Quarterly-Cup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

$65

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-14 12:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$7

Crypto

28% 100% +$1

Politics

14% 100% +$3

Sports

4% 100% +$1

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will the us confirm that aliens exist by october 31 396	No		+66	$65	100¢	$65	+$0	10-14 12:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$521	261	261	+0	No	+$1	06-08 19:23
will the price of ethereum be less than 2700 on january 15	1	$350	350	0	+350	No	+$0	01-15 06:03
Trump out as President by May 31?	1	$320	321	0	+321	No	+$1	05-15 07:43
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	03-01 10:51
solana above 100 on june 6 2026	1	$220	220	0	+220	No	+$0	06-04 04:43
ethereum above 2800 on february 5	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-04 14:21
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-04 14:22
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	1	$185	186	0	+186	No	+$1	07-15 09:39
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in january 2026	1	$180	180	0	+180	No	+$0	01-17 04:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$164	164	0	+164	No	+$0	06-19 15:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$160	80	80	+0	No	+$0	05-17 05:34
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$143	143	0	+143	No	+$0	04-14 09:04
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$141	72	72	+0	No	+$1	05-22 12:56
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$139	139	0	+139	No	+$0	08-04 08:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	1	$133	133	0	+133	No	+$0	04-14 09:12
ethereum above 2100 on april 14	1	$124	124	0	+124	Yes	+$0	04-14 09:09
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$107	55	55	+0	No	+$1	06-04 23:33
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	1	$87	88	0	+88	No	+$1	06-04 04:50
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$85	86	0	+86	No	+$1	05-17 05:35
will the us confirm that aliens exist by october 31 396	1	$65	66	0	+66	open	—	10-14 12:25
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$65	66	0	+66	Yes	+$1	03-17 08:35
Will Solana reach $200 in September?	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	09-15 09:45
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$50	53	0	+53	Yes	+$3	01-15 06:04
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	04-25 13:24
will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	01-23 12:49
will bnb reach 1000 in july	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	07-15 09:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	09-23 09:02
will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in september 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	09-15 09:45
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-23 09:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 12:25:50	will the us confirm that aliens exist by october 31 396	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x6a2a96…
09-23 09:03:31	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57e4d6…
09-23 09:02:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcc6d6b…
09-15 09:45:55	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in september 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5918b8…
09-15 09:45:09	Will Solana reach $200 in September?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x9e05fc…
08-04 08:40:50	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x3b5f6c…
07-15 09:41:01	will bnb reach 1000 in july	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1f97b8…
07-15 09:39:59	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	186	99¢	$185	0x759841…
06-19 15:26:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x8762ad…
06-08 19:23:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	261	100¢	$261	0x8ea910…
06-07 15:46:15	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	261	100¢	$260	0x4c7f52…
06-04 23:33:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	55	97¢	$54	0x843877…
06-04 04:50:48	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0xfa363a…
06-04 04:45:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	55	95¢	$53	0x540810…
06-04 04:43:27	solana above 100 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xe01c65…
05-22 12:56:11	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x58c62d…
05-22 07:37:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0xbfebfb…
05-17 05:35:50	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0x4822e5…
05-17 05:34:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0x595c9c…
05-15 07:44:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x9dbe06…
05-15 07:43:16	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	321	100¢	$320	0x972d3a…
04-25 13:24:52	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xa8c5c0…
04-14 09:12:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x1eb4c0…
04-14 09:09:53	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xfaeaa3…
04-14 09:04:49	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xd524d6…
03-17 08:35:51	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x8558a6…
03-01 10:51:59	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x18b594…
02-04 14:22:26	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x9ae65f…
02-04 14:21:38	ethereum above 2800 on february 5	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x5ca21a…
01-23 12:49:26	will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x51cdf5…
01-17 04:14:22	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in january 2026	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x3f930f…
01-15 06:04:14	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x0fcad2…
01-15 06:03:34	will the price of ethereum be less than 2700 on january 15	No	BUY	350	100¢	$350	0x1961c6…