Quaint-Ox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$279

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

295

Trades

2,458

lifetime

Volume

$4.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$204

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-15 07:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

89% 37% +$150

Tech

8% 50% +$10

Politics

2% 100% +$109

Crypto

1% 100% +$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+105	$98	98¢	$103	+$5	05-15 07:04
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+102	$100	99¢	$101	+$1	05-15 07:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	246	$456	5,076	4,870	+207	No	-$7	01-18 19:31
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	180	$392	4,096	4,075	+21	Yes	+$0	01-18 17:00
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	92	$275	1,060	961	+99	No	-$4	01-18 17:10
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	130	$256	2,288	2,350	-62	Yes	+$6	01-18 16:59
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	48	$245	924	778	+146	Yes	-$8	01-18 15:11
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 700k 862	47	$190	1,085	1,060	+25	Yes	+$2	01-18 17:18
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	122	$187	2,015	1,906	+109	No	-$5	01-18 08:44
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	30	$148	469	473	-4	No	+$8	01-19 15:29
fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	74	$142	1,251	1,171	+80	No	+$3	01-16 23:35
jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 13 2026 4pt94	41	$118	598	471	+127	No	+$119	01-12 11:57
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	05-15 07:04
nothing ever happens microstrategy	19	$100	310	310	+0	No	+$4	01-12 13:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$98	105	0	+105	open	—	05-15 07:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$89	198	0	+198	Yes	+$109	01-23 10:39
will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	14	$87	300	300	+0	No	-$1	01-17 20:07
will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	78	$68	1,025	935	+90	No	-$7	01-17 14:43
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	22	$68	246	284	-38	Yes	+$7	01-18 15:36
will the fed cutcutpause in the next three decisions octdecjan	40	$62	665	626	+39	Yes	+$0	01-16 19:36
tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt92	33	$60	599	565	+34	Yes	$0	01-14 13:25
will the fed cutcutcut in the next three decisions octdecjan	26	$56	623	623	+0	No	$0	01-16 23:25
earnings mentions wells fargo 2026 01 14 inflation 1 times	2	$47	0	50	-50	Yes	-$3	01-14 14:20
will a contestant numbered 151 175 win beast games season 2	16	$46	149	150	-0	Yes	-$2	01-18 19:27
ackman vs sp january	11	$40	101	101	+0	Ackman	+$3	01-23 10:38
c quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 14 2026 1pt69	2	$37	50	50	+0	No	+$18	01-10 10:49
spx above 7040 jan 2026	3	$37	50	50	+0	No	+$34	01-19 12:35
bk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 13 2026 1pt99	15	$37	215	200	+16	Yes	-$3	01-12 00:22
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	12	$32	192	192	+0	Yes	+$5	01-19 22:19
ibkr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 20 2026 0pt56	4	$31	50	100	-50	Yes	+$12	01-18 13:47
will the winner of beast games season 2 be strong or smart	4	$30	100	100	+0	Strong	+$1	01-16 21:01
gs quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 11pt49	8	$29	150	150	+0	Yes	+$0	01-14 08:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 07:04:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	105	93¢	$98	0x1e0913…
05-15 07:04:16	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1b2f78…
01-23 10:39:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	45¢	$89	0x397307…
01-23 10:38:14	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xe2cb62…
01-23 10:38:14	txn quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 27 2026 1pt31	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xaf2cda…
01-23 10:38:14	spx hit 7350 high jan 2026	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x7a2eb4…
01-23 10:38:14	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x4761ad…
01-23 10:38:14	will meta dip to 520 in january	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x1bbfeb…
01-23 10:38:12	ackman vs sp january	S&P	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xdaad90…
01-23 10:38:12	pelosi vs sp january	S&P	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xc59d5e…
01-23 10:38:12	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xb1f3a3…
01-23 10:38:12	will msft reach 525 in january	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x4545fb…
01-23 10:38:10	Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0xf8aba0…
01-23 10:38:10	open above 4 on january 30 2026	No	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xcf64d1…
01-23 10:38:10	deel ipo by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xbe1d81…
01-23 10:38:10	amzn above 280 on january 30 2026	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xb00ca4…
01-23 10:38:10	will msft dip to 405 in january	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xab38fd…
01-23 10:38:10	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 800k 271	No	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x3956b9…
01-23 10:38:10	open above 3 on january 30 2026	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x37bb26…
01-23 10:38:10	will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x36e06c…
01-23 10:38:10	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x039155…
01-23 10:38:08	googl above 280 on january 30 2026	No	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xee6ee2…
01-23 10:38:08	nvda above 170 on january 30 2026	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xd24f43…
01-23 10:38:08	will amzn dip to 156 in january	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xd01b32…
01-23 10:38:08	tsla above 500 on january 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xbb098b…
01-23 10:38:08	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x683244…
01-23 10:38:08	nflx above 40 on january 30 2026	No	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x51ff5b…
01-23 10:38:08	meta above 760 on january 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x42f4d6…
01-23 10:38:08	will nvda reach 252 in january	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x406682…
01-23 10:38:06	will aapl reach 288 in january	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x98c9bc…
01-23 10:38:06	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0x624d53…
01-23 10:38:04	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xd7f80d…
01-23 10:38:04	pltr above 204 on january 30 2026	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0xd7ca30…
01-23 10:38:04	nflx above 140 on january 30 2026	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x945342…
