Shiny-Snuggle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved

Trades

341

lifetime

Volume

$410

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-18 07:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 38% $-9

Other

9% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	4	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 13:06
aapl close above 300 on may 18 2026	1	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	05-18 07:53
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 05:09
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	05-14 09:32
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 13?	1	$6	7	0	+7	Yes	+$1	05-13 06:13
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 11?	1	$4	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-11 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 04:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-28 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-28 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-28 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-28 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-28 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-28 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 10:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 07:53:59	aapl close above 300 on may 18 2026	Yes	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x281c07…
05-15 05:09:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$8	0xb32705…
05-14 09:32:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x0dde6e…
05-13 06:13:20	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xbb8d5f…
05-11 12:57:31	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0x681425…
05-08 13:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x87f4fb…
05-08 13:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0b37af…
05-08 13:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x78576d…
05-08 13:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8a4f9a…
05-08 12:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x069501…
05-08 12:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4061e6…
05-08 12:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xce987f…
05-08 12:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1450e1…
05-08 12:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe22b98…
05-08 12:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9f8cab…
05-08 11:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdb481a…
05-08 11:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x075741…
05-08 11:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdd94ab…
05-08 11:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2d8b16…
05-08 10:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa7887a…
05-08 09:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa2d362…
05-08 09:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xb65728…
05-08 09:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6159c0…
05-08 09:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x56786b…
05-08 08:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4bb4fa…
05-08 08:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x445b68…
05-08 08:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x348d06…
05-07 20:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x272f86…
05-07 20:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfdd48f…
05-07 19:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x821cd6…
05-07 19:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0e79e0…
05-07 18:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa1f719…
05-07 12:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6106d9…
05-07 10:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x84de1c…
05-07 10:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6dc572…
05-07 07:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7808ea…
05-07 07:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4e862a…
05-07 06:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3a1dc7…
05-07 05:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb6b1e2…
05-07 05:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x48b6f7…
05-07 05:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x622a61…
05-07 04:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9ae29f…
05-07 04:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x30a17c…
05-07 04:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcea574…
05-07 04:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb00c13…
05-07 03:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9ee504…
05-07 03:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdb6b48…
05-07 02:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5cb681…
05-07 01:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x700878…
05-07 01:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x89ce69…
05-07 01:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xee8ece…
05-07 00:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7cb02c…
05-07 00:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe3f676…
05-06 23:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9563f3…
05-06 22:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa5cc5d…
05-06 22:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1ccdb7…
05-06 22:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x63d428…
05-06 21:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x00a3cf…
05-06 21:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x969f69…
05-06 20:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x043801…
05-06 20:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8cc4d2…
05-06 20:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7cdd00…
05-06 19:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa99d47…
05-06 19:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf81fd6…
05-06 19:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9204eb…
05-06 18:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x89f579…
05-06 09:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x209423…
05-06 09:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x66a98b…
05-06 08:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x30531f…
05-06 08:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x21e17f…
05-06 08:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfb5ba9…
05-06 08:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc62d1e…
05-05 08:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe21b3e…
05-05 08:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x25c191…
05-05 08:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa85959…
05-05 07:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb54c67…
05-05 05:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc27229…
05-05 05:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaf82e5…
05-05 04:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2dad27…
05-05 03:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x163f9f…
05-05 03:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf7587a…
05-04 18:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x05d6dc…
05-04 10:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x999103…
05-04 10:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xec9c97…
05-04 08:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xad6e5f…
05-04 07:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2ef52d…
05-04 07:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x56b3c6…
05-04 02:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x32cc04…
05-04 02:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf6c039…
05-04 01:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x70263a…
05-04 01:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf62801…
05-04 00:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x37549f…
05-03 23:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5f7209…
05-03 23:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xf136a1…
05-03 23:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0de60b…
05-03 22:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xf97d94…
05-03 22:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6d59ed…
05-03 22:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1c3c19…
05-03 22:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x80538c…
05-03 20:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1343b8…