44 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +223 | $54 | $54 | 12 | 11-06 20:00 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +195 | $40 | $40 | 12 | 11-03 05:01 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +173 | $140 | $252 | 8 | 10-21 16:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x7803…b7d2 | No | +162 | $144 | $144 | 1 | 11-06 20:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | +106 | $21 | $22 | 10 | 10-25 00:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | +106 | $86 | $147 | 9 | 10-25 00:21 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +101 | $80 | $80 | 7 | 11-03 00:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +85 | $19 | $19 | 6 | 10-31 04:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +85 | $67 | $68 | 8 | 10-31 04:50 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +79 | $62 | $64 | 6 | 11-02 16:44 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +79 | $18 | $18 | 4 | 11-02 16:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +76 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 11-02 16:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +76 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 11-02 16:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +76 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 11-02 16:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +76 | $61 | $61 | 3 | 11-02 16:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +75 | $17 | $18 | 5 | 11-02 16:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +75 | $59 | $63 | 4 | 11-03 00:45 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +72 | $14 | $33 | 11 | 11-03 22:25 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +72 | $60 | $91 | 4 | 11-03 22:25 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +70 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 11-04 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xadc2…2bea | No | +66 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 11-04 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +60 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 11-04 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +54 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 10-29 19:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +54 | $44 | $44 | 5 | 10-29 19:02 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +52 | $43 | $43 | 3 | 10-01 16:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +50 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 11-04 13:32 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +47 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 10-20 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | +40 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 10-26 15:22 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 4 | 11-04 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +40 | $21 | $21 | 4 | 11-04 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 10-27 14:05 |
| This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | +40 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-31 11:50 |
| This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | No | +40 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 10-31 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +32 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 11-04 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +31 | $7 | $9 | 3 | 11-02 16:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +31 | $25 | $61 | 4 | 11-02 16:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f1a…0613 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 11-04 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xc671…a37a | Yes | +28 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 11-02 16:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xc671…a37a | No | +28 | $22 | $23 | 3 | 11-02 16:44 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +26 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 10-20 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb90…2335 | Yes | +25 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-21 04:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | Yes | +25 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-02 16:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | +24 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 10-24 23:21 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | +24 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-20 09:03 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | +24 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-20 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | +24 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-24 23:21 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +23 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 10-01 14:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2fe…25d6 | No | +20 | $18 | $37 | 3 | 10-02 21:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-03 18:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-31 04:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d58…4205 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-03 20:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-10 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2fe…25d6 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-03 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-24 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +19 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-20 12:02 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-25 00:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-09 23:19:48 | (anonymous) 0x1fa4…c02b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf33315… |
| 11-09 23:19:48 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf33315… |
| 11-06 20:00:52 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x7ff593… |
| 11-06 20:00:52 | (anonymous) 0x2771…6d24 | No | SELL | 157 | 89¢ | $140 | 0x7ff593… |
| 11-06 20:00:52 | (anonymous) 0x7803…b7d2 | No | BUY | 162 | 89¢ | $144 | 0x7ff593… |
| 11-05 02:37:58 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | SELL | 51 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x470c17… |
| 11-05 02:37:58 | (anonymous) 0x2771…6d24 | No | SELL | 51 | 89¢ | $45 | 0x470c17… |
| 11-04 23:21:40 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xde52ea… |
| 11-04 23:21:40 | (anonymous) 0x2771…6d24 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xde52ea… |
| 11-04 23:21:37 | (anonymous) 0x2771…6d24 | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xde9eab… |
| 11-04 23:21:37 | (anonymous) 0x2771…6d24 | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x7c0f84… |
| 11-04 23:21:37 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x7c0f84… |
| 11-04 23:21:37 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xde9eab… |
| 11-04 23:21:37 | (anonymous) 0x4f1a…0613 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x3614bb… |
| 11-04 23:21:37 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xde9eab… |
| 11-04 23:21:37 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xde9eab… |
| 11-04 23:21:37 | (anonymous) 0x2771…6d24 | No | SELL | 66 | 89¢ | $59 | 0xc35391… |
| 11-04 23:21:37 | (anonymous) 0x2771…6d24 | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x3614bb… |
| 11-04 23:21:37 | (anonymous) 0xadc2…2bea | No | BUY | 66 | 89¢ | $59 | 0xc35391… |
