Sleepy-Headrest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$624

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.5%

Resolved

127

Trades

228

lifetime

Volume

$1.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 09-18 15:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 23% -$97

Other

25% 13% -$205

Politics

17% 20% -$265

Sports

5% 0% -$57

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$135	865	865	+0	Yes	-$133	03-02 21:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$99	581	0	+581	No	-$99	09-15 06:14
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$57	189	0	+189	Max Holloway	-$57	07-11 14:12
bitcoin above 68k on february 25	2	$54	35	35	+0	Yes	+$16	02-25 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$44	28	28	+0	Up	+$10	09-18 13:38
bitcoin above 70k on february 25	4	$36	111	0	+111	No	-$36	02-22 11:55
Will Valencia Basket win the 2025-26 Euroleague?	3	$28	118	0	+118	No	-$28	05-15 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:25 UTC	3	$27	24	24	+0	Down	+$13	08-21 22:28
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$23	1,777	0	+1,777	No	-$23	03-11 17:36
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$21	22	22	+0	No	+$1	05-15 19:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:15 UTC	2	$21	14	14	+0	Down	+$8	08-21 22:20
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$20	0	105	-105	Yes	-$85	02-22 11:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$19	478	0	+478	No	-$19	05-05 12:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	4	$19	628	111	+517	No	+$8	05-24 13:58
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	2	$18	683	683	+0	No	-$1	02-22 08:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:45 UTC	1	$16	117	0	+117	Down	-$16	08-21 22:46
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$15	71	71	+0	No	-$5	05-15 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:55 UTC	4	$12	28	28	+0	Down	+$4	08-21 13:59
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$11	50	0	+50	No	-$11	05-15 19:12
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$10	161	161	+0	Yes	+$0	02-22 18:06
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on february 22	1	$10	370	0	+370	No	-$10	02-21 19:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:20 UTC	1	$10	42	0	+42	Down	-$10	08-21 22:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:10 UTC	2	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$4	08-21 22:15
will bitcoin reach 72k february 16 22	2	$10	134	134	+0	No	-$6	02-22 11:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:40 UTC	3	$9	39	0	+39	Up	-$9	08-21 22:43
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$9	0	56	-56	Yes	-$47	02-22 11:54
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	2	$9	42	42	+0	Yes	-$1	02-22 14:36
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	2	$8	42	42	+0	No	-$7	04-12 10:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:55 UTC	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$4	08-21 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:50 UTC	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	08-21 21:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 15:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbf0f42…
09-18 15:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x60fd60…
09-18 15:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb64d01…
09-18 15:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xff76d8…
09-18 14:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x84b200…
09-18 14:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xf13ab7…
09-18 14:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x4b0ff7…
09-18 14:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x444213…
09-18 14:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x20567c…
09-18 14:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x387a14…
09-18 14:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x433177…
09-18 14:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb8c306…
09-18 14:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfdf728…
09-18 14:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x72029e…
09-18 13:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf3213e…
09-18 13:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1cc446…
09-18 13:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0cfba7…
09-18 13:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0xba2599…
09-18 13:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0x3c2367…
09-18 13:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x6db8cf…
09-18 13:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7c73b4…
09-18 13:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xecad51…
09-18 10:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x7f1729…
09-18 10:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x824a85…
09-18 10:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xccc426…
09-18 10:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xe2e0d0…
09-18 08:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf0b60e…
09-18 08:42:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x39c4e6…
09-18 08:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x702036…
09-18 08:20:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x8b32ba…
09-18 08:10:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa937eb…
09-18 08:06:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x44aca9…
09-18 08:05:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x746509…
09-18 07:54:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x060621…
09-18 07:48:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x5ec9d4…
09-18 07:42:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x587dac…
09-18 07:37:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf8e086…
09-15 06:14:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	95	12¢	$11	0x262ade…
09-11 19:52:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	486	18¢	$87	0xdc1b43…
08-25 15:06:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5e9734…
08-25 14:57:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xa356a9…
08-25 13:34:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc48ed4…
08-25 13:32:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9b127e…
08-25 13:31:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf5fd43…
08-25 13:28:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x069377…
08-25 13:26:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xac983a…
08-25 13:26:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xaf1aea…
08-25 13:25:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x871010…
08-25 13:23:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xaf3ada…
08-25 13:22:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc690aa…
08-25 13:21:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa31f3b…
08-25 13:18:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb22cd1…
08-21 22:46:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	117	14¢	$16	0xa1ad8a…
08-21 22:43:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x8e74c3…
08-21 22:41:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x10fae8…
08-21 22:40:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x116736…
08-21 22:39:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x28fee7…
08-21 22:37:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x072c85…
08-21 22:36:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xc10735…
08-21 22:33:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x83b90b…
08-21 22:30:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5dd78d…
08-21 22:28:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:25 UTC	Down	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0xab8f6e…
08-21 22:26:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x7d57be…
08-21 22:26:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xd59c85…
08-21 22:22:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x273fd6…
08-21 22:20:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x0610f4…
08-21 22:16:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x15d7b8…
08-21 22:15:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:10 UTC	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x72c341…
08-21 22:12:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xf71b8e…
08-21 22:04:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaad0cb…
08-21 22:02:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x65992c…
08-21 22:01:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xab128b…
08-21 22:01:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2dab7c…
08-21 21:59:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:55 UTC	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x54d2f2…
08-21 21:55:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x794fd3…
08-21 21:52:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x48ad01…
08-21 21:51:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x3c79d1…
08-21 21:48:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7eab91…
08-21 21:48:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x8de56f…
08-21 21:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcf0621…
08-21 21:42:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:40 UTC	Down	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x5e8a94…
08-21 21:41:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc179a6…
08-21 21:39:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc46cc2…
08-21 21:37:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa17e0e…
08-21 21:36:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4f2ca8…
08-21 21:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd624da…
08-21 21:32:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x4dfdb0…
08-21 21:28:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xec3dc3…
08-21 21:23:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xeffaf6…
08-21 21:20:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xf5ada2…
08-21 21:18:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd9fb3a…
08-21 21:17:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3936ac…
08-21 21:13:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x366cd7…
08-21 21:08:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x75ca10…
08-21 21:05:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0a79b9…
08-21 18:38:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xfb694d…
08-21 18:36:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4f4e85…
08-21 18:35:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x2b11a2…
08-21 18:29:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x14058b…
08-21 18:23:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8c009a…