Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$169

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

17.0%

Resolved

Trades

34,635

lifetime

Volume

$123.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 04-13 19:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

58% 21% $-47

Politics

19% 36% $-45

Crypto

13% 0% $-36

Sports

9% 0% $-41

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kim Min-Jae record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?	No		+10	$8	100¢	$10	+$2	03-10 16:15
Will Kim Min-Jae record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?	Yes		+9	$3	0¢	$0	$-3	03-10 09:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wbc sok cht 2026 03 07	37	$2.7K	3,958	0	+3,958	open	—	03-08 05:49
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	112	$694	1,474	0	+1,474	open	—	03-13 00:15
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	94	$540	1,127	208	+919	open	—	03-09 19:56
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	73	$497	954	23	+931	open	—	03-16 05:55
will kawhi leonard win the 2026 nba all star game mvp 198	74	$462	4,536	1,669	+2,866	open	—	02-16 00:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	65	$441	950	0	+950	open	—	03-09 08:31
nba dal mil 2026 01 25 spread home 3pt5	109	$429	545	415	+130	open	—	03-03 06:00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	87	$421	872	181	+691	open	—	03-07 07:50
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	75	$407	845	5	+840	open	—	03-11 13:12
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	72	$405	762	155	+607	open	—	03-09 20:34
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	71	$391	750	219	+531	open	—	03-13 00:16
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	82	$385	847	0	+847	open	—	03-13 00:15
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	98	$378	701	171	+530	open	—	03-17 00:23
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	71	$372	743	78	+666	open	—	03-07 17:13
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	66	$367	729	10	+719	open	—	03-08 05:22
lol gz dcg 2026 02 15 game2	23	$353	447	401	+47	open	—	02-15 07:40
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	56	$349	743	0	+743	open	—	03-11 17:28
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	64	$336	762	136	+626	open	—	03-13 03:58
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	68	$332	626	37	+589	open	—	03-07 17:58
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	64	$326	635	18	+617	open	—	03-08 17:39
will iran strike israel on march 9	38	$325	614	49	+565	open	—	03-08 04:37
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	51	$325	648	30	+619	open	—	03-13 00:04
bitboy convicted	65	$324	398	302	+96	open	—	03-08 06:34
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	81	$316	593	147	+446	open	—	03-09 20:28
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	66	$311	671	10	+660	open	—	03-12 07:46
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	39	$310	654	0	+654	open	—	03-08 19:27
crint nam usa 2026 02 15	9	$304	292	147	+145	open	—	02-15 08:48
will sinners win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	20	$300	319	320	-0	open	—	02-22 20:38
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	47	$295	603	0	+603	open	—	03-07 16:16
will iran strike israel on march 8	42	$293	577	55	+522	open	—	03-07 21:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-13 19:10:45	Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x829ae4…
04-09 09:13:15	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x51f377…
04-09 09:03:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x21263d…
04-08 20:32:33	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x586048…
04-08 20:32:33	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0x081e59…
04-07 20:19:01	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x48235a…
04-07 20:16:01	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x302e3c…
04-07 20:13:33	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1bf7a4…
04-07 19:24:33	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x38d42e…
04-02 23:24:39	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6f321e…
04-01 12:23:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x637ab0…
04-01 12:16:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa4363f…
04-01 12:07:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa38e81…
04-01 11:45:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x97d9fd…
03-31 12:00:07	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x7f25a3…
03-31 09:15:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe04067…
03-30 09:51:44	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x15c121…
03-30 09:48:58	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5f58b7…
03-29 18:58:38	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3ac867…
03-29 18:26:10	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb99fb2…
03-29 17:26:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x651280…
03-29 15:17:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5fcb5c…
03-29 13:23:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4b7014…
03-29 10:57:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xdafa10…
03-29 01:40:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x944bb3…
03-28 01:13:31	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xe8766a…
03-28 00:50:03	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x8c3dce…
03-28 00:50:03	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x0621cf…
03-27 22:17:21	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2eca71…
03-27 19:30:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x30ab78…
03-27 14:34:55	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x463d76…
03-26 09:48:11	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x168246…
03-26 00:18:07	Will Dan Hooker fight Max Holloway next?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x18240f…
03-25 15:06:23	Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbc3dda…
03-25 14:32:07	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x665f13…
03-25 04:55:07	Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb40e1a…
03-24 20:53:31	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa2149a…
03-24 18:02:11	Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x4f9ab5…
03-24 13:08:13	Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xafc11b…
03-24 11:19:17	Will Dan Hooker fight Max Holloway next?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd21783…
03-23 18:10:05	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x943b01…
03-23 17:23:31	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x2f94de…
03-23 14:08:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf99d83…
03-23 12:12:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xaa3af8…
03-23 11:18:47	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xd2429b…
03-23 11:08:19	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x10a34c…
03-23 10:58:39	Will Dan Hooker fight Max Holloway next?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe4b144…
03-23 05:52:51	Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x52193a…
03-22 18:48:39	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 110 by April 30?	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x31a583…
03-22 18:46:41	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 110 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x924cfb…
03-22 18:46:39	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 110 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xec233e…
03-21 18:33:13	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x609f34…
03-21 13:57:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x662c3b…
03-21 13:17:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc935df…
03-21 12:16:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$1	0x4ef67b…
03-21 11:16:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xe86908…
03-21 10:32:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa4ad90…
03-21 10:24:31	Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xc66165…
03-21 08:56:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1aa905…
03-20 22:38:25	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xee5043…
03-20 22:32:17	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xca8057…
03-20 22:10:33	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x4157c4…
03-20 21:33:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x065b1d…
03-20 20:23:57	Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xaef77b…
03-20 20:06:37	Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdc3afb…
03-20 20:06:35	Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x078a9d…
03-20 18:08:45	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x152846…
03-20 15:57:23	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x274925…
03-20 14:54:47	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x52573c…
03-20 14:54:47	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x06b91a…
03-20 14:32:07	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xfdc07d…
03-20 14:31:51	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x2052a4…
03-20 13:24:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x00faf6…
03-20 12:54:01	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x9751e4…
03-20 12:44:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe17448…
03-20 10:36:41	Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x115bed…
03-20 10:29:47	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3d3302…
03-20 07:15:57	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x93aea0…
03-20 03:07:09	Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x75d78e…
03-20 00:27:01	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x800bba…
03-19 21:38:55	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x91fedd…
03-19 21:34:21	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x08aa42…
03-19 20:45:13	Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x1e8a14…
03-19 16:57:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc15613…
03-19 16:53:11	Will AJ Brown be traded?	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xf767c9…
03-19 16:32:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb7f575…
03-19 16:12:43	Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x69c5dc…
03-19 14:24:49	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x314708…
03-19 14:19:43	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x893768…
03-19 14:07:29	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x22ff58…
03-19 13:45:33	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xcfd94d…
03-19 13:21:03	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa08555…
03-19 13:19:27	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x74f6c8…
03-19 12:46:31	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe77e95…
03-19 11:42:07	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd98474…
03-19 06:34:33	Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd2f290…
03-18 21:32:45	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x67b602…
03-18 20:57:57	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe48b5e…
03-18 20:50:37	will galatasaray reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x585745…
03-18 20:45:29	Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x7ad816…