| 11-04 23:21:37 | (anonymous) 0xbc3c…0777 | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xce4dea… |
| 11-04 23:21:37 | (anonymous) 0x2771…6d24 | No | SELL | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xce4dea… |
| 11-04 13:32:43 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa0f7e3… |
| 11-04 13:32:43 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xa0f7e3… |
| 11-04 08:34:27 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 21 | 64¢ | $14 | 0x1ca7e6… |
| 11-04 08:34:27 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 12 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x1ca7e6… |
| 11-04 08:34:27 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 9 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x1ca7e6… |
| 11-04 03:19:51 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 11 | 42¢ | $5 | 0x04a12a… |
| 11-04 03:19:51 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 58¢ | $6 | 0x04a12a… |
| 11-04 02:53:58 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0xac251d… |
| 11-04 02:53:58 | (anonymous) 0x8d58…4205 | No | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0xac251d… |
| 11-04 02:53:58 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | BUY | 40 | 31¢ | $13 | 0xac251d… |
| 11-03 22:25:49 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x7bf0cd… |
| 11-03 22:25:49 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x9afada… |
| 11-03 22:25:49 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x9afada… |
| 11-03 22:25:49 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x7bf0cd… |
| 11-03 20:16:09 | (anonymous) 0x8d58…4205 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x95a4b6… |
| 11-03 20:16:09 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x95a4b6… |
| 11-03 19:08:06 | (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x856552… |
| 11-03 19:08:06 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x856552… |
| 11-03 18:07:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 60 | 78¢ | $47 | 0x57b606… |
| 11-03 18:07:52 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x57b606… |
| 11-03 18:07:52 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x57b606… |
| 11-03 18:07:52 | (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x57b606… |
| 11-03 05:01:03 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x1eea84… |
| 11-03 05:01:03 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x1eea84… |
| 11-03 00:45:13 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 2 | 79¢ | $2 | 0x21df11… |
| 11-03 00:45:13 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | SELL | 2 | 79¢ | $2 | 0x21df11… |
| 11-03 00:12:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x5684bf… |
| 11-03 00:12:28 | (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | No | BUY | 14 | 79¢ | $11 | 0x5684bf… |
| 11-03 00:12:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 21¢ | $7 | 0x5684bf… |
| 11-02 16:45:12 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 0 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x25defb… |
| 11-02 16:45:12 | (anonymous) 0xc671…a37a | Yes | SELL | 0 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x25defb… |
| 11-02 16:44:52 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x3ffa36… |
| 11-02 16:44:52 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | BUY | 7 | 83¢ | $6 | 0x3ffa36… |
| 11-02 16:44:49 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 0 | 79¢ | $0 | 0x152629… |
| 11-02 16:44:49 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 0 | 79¢ | $0 | 0x152629… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 40 | 80¢ | $32 | 0x8cc3e9… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | BUY | 36 | 20¢ | $7 | 0x7d9656… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | (anonymous) 0xc671…a37a | No | BUY | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0xaa2269… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xf70982… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 131 | 21¢ | $28 | 0xf70982… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 8 | 80¢ | $7 | 0x103322… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 76 | 80¢ | $61 | 0x8bffc2… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xf70982… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xaa2269… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 21¢ | $8 | 0xf70982… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xf70982… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 52 | 80¢ | $42 | 0x7d9656… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x8bffc2… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0xf70982… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | (anonymous) 0xc671…a37a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x103322… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 8 | 80¢ | $7 | 0x136e73… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 18 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x8bffc2… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x7d9656… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x136e73… |
| 11-02 16:44:48 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | BUY | 40 | 20¢ | $8 | 0x8cc3e9… |
| 11-02 16:44:46 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 16 | 79¢ | $13 | 0xf0c3a6… |
| 11-02 16:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 52 | 79¢ | $41 | 0xa80989… |
| 11-02 16:44:46 | (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xf0c3a6… |
| 11-02 16:44:46 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 52 | 21¢ | $11 | 0xa80989… |
| 11-02 16:44:46 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x2d1bb0… |
| 11-02 16:44:46 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 4 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x2d1bb0… |
| 11-02 16:44:46 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xf0c3a6… |
| 11-02 16:44:46 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x2d1bb0… |
| 11-02 05:15:01 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 72 | 22¢ | $16 | 0xf7fe62… |
| 11-02 05:15:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 22¢ | $11 | 0xf7fe62… |
| 10-31 11:50:37 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | BUY | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x6918be… |
| 10-31 11:50:37 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x6918be… |
| 10-31 11:50:37 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x6918be… |
| 10-31 11:50:36 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x22d57b… |
| 10-31 11:50:36 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x22d57b… |
| 10-31 11:50:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 25 | 79¢ | $20 | 0x22d57b… |
| 10-31 11:41:10 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0xc8e981… |
| 10-31 11:41:10 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | SELL | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xc8e981… |
| 10-31 04:50:46 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xe4a338… |
| 10-31 04:50:46 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xaf16bc… |
| 10-31 04:50:46 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 2 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xaf16bc… |
| 10-31 04:50:46 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0xae9c15… |
| 10-31 04:50:46 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0xae9c15… |
| 10-31 04:50:46 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 24 | 79¢ | $19 | 0xae9c15… |