Nervous-Cafe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

211

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$681

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 05-10 11:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 79% $-12

Tech

6% — —

Other

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	8	$39	36	36	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 16:19
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$39	21	21	+0	open	—	03-25 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	6	$22	29	29	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 16:24
btc updown 5m 1772639100	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-04 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$13	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	$-1	05-09 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	$-2	05-09 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-2	05-09 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	$-2	05-09 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	$-2	05-09 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	$-2	05-09 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-2	05-09 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	$-2	05-09 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$6	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	05-09 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	$-3	05-09 03:14
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-06 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$4	42	0	+42	Down	$-4	05-09 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-09 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-09 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-09 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-09 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-09 03:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 11:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe2c95d…
05-10 11:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xc92415…
05-10 11:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4a92c5…
05-10 11:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xf4563a…
05-10 11:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x280025…
05-10 11:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3557ab…
05-10 11:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd8b580…
05-10 11:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0xc4e1e4…
05-10 11:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5f65d6…
05-10 10:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x585ca3…
05-10 10:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1206e0…
05-10 10:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x21d7cd…
05-10 10:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xabf347…
05-10 10:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa9d605…
05-10 09:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0fa29d…
05-10 09:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc43177…
05-10 09:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9b6b4d…
05-10 09:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x735191…
05-10 08:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x1572ed…
05-10 08:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf2933b…
05-10 08:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x42f46d…
05-10 08:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf89d5d…
05-10 08:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1f4f54…
05-10 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8a8914…
05-10 08:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8c349d…
05-10 07:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xba279b…
05-10 07:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd8cb78…
05-10 07:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x036811…
05-10 07:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5662b0…
05-10 07:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x58d06a…
05-10 07:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9e1094…
05-10 07:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xed0ce2…
05-10 06:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0xd04039…
05-10 06:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x708a0d…
05-10 06:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xb685a1…
05-10 06:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf18eac…
05-10 06:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe1503c…
05-10 06:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4b93b0…
05-10 05:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6f32a0…
05-10 05:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x98d857…
05-10 05:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xab78ad…
05-10 05:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa64f74…
05-10 05:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x825ab1…
05-10 05:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x39da60…
05-10 05:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8f5c02…
05-10 04:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x19b3bb…
05-10 04:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf64239…
05-10 04:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfebb20…
05-10 04:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2a138f…
05-10 04:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x04813d…
05-10 04:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfb5bc9…
05-10 04:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0x8d81f9…
05-10 04:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x36bdd8…
05-10 03:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbcbd7f…
05-10 03:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2e4458…
05-10 03:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdecb0e…
05-10 03:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb610cd…
05-10 02:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd536d5…
05-10 02:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x0566c8…
05-10 02:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x66f11f…
05-10 01:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe2ebbe…
05-10 01:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1216ac…
05-10 01:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0522f1…
05-10 01:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8a535c…
05-10 01:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x144089…
05-10 01:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8d8a96…
05-10 01:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb4c838…
05-10 01:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0da89d…
05-10 00:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x81b645…
05-10 00:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x432c7b…
05-10 00:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9f62c5…
05-10 00:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa4fd1a…
05-10 00:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1f0e6c…
05-09 23:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x29c94e…
05-09 23:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x23ebdd…
05-09 23:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5f7930…
05-09 21:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x72318b…
05-09 21:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3e0145…
05-09 21:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe6ab9c…
05-09 21:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb0fa72…
05-09 21:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb730b2…
05-09 21:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9def4e…
05-09 20:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x68a6ca…
05-09 20:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xeb6c0d…
05-09 20:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd02a78…
05-09 20:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xbd86f4…
05-09 19:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe4a783…
05-09 19:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x30519a…
05-09 19:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7f59e9…
05-09 19:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x196a08…
05-09 18:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x409565…
05-09 18:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xec8390…
05-09 18:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x406cc3…
05-09 18:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe10368…
05-09 17:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa295a1…
05-09 17:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x46d657…
05-09 17:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb86c63…
05-09 17:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x85ef35…
05-09 16:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x8f4c84…
05-09 16:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x046c6f…