01-23 10:38:04	aapl above 290 on january 30 2026	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x74e5a3…
01-23 10:38:04	nvda above 240 on january 30 2026	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x6a0165…
01-23 10:38:04	will mrbeast hit 500 million subscribers by january 31 433 563 486 639	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x2d97d5…
01-23 10:38:04	pltr above 198 on january 30 2026	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x222216…
01-23 10:38:04	msft above 555 on january 30 2026	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x04eda6…
01-23 10:38:02	tsla above 540 on january 30 2026	Yes	SELL	58	0¢	$0	0xf3c13c…
01-23 10:38:02	will open reach 9 25 in january	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xde27ef…
01-23 10:38:02	nflx above 60 on january 30 2026	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xdbc2bd…
01-23 10:38:02	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	55	1¢	$1	0xd7eeeb…
01-23 10:38:02	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	58	1¢	$1	0xb78e3f…
01-23 10:38:02	will nvda reach 236 in january	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x1e12f7…
01-23 10:34:28	nflx above 80 on january 30 2026	No	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x151e73…
01-23 10:34:22	spx hit 7000 high jan 2026	No	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x460e31…
01-23 09:31:52	will tsla reach 578 in january	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0xd2f323…
01-23 08:17:28	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x69d830…
01-23 08:14:10	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xd42a19…
01-23 04:51:06	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa3c1af…
01-23 04:42:08	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x5e5177…
01-23 04:31:12	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x513e5e…
01-23 04:30:22	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xfb8d6a…
01-23 04:30:06	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x6a6206…
01-23 04:30:02	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x7ef500…
01-23 04:14:50	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x2fe890…
01-23 04:14:46	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x330e3c…
01-23 04:14:44	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xc73852…
01-23 03:18:46	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x0c2706…
01-23 03:18:16	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xe63f2a…
01-23 03:17:54	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x18fd73…
01-23 02:45:22	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x0733fd…
01-22 18:17:52	will meta reach 790 in january	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x77e87e…
01-22 10:35:02	earnings mentions paypal 2026 02 03 stablecoin stable coin 1 times	No	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x19bf3d…
01-22 08:46:34	will mrbeast hit 490 million subscribers by january 31 971 767 566 583	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xf110d0…
01-22 03:05:44	earnings mentions paypal 2026 02 03 stablecoin stable coin 1 times	No	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xf59917…
01-22 00:31:28	will aapl reach 340 in january	Yes	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0x93b302…
01-21 23:08:40	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	SELL	65	0¢	$0	0x199be0…
01-21 15:42:14	will open reach 11 50 in january	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0xcbff9b…
01-21 15:01:20	will googl dip to 275 in january	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x6e67f7…
01-21 14:34:30	will pltr reach 243 in january	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x9ddb26…
01-21 12:57:40	will open dip to 1 25 in january	Yes	SELL	66	0¢	$0	0x105607…
01-21 09:21:56	will nvda dip to 128 in january	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xe3ec2c…
01-20 20:02:36	will united airlines say starlink during earnings call	No	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xd90f49…
01-20 17:56:12	will googl dip to 275 in january	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x875f15…
01-20 14:43:48	will nvda dip to 144 in january	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xa2c9b9…
01-20 14:35:32	will meta reach 750 in january	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xe3acb4…
01-20 14:12:18	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0x18a65c…
01-20 12:05:34	will player 38 win beast games season 2 448	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x56f5ad…
01-20 09:02:26	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	Yes	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0xbecef4…
01-20 04:17:52	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	60	15¢	$9	0x45370a…
01-20 02:56:42	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	Yes	SELL	63	2¢	$2	0x4e7082…
01-20 02:20:00	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x699bc8…
01-19 22:41:26	will united airlines say starlink during earnings call	No	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x3de038…
01-19 22:19:22	earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	No	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x3f2609…
01-19 22:03:10	will nflx close above 130 week january 23 2026	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x4e9da3…
01-19 21:02:42	earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	No	SELL	31	11¢	$3	0x98876a…
01-19 20:48:50	will united airlines say starlink during earnings call	No	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x762281…
01-19 20:06:42	will googl dip to 275 in january	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x9e8534…
01-19 17:59:52	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x7f4fe9…
01-19 17:38:06	earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	No	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0xb321f5…
01-19 16:26:16	will mrbeast hit 463 million subscribers by january 31	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xcab16b…
01-19 15:29:42	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xd71c86…
01-19 14:59:02	will mrbeast hit 108 billion views by january 31	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x46fa13…
01-19 14:24:58	will player 31 win beast games season 2 872	Yes	SELL	58	0¢	$0	0xfc4a11…
01-19 13:53:28	will nvda reach 272 in january	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xf15f70…
01-19 13:44:22	will msft reach 495 in january	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x97fc7d…
01-19 12:35:28	spx above 7040 jan 2026	No	SELL	43	71¢	$30	0x85197f…
01-19 11:10:06	spx above 6600 jan 2026	No	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x5eef8